forecasting
agent

performance

Paper P&L across both venues.

-$922.89
Total P&L
-$6,825.01
Realized
$5,902.12
Unrealized
$64,300
Deployed
52%
Win Rate
1771
Scanned

cumulative p&l

per-venue books · realized (solid) vs total incl. open marks (dashed)

edge buckets

|forecast − market| at entry · does claimed edge turn into money
edgevenue tradesopenclosed win raterealizedtotal
3–5pp polymarket 16 10 6 83% -$413.21 -$469.81
5–8pp polymarket 28 24 4 50% -$1,282.97 -$577.08
8–12pp polymarket 27 20 7 43% -$2,094.21 -$1,712.36
12pp+ polymarket 45 31 14 43% -$3,034.62 $1,836.36