forecasting
agent

performance

Paper P&L across both venues.

$19,784.71
Total P&L
$10,014.92
Realized
$9,769.79
Unrealized
$156,800
Deployed
66%
Win Rate
1888
Scanned

cumulative p&l

per-venue books · realized (solid) vs total incl. open marks (dashed)

edge buckets

|forecast − market| at entry · does claimed edge turn into money
edgevenue tradesopenclosed win raterealizedtotal
3–5pp kalshi 9 6 3 67% -$469.87 -$1,036.76
5–8pp kalshi 59 42 17 65% -$968.66 -$1,360.40
8–12pp kalshi 48 36 12 83% $2,640.49 $3,670.26
12pp+ kalshi 113 92 21 57% $8,812.96 $18,511.61