Scans

Each scan is a full pass through the multi-step pipeline: plan → research → synthesise → ensemble → critic → final forecast. Click any scan to see every intermediate forecast, the evidence that produced it, and how the market moved afterward.

29
Scans last 7 days
-6pp
Accuracy vs market (7d, n=18)
339
Unique markets (630 scans total)

Most accurate forecasts

Scans where the market has moved furthest in the direction the agent called
Companies +51.0pp
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
At scan Market 54%, agent 37% By t+7 Market 3% (moved -51.0pp)
Elections +46.8pp
Who will win the governorship in California? — Eric Swalwell
At scan Market 47%, agent 7% By t+7 Market 0% (moved -46.8pp)
Economics +43.5pp
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?
At scan Market 76%, agent 71% By t+7 Market 32% (moved -43.5pp)

All scans

630 shown
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 24%
Agent 3%
-21.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-15
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 316 million premium subscribers in 2026?
Companies KXSPOTA-28JANPREMSUBS-316000000
Market 42%
Agent 42%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-15
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 83%
Agent 91%
+8.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-14
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 88%
Agent 95%
+7.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-14
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 56%
Agent 82%
+26.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-13
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 9%
-10.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-13
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 37%
Agent 34%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-13
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 22%
Agent 20%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-13
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 54%
Agent 57%
+2.7pp
50% conf
2026-07-13
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-12
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 21%
Agent 5%
-16.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-12
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 14%
Agent 7%
-7.5pp
80% conf
2026-07-12
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 62 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
Companies KXGRABA-28JANMTU-62000000.0
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-12
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? — At least 250 billion
Economics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 14%
Agent 6%
-8.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-12
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 28%
Agent 21%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-11
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 68%
Agent 60%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-11
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 80%
Agent 75%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-11
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-11
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 91%
Agent 79%
-12.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-11
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 50%
Agent 40%
-10.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-10
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 47%
Agent 37%
-9.9pp
50% conf
2026-07-10
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 4%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-10
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 53%
Agent 52%
-1.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-10
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 11%
Agent 7%
-3.7pp
65% conf
2026-07-10
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 40%
Agent 37%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-09
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 63%
Agent 82%
+19.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-09
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 35%
+1.3pp
50% conf
2026-07-09
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 15%
-25.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-09
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 58%
Agent 49%
-9.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-09
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 80%
-1.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 36%
Agent 10%
-26.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-08
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-RFK
Market 32%
Agent 23%
-9.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-08
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 30%
Agent 17%
-13.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-08
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?
Companies KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1750000.0
Market 41%
Agent 51%
+10.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 57%
Agent 50%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-07
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 50%
Agent 20%
-30.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-07
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-07
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total production in 2026?
Companies KXTSLAA-28JANPROD-1900000.0
Market 10%
Agent 2%
-7.5pp
52% conf
2026-07-07
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-H26
Market 32%
Agent 3%
-29.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-07
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 24%
Agent 9%
-15.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-06
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-06
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 52%
Agent 79%
+27.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-06
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 45%
Agent 43%
-2.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-06
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 4%
-15.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-06
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 11%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-05
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 22%
Agent 3%
-19.0pp
80% conf
2026-07-05
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 51%
Agent 35%
-15.9pp
50% conf
2026-07-05
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 61%
Agent 58%
-2.9pp
50% conf
2026-07-05
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-05
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 15%
Agent 4%
-11.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-04
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 73%
Agent 70%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-04
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 83%
Agent 75%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-04
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-04
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 81%
Agent 58%
-23.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-04
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 24%
Agent 22%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-03
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 50%
Agent 47%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-03
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 29%
Agent 19%
-10.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-03
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 51%
Agent 54%
+3.0pp
38% conf
2026-07-03
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 13%
Agent 5%
-7.8pp
65% conf
2026-07-03
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-02
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 17%
Agent 7%
-10.3pp
80% conf
2026-07-02
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 35%
-6.6pp
50% conf
2026-07-02
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 69%
Agent 76%
+7.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-02
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps
Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-C26
Market 59%
Agent 5%
-54.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-02
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 41%
Agent 12%
-29.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-01
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?
Companies KXMOA-28JANCIGS-54500000000.0
Market 93%
Agent 80%
-13.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-01
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?
Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000
Market 93%
Agent 90%
-3.0pp
65% conf
2026-07-01
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 75%
Agent 82%
+7.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-01
Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA
Market 81%
Agent 57%
-24.0pp
50% conf
2026-07-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 26%
Agent 9%
-17.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-30
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 65%
Agent 58%
-7.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-30
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 2%
-28.5pp
80% conf
2026-06-30
Will Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Elections KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DSSUL
Market 93%
Agent 98%
+4.5pp
80% conf
2026-06-30
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-10.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-30
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 45%
Agent 43%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-29
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 81%
Agent 74%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-29
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-29
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 80%
+23.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-29
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-4.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-29
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 31%
-2.7pp
50% conf
2026-06-28
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-28
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 22%
Agent 2%
-19.5pp
80% conf
2026-06-28
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 52%
Agent 36%
-16.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-28
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 30%
-19.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-28
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 20%
Agent 3%
-17.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-27
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 73%
Agent 60%
-13.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-27
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 84%
Agent 82%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-27
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?
Companies KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Market 89%
Agent 88%
-1.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-27
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 92%
Agent 92%
+0.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-27
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.5pp
50% conf
2026-06-26
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 19%
Agent 4%
-15.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-26
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 49%
Agent 35%
-14.4pp
50% conf
2026-06-26
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 51%
Agent 53%
+1.9pp
50% conf
2026-06-26
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026?
Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-77000
Market 13%
Agent 13%
+0.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-26
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 28%
Agent 21%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-25
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 21%
Agent 16%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-25
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 63%
Agent 65%
+2.1pp
50% conf
2026-06-25
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 48%
Agent 55%
+7.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-25
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 48%
Agent 40%
-8.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-25
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 16%
Agent 6%
-10.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-24
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 9%
Agent 15%
+6.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-24
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 54%
Agent 66%
+12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-24
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 68%
Agent 80%
+12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-24
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 44%
Agent 60%
+16.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-24
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 77%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-23
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 26%
Agent 5%
-21.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-23
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 52%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-23
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 54%
Agent 37%
-17.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-23
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 3%
-27.7pp
65% conf
2026-06-23
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tucker Carlson
Elections KX2028RRUN-28-TUC
Market 44%
Agent 36%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-22
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 81%
Agent 79%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-22
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 88%
Agent 82%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-22
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 32%
+6.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-22
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 58%
Agent 70%
+12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-22
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 38%
Agent 23%
-15.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-21
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-PHEG
Market 15%
Agent 16%
+1.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-21
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-21
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 13%
Agent 3%
-10.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-21
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 75%
Agent 74%
-1.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-21
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 19%
Agent 12%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-20
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 30%
Agent 27%
-3.1pp
38% conf
2026-06-20
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 55%
Agent 46%
-9.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-20
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 68%
Agent 60%
-8.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-20
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-20
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 78%
Agent 66%
-12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-19
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 16%
Agent 18%
+2.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-19
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 22%
-26.8pp
38% conf
2026-06-19
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 16%
Agent 5%
-11.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-19
Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? — Marianne Lake
Companies KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MLA
Market 31%
Agent 33%
+2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-19
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 48%
Agent 30%
-18.1pp
38% conf
2026-06-18
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-18
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 29%
Agent 17%
-12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-18
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 58%
Agent 50%
-7.9pp
38% conf
2026-06-18
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 49%
Agent 44%
-5.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-18
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 44%
Agent 25%
-19.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-17
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 18%
Agent 5%
-13.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-17
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 2.15 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?
Companies KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2150000.0
Market 9%
Agent 12%
+3.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-17
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 7%
Agent 7%
+0.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-17
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 65%
Agent 72%
+7.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-17
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 48%
Agent 46%
-2.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-16
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 75%
Agent 78%
+3.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-16
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-16
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 46%
-12.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-16
Will Electronic Arts close its take-private acquisition before Jul 1, 2026?
Financials KXCOMPANYACTIONEA-27-26JUL01
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-16
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 28%
Agent 4%
-24.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-15
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-1.3pp
50% conf
2026-06-15
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 9%
Agent 2%
-6.5pp
80% conf
2026-06-15
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? — JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
Elections KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-15
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?
Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-28000000.0
Market 93%
Agent 97%
+4.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-15
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 82%
+25.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-14
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 38%
Agent 34%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-14
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-14
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 12%
Agent 4%
-8.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-14
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-JAN01
Market 45%
Agent 42%
-3.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-14
Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
Politics KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.60
Market 90%
Agent 91%
+0.9pp
65% conf
2026-06-13
GDP growth in 2028? — 1.6% to 2.0%
Economics KXGDPYEAR-28-B1.8
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-13
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 780 million zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026?
Companies KXPMA-28JANZYN-780000000
Market 50%
Agent 92%
+42.0pp
80% conf
2026-06-13
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?
Companies KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-800000000
Market 93%
Agent 98%
+4.5pp
80% conf
2026-06-13
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 83%
Agent 66%
-17.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-13
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 74%
Agent 60%
-14.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-12
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 79%
Agent 80%
+1.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-12
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-12
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z? — Before July 1, 2027
Elections KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01
Market 26%
Agent 7%
-19.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-12
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 81%
Agent 83%
+2.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-12
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?
Elections KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Market 36%
Agent 30%
-6.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-11
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points? — Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Elections KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENR-P3
Market 50%
Agent 44%
-6.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-11
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?
Politics KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-APR01
Market 38%
Agent 35%
-3.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-11
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-4.5pp
65% conf
2026-06-11
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 186 million passengers flown in 2026?
Companies KXUALA-28JANPAX-186000000
Market 51%
Agent 63%
+12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-11
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore? — Before 2029
Politics KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
65% conf
2026-06-10
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Politics KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-VZEL
Market 34%
Agent 15%
-19.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-10
When will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public? — Before Jan 2028
Politics KXNYCGROCERY-28-JAN01
Market 76%
Agent 60%
-16.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-10
Will SpaceX be assigned to Communication Services in the S&P?
Financials KXSPACEXSECTOR-SPACEX-COMMUNICA
Market 85%
Agent 73%
-12.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-10
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Politics KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-BLA
Market 21%
Agent 17%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-10
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? — Aaron Lukas
Politics KXNEXTODNI-29-ALUK
Market 18%
Agent 18%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-09
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? — For tax year 2026
Economics KXIRSCOLLECT-26
Market 83%
Agent 85%
+2.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-09
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
Science and Technology KXLASTEXAM-27DEC31-T70
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-4.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-09
Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? — Marianne Lake
Companies KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MLA
Market 40%
Agent 37%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-06-09
Will NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028? — Yes
Companies KXTAKEOVERNEE-28JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 55%
-20.0pp
38% conf
2026-06-09
Will Electronic Arts close its take-private acquisition before Jul 1, 2026?
Financials KXCOMPANYACTIONEA-27-26JUL01
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-06-08
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 55%
-12.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-18
Will Labour win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Elections KXMAKERFIELDBY-27JAN01-LAB
Market 68%
Agent 50%
-18.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-17
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 16%
-10.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 19%
Agent 5%
-14.4pp
70% conf
2026-05-17
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 51%
Agent 20%
-31.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 28%
Agent 30%
+2.4pp
35% conf
2026-05-17
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 58%
Agent 42%
-16.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 18%
-24.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-17
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 3%
Agent 3%
+0.0pp
85% conf
2026-05-17
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-17
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 45%
Agent 7%
-38.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-16
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 82%
Agent 70%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-16
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 64%
Agent 71%
+7.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-16
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.5pp
85% conf
2026-05-16
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 70%
Agent 34%
-36.1pp
40% conf
2026-05-16
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 44%
Agent 8%
-36.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-16
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 76%
Agent 74%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-16
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 18%
Agent 3%
-15.0pp
85% conf
2026-05-16
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 35%
Agent 22%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-16
Will Spencer Pratt qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Politics KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02-SPRA
Market 79%
Agent 66%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-16
Will Emory be top 20 on U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings in 2027?
Science and Technology KXCOLLEGERANK-TOP20-EMO
Market 45%
Agent 10%
-35.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-15
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 32%
Agent 10%
-22.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-15
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 93%
Agent 86%
-7.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-15
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 65%
Agent 42%
-23.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-15
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 40%
-18.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-15
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 31%
Agent 8%
-23.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-15
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 24%
Agent 6%
-17.9pp
70% conf
2026-05-15
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 56%
Agent 74%
+18.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-15
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-3.8pp
78% conf
2026-05-15
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
Politics KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01
Market 1%
Agent 2%
+0.3pp
90% conf
2026-05-15
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 2027
Politics KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Market 12%
Agent 5%
-7.0pp
78% conf
2026-05-14
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 24%
Agent 15%
-9.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-14
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 51%
Agent 55%
+3.9pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 81%
Agent 87%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-14
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 35%
Agent 23%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 54%
Agent 53%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 34%
Agent 16%
-18.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 48%
-24.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? — Paxton defeats Talarico
Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL
Market 37%
Agent 41%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.1pp
70% conf
2026-05-13
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.9pp
70% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-13
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-13
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 69%
Agent 67%
-2.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 4%
-21.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 23%
Agent 15%
-8.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 14%
Agent 5%
-9.4pp
78% conf
2026-05-13
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 42%
Agent 37%
-5.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Elections KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SGRI
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-5.9pp
75% conf
2026-05-12
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
Politics KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-26JUL
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.1pp
72% conf
2026-05-12
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
Politics KXH1B-29
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-12
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 13%
Agent 4%
-9.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-12
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01
Market 13%
Agent 8%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-12
Will USAID be eliminated?
Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 37%
Agent 40%
+3.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-12
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 24%
Agent 5%
-19.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-12
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 19%
Agent 11%
-8.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-12
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-12
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 18%
Agent 6%
-12.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-12
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 23%
Agent 4%
-19.0pp
88% conf
2026-05-11
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-11
Will Any part of Greenland be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXSTATE51-29-GL
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-1.7pp
78% conf
2026-05-11
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 52%
Agent 48%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-11
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 76%
Agent 58%
-18.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-11
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 64%
Agent 48%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-11
Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
78% conf
2026-05-11
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 24%
Agent 4%
-20.0pp
92% conf
2026-05-11
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 21%
Agent 3%
-18.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-11
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
Elections KXNEXTUKPM-30-NF
Market 9%
Agent 16%
+7.1pp
55% conf
2026-05-11
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 40%
-27.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 31%
Agent 13%
-18.0pp
66% conf
2026-05-10
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 70%
Agent 42%
-28.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 70%
Agent 62%
-8.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 51%
Agent 53%
+2.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 58%
Agent 62%
+4.0pp
42% conf
2026-05-10
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 32%
Agent 16%
-16.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-10
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 20%
-22.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-10
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 4%
Agent 4%
-0.5pp
85% conf
2026-05-10
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 3%
-8.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-10
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 20%
Agent 5%
-14.5pp
60% conf
2026-05-09
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 81%
Agent 72%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-09
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 66%
Agent 74%
+8.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-09
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
82% conf
2026-05-09
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 32%
Agent 32%
+0.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-09
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 56%
Agent 48%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-09
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 38%
Agent 38%
+0.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-09
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 15%
Agent 3%
-12.0pp
82% conf
2026-05-09
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 44%
Agent 13%
-31.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-09
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 27%
Agent 26%
-1.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-09
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 69%
Agent 30%
-39.1pp
45% conf
2026-05-08
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 76%
Agent 71%
-5.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-08
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 94%
Agent 86%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 31%
Agent 9%
-22.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-08
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 69%
Agent 47%
-22.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 48%
-10.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 30%
Agent 7%
-23.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-08
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 19%
Agent 6%
-13.4pp
70% conf
2026-05-08
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 54%
Agent 84%
+30.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-08
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Politics KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Market 26%
Agent 22%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 2027
Politics KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Market 11%
Agent 8%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-07
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-07
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 51%
Agent 47%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-07
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 80%
Agent 78%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-07
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 44%
Agent 19%
-25.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-07
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 80%
Agent 90%
+10.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-07
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 66%
Agent 66%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 33%
Agent 15%
-18.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 71%
Agent 27%
-44.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Elections KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FBOL
Market 63%
Agent 54%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-06
Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? — Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
Elections KXLAMAYORMATCHUP-26JUN-NRAMKBAS
Market 27%
Agent 34%
+7.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-06
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 7%
Agent 50%
+42.9pp
20% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-06
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 9%
Agent 7%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-06
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 68%
Agent 64%
-4.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 5%
-20.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-06
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
Economics KXFED-27APR-T3.50
Market 48%
Agent 47%
-1.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 16%
Agent 5%
-10.5pp
78% conf
2026-05-06
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 38%
Agent 32%
-6.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-05
When will Anduril IPO? — Before Jun 1, 2027
Economics KXIPOANDURIL-27JUN01
Market 23%
Agent 13%
-10.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Economics KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Market 38%
Agent 22%
-16.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%? — Yes
Economics KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75
Market 19%
Agent 19%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
When will Starlink IPO? — Before Jun 30, 2027
Economics KXIPOSTARLINK-27JUN30
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-2.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
Economics KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Market 50%
Agent 42%
-8.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-05
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
Economics KXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3
Market 50%
Agent 42%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-05
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?
Economics KXDEFGDP-26OCT20-T5
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-2.0pp
92% conf
2026-05-05
Will Republican win the House race for LA-02? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA02-26-R
Market 72%
Agent 12%
-60.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 0%? — Spencer Pratt wins
Elections KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50
Market 18%
Agent 6%
-12.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-11? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-NY11-26-D
Market 22%
Agent 15%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-04
Will Republican win the House race for MS-02? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-MS02-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 4%
-9.0pp
82% conf
2026-05-04
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 23%
Agent 3%
-20.0pp
88% conf
2026-05-04
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 87%
Agent 79%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-04
Inflation surge in 2026? — At least 4%
Economics KXLCPIMAXYOY-27-P4
Market 87%
Agent 78%
-9.2pp
55% conf
2026-05-04
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 56%
Agent 52%
-4.5pp
42% conf
2026-05-04
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 73%
Agent 65%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-04
How high will unemployment get before 2027? — Above 5%
Economics KXU3MAX-27-5
Market 33%
Agent 29%
-4.4pp
50% conf
2026-05-04
Will there be a recession in 2026? — Starts
Economics KXRECSSNBER-26
Market 21%
Agent 18%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-04
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
Economics KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Market 87%
Agent 82%
-4.9pp
50% conf
2026-05-04
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 58%
Agent 45%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 66%
-9.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-03
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 73%
Agent 30%
-43.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-03
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 70%
Agent 48%
-22.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 48%
Agent 55%
+7.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 58%
Agent 58%
+0.0pp
42% conf
2026-05-03
Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? — Rafael Grossi
Companies KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO
Market 64%
Agent 27%
-37.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-03
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 47%
Agent 14%
-33.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-03
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 14%
-12.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-03
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 5%
Agent 7%
+2.0pp
65% conf
2026-05-03
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 4%
-7.5pp
70% conf
2026-05-02
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 16%
Agent 6%
-10.5pp
60% conf
2026-05-02
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 77%
Agent 58%
-19.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 70%
Agent 74%
+4.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-02
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 38%
Agent 40%
+1.8pp
42% conf
2026-05-02
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
Companies KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01
Market 34%
Agent 15%
-19.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-02
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 45%
Agent 46%
+1.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 19%
Agent 3%
-16.0pp
80% conf
2026-05-02
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 50%
Agent 30%
-20.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 51%
Agent 8%
-43.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-01
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 26%
Agent 19%
-7.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-01
Will anyone win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round? — First-round winner
Elections KXCOLOMBIAPRES1R-26MAY31
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.2pp
78% conf
2026-05-01
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 71%
Agent 22%
-49.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-01
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 80%
Agent 78%
-2.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 34%
Agent 9%
-25.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-01
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 65%
Agent 38%
-27.0pp
38% conf
2026-05-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 66%
Agent 42%
-24.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-01
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 90%
Agent 84%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-01
Will Xavier Becerra finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Elections KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-XBEC
Market 29%
Agent 28%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-01
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 32%
Agent 9%
-23.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-30
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 25%
Agent 4%
-21.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-30
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 46%
Agent 80%
+34.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-30
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 53%
Agent 58%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-30
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 81%
Agent 75%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-30
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 4%
Agent 5%
+1.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-30
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 32%
Agent 19%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-30
Will Republican win the House race for LA-06? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA06-26-R
Market 58%
Agent 55%
-3.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-30
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? — Leni Robredo
Elections KXPHILIPPINESPRES-28-LROB
Market 13%
Agent 3%
-10.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-30
Will JD Vance and Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
Elections KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANESTE
Market 1%
Agent 2%
+0.4pp
80% conf
2026-04-30
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
Economics KXFED-27JAN-T3.25
Market 45%
Agent 62%
+17.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 32%
-40.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-29
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 4%
Agent 4%
-0.3pp
72% conf
2026-04-29
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-29
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 6%
Agent 7%
+1.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-29
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 74%
Agent 66%
-8.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Australian House election? — Australian Labor Party
Elections KXAUSTRALIAHOUSE-28-ALP
Market 59%
Agent 64%
+5.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Ghanian parliamentary election? — NDC
Elections KXGHANAPARLI-28-NDC
Market 57%
Agent 56%
-1.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-FL14-26-D
Market 64%
Agent 82%
+18.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Elections KXTURKEYPRES-28-RERD
Market 50%
Agent 34%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
GDP growth in 2026? — 0.0 or below
Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-T0.1
Market 5%
Agent 8%
+3.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-28
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Wisconsin?
Elections KXATTYGENWI-26-R
Market 15%
Agent 20%
+5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-01? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-WA01-26-D
Market 94%
Agent 95%
+1.1pp
85% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-11? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-NJ11-26-D
Market 94%
Agent 93%
-1.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-08? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-VA08-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 96%
+0.5pp
88% conf
2026-04-28
Will Republican win the House race for SC-07? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-SC07-26-R
Market 93%
Agent 95%
+1.8pp
82% conf
2026-04-28
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
Elections KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA
Market 17%
Agent 10%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-28
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? — Susan Mendoza
Elections KXCHICAGOMAYOR-27-SMEN
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-28
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2028?
Politics KXFISALENGTH-26APR-FISA30D
Market 80%
Agent 72%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-28
Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%? — Yes
Economics KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75
Market 20%
Agent 24%
+4.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-28
Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027? — Talarico defeats Cornyn
Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALCOR
Market 11%
Agent 7%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-27
Will Republican win the House race for LA-05? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA05-26-R
Market 97%
Agent 97%
-0.2pp
90% conf
2026-04-27
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
Elections KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Market 75%
Agent 66%
-9.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-27
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 34%
Agent 31%
-3.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-27
Will Republican win the House race for TN-03? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-R
Market 97%
Agent 97%
+0.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-27
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? — Ekrem İmamoğlu
Elections KXPRESTURKEYR1-28-EIMA
Market 19%
Agent 7%
-12.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-27
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-15? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-CA15-26-D
Market 98%
Agent 98%
-0.2pp
92% conf
2026-04-27
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-52? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-CA52-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 96%
-0.2pp
85% conf
2026-04-27
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million? — 125 million and above
Elections KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125
Market 33%
Agent 25%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-27
Will Dashzegviin Amarbayasgalan win the next Mongolian presidential election?
Elections KXMONGOLIAPRES-27-DAMA
Market 4%
Agent 3%
-1.5pp
78% conf
2026-04-27
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Colorado
Elections GOVPARTYCO-26-R
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-22? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-FL22-26-D
Market 73%
Agent 82%
+9.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Elections GOVPARTYPA-26-R
Market 6%
Agent 10%
+4.1pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028
Elections KXSANDERSPRES-28
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-26
Will Republican win the House race for TX-13? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-TX13-26-R
Market 96%
Agent 96%
+1.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-26
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-VA06-26-D
Market 78%
Agent 62%
-16.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon
Elections GOVPARTYOR-26-R
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? — Before 2028
Elections KXTRUMPPRES-28
Market 15%
Agent 10%
-5.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — Ken Paxton, 5-10%
Elections KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P7
Market 17%
Agent 17%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-26
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? — Unity – National Movement
Elections KXGEORGIAPARLI-28-UNM
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
Politics KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Market 83%
Agent 66%
-17.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin
Elections GOVPARTYWI-26-D
Market 80%
Agent 72%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-25
Will Republican win the House race for WA-04? — Republican party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-WA04-26-R
Market 84%
Agent 91%
+7.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-25
Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro Parolin
Elections KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-2.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-25
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D
Market 40%
Agent 27%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
Elections KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-5.9pp
72% conf
2026-04-25
Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? — Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
Elections KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILTSTE
Market 52%
Agent 32%
-20.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will US test scores in Math decline? — Significant decrease
Politics KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Market 55%
Agent 40%
-15.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-25
Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? — Before 2029
Politics KXBANTRANS-26
Market 29%
Agent 48%
+19.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01
Market 92%
Agent 46%
-46.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? — Before 2028
Elections KXAOCSENATE-28
Market 52%
Agent 40%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-24
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?
Politics KXUSAKIM-29
Market 24%
Agent 5%
-19.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-24
Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027? — Decrease 0-0.99%
Politics KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N
Market 57%
Agent 48%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-24
Will SNP win above 64 seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Elections KXSNPMAJORITY-26MAY07-A64
Market 47%
Agent 45%
-2.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-24
Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? — Yes
Politics KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Market 65%
Agent 42%
-23.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-24
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)? — Before 2028
Politics KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Market 60%
Agent 7%
-53.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-24
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia
Elections GOVPARTYGA-26-R
Market 42%
Agent 48%
+6.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-24
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? — Alexi Giannoulias
Elections KXMAYORCHI-27-AGIA
Market 56%
Agent 42%
-14.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-24
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? — Ending Jun 4, 2029
Politics KXFULLTERMSKPRES-29
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.1pp
55% conf
2026-04-24
Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election? — Before 2035
Elections KXBRUVSEAT-35
Market 2%
Agent 2%
-0.3pp
80% conf
2026-04-24
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person
Politics KXNEXTDEF-29-NONE
Market 48%
Agent 56%
+8.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-23
Will Anthropic PBC win Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War et al.? — Before 2028
Politics KXANTHROPICDOD-28
Market 71%
Agent 55%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-23
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? — Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
Elections KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-GNEWJVAN
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-23
Will Steve Hilton and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? — Steve Hilton vs. Matt Mahan
Elections KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILMMAH
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-23
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXABRAHAMQ-29-JAN20
Market 28%
Agent 8%
-20.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-23
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 0% and 3%? — Yes, 0-3%
Elections KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-YES-P1
Market 6%
Agent 7%
+1.1pp
60% conf
2026-04-23
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor? — Keith Sonderling
Politics KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-KSON
Market 26%
Agent 36%
+10.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-23
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 71%
Agent 33%
-38.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-23
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 31%
-36.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Nov 1, 2026
Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26NOV01
Market 49%
Agent 36%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 55%
Agent 60%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 28%
-14.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-22
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 2%
-9.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-22
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 24%
Agent 16%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-22
Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? — Rafael Grossi
Companies KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO
Market 49%
Agent 28%
-21.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-22
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 70%
Agent 74%
+4.0pp
58% conf
2026-04-22
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 53%
Agent 58%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 2%
Agent 3%
+1.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-22
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 71%
Agent 12%
-59.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-21
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 32%
Agent 18%
-14.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-21
Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?
Elections KXVAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-10
Market 75%
Agent 42%
-33.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-21
Will US test scores in Reading decline? — Significant decrease
Politics KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
Market 67%
Agent 49%
-18.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-21
Will the margin of victory for Analilia Mejia in the 2026 NJ-11 special election be above 26%? — Analilia Mejia, ≥26%
Elections KXPRIMARYMOV-HOUSENJ11SPECIAL26-AMEJ-P63
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.0pp
95% conf
2026-04-21
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Elon Musk
Politics KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS
Market 35%
Agent 7%
-28.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-21
Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
Elections EUEXIT-30
Market 15%
Agent 5%
-10.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Elections KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN
Market 38%
Agent 27%
-11.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-21
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Politics KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Market 67%
Agent 27%
-40.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-21
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee? — Democratic party
Elections SENATETN-26-D
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.4pp
88% conf
2026-04-20
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts
Elections GOVPARTYMA-26-R
Market 12%
Agent 11%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-20
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Elections KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR
Market 25%
Agent 22%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Jul 1, 2026?
Politics KXNETANYAHUPARDON-26-JUL01
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-20
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029? — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN20
Market 72%
Agent 72%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-20
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07? — Democratic party
Elections KXHOUSERACE-TX07-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 93%
-3.2pp
72% conf
2026-04-20
GDP growth in 2026? — 4.6 to 5.0
Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.8
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.5pp
78% conf
2026-04-20
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
Elections KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-20
Will Janez Janša become Prime Minister of Slovenia following the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Elections KXSLOVENIAPM-26MAR22-JJAN
Market 81%
Agent 62%
-19.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-20
Will Tom Steyer finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Elections KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-TSTE
Market 37%
Agent 33%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-20
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? — Before 2029
Politics KXTRUMPSNL-29
Market 16%
Agent 8%
-8.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida
Elections GOVPARTYFL-26-R
Market 74%
Agent 80%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Minnesota? — Republican party
Elections SENATEMN-26-R
Market 9%
Agent 9%
+0.3pp
72% conf
2026-04-19
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas? — Democratic party
Elections SENATEKS-26-D
Market 21%
Agent 8%
-13.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-19
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho? — Democratic party
Elections SENATEID-26-D
Market 6%
Agent 4%
-2.5pp
82% conf
2026-04-19
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPVSLAUGHTER
Market 91%
Agent 89%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
Politics KXSUPERSONIC-28
Market 42%
Agent 38%
-4.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-19
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCMINWAGE-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-19
Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before June 1, 2026? — Before Jun 1, 2026
Politics KXLEAVEHOUSECOMBO-27JAN01-B260601
Market 33%
Agent 8%
-25.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-19
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? — Before 2027
Elections KXKAMALAGOV-27
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-19
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
Elections KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY
Market 29%
Agent 30%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-18
Will Mette Frederiksen become Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 Danish general election?
Elections KXDENMARKPM-26MAR24-MFRE
Market 89%
Agent 82%
-7.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-18
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — During Trump's term
Politics KXRECOGROC-29
Market 23%
Agent 14%
-9.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-18
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028? — Before Election Day
Elections KXTRUMPRUN-28NOV07
Market 22%
Agent 19%
-3.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-18
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky? — Republican party
Elections SENATELA-26-R
Market 94%
Agent 94%
-0.3pp
82% conf
2026-04-18
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
Elections KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Market 13%
Agent 2%
-11.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-18
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Republican Party
Elections CONTROLS-2026-R
Market 46%
Agent 48%
+2.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-18
Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Politics KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40
Market 97%
Agent 98%
+0.9pp
92% conf
2026-04-18
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oklahoma
Elections GOVPARTYOK-26-D
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.1pp
78% conf
2026-04-18
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?
Elections KXDHOUSESEATS-27-249
Market 25%
Agent 17%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-17
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?
Politics KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T2
Market 53%
Agent 50%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina? — Democratic party
Elections SENATESC-26-D
Market 18%
Agent 7%
-11.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-17
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCTAXMILLIONS-27JAN01
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCDEPTSAFETY-27JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 27%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida? — Democratic party
Elections SENATEFLS-26-D
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-17
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
Politics KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-35
Market 41%
Agent 19%
-22.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-17
Will the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election be between 15% and 18%? — TISZA, 15-18%
Elections KXHUNGARYMOV-26APR12-TIS-P16
Market 3%
Agent 6%
+3.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Who will win the governorship in California? — Matt Mahan
Elections KXGOVCA-26-MMAH
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
Economics KXFED-27APR-T3.50
Market 52%
Agent 45%
-7.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
Politics KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B50
Market 11%
Agent 14%
+3.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-16
Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028
Elections KXPRESELECTIONOCCUR-28
Market 93%
Agent 95%
+2.1pp
82% conf
2026-04-16
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
Politics KXFTA-29
Market 46%
Agent 30%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-16
Will a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly? — Government wins
Politics AMAZONFTC-29DEC31
Market 56%
Agent 35%
-21.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-16
Will Fidesz–KDNP win above 50 seats in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Elections KXFIDESZKDNPSEATS-26APR12-A50
Market 97%
Agent 95%
-2.3pp
78% conf
2026-04-16
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire? — Republican party
Elections SENATENH-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 17%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-16
Will Trump attend the White House correspondents dinner at any point during his presidency? — Yes
Politics KXDJTWHDINNER-29
Market 85%
Agent 82%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-16
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT
Market 49%
Agent 35%
-14.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-16
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? — R-House, R-Senate
Politics KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-RR
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+1.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-16
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 43% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
Politics KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-43
Market 42%
Agent 48%
+6.0pp
38% conf
2026-04-15
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCCHILDCARE-27JAN01
Market 25%
Agent 12%
-13.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-15
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2028? — At least 250 billion
Politics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-15
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXABRAHAMSY-29-JAN20
Market 24%
Agent 12%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-15
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Politics KXMARTIAL-29JAN20
Market 44%
Agent 7%
-37.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-15
Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCTAXBILLIONS-27JAN01
Market 16%
Agent 7%
-9.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-15
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Elections KXPERUPRES2ND-26MAR25-2-RALI
Market 30%
Agent 41%
+11.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-15
Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? — Amul Thapar
Politics KXSCOURT-29-AT
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-15
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto be the nominees in the 2026 Peru presidential election? — Keiko Fujimori vs. Jorge Nieto
Elections KXPERUPRESMATCHUP-26APR-KFUJJNIE
Market 4%
Agent 3%
-1.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-15
Will Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before May 1, 2026?
Politics KXKASHOUT-26APR-MAY01
Market 15%
Agent 12%
-3.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-15
Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana? — Seth Bodnar
Elections SENATEMT-26-IND
Market 17%
Agent 10%
-7.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
Politics KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
Market 54%
Agent 18%
-36.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-14
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? — Yes
Politics KXNYCCORPORATETAX-27JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 22%
-12.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-14
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
Politics KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-26JUL
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-14
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Elections KXALBERTAREFYES-29
Market 22%
Agent 10%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Elections GOVPARTYTX-26-D
Market 13%
Agent 7%
-6.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-14
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency? — Democratic Sweep
Elections POWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Market 42%
Agent 34%
-8.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-14
Will the margin of victory for Juliana Stratton in the 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate primary election be between 6% and 9%? — Stratton, 6-9%
Elections KXMOVILSENATED-26MAR17-JSTR-P7
Market 97%
Agent 96%
-1.1pp
93% conf
2026-04-14
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Republican party
Elections SENATEMI-26-R
Market 22%
Agent 28%
+6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026?
Politics KXLEAVEWALZ-27JAN01-TWAL-26JUL01
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-0.9pp
78% conf
2026-04-14
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
Politics KXABRAHAMSA-29-JAN20
Market 56%
Agent 20%
-36.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-13
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa
Elections GOVPARTYIA-26-D
Market 61%
Agent 47%
-14.0pp
38% conf
2026-04-13
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?
Politics KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-2
Market 31%
Agent 34%
+3.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-13
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
Politics KXFTAPRC-29
Market 37%
Agent 4%
-33.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-13
Will TISZA win above 130 seats in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Elections KXTISZASEATS-26APR12-A130
Market 98%
Agent 99%
+1.1pp
97% conf
2026-04-13
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 3%
Agent 2%
-1.0pp
95% conf
2026-04-13
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Kamala Harris
Elections KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR
Market 61%
Agent 55%
-6.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-13
Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before May 1, 2026?
Politics KXGABBARDOUT-26-MAY01
Market 3%
Agent 10%
+6.7pp
62% conf
2026-04-13
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be above 3%? — No, 3%+
Elections KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-NO-P51
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-13
Will Restore Britain win the next U.K. election? — Restore Britain party
Elections KXUKPARTY-29-REST
Market 8%
Agent 2%
-5.5pp
88% conf
2026-04-12
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
Politics KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01
Market 6%
Agent 2%
-3.5pp
90% conf
2026-04-12
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa? — Republican party
Elections SENATEIA-26-R
Market 62%
Agent 78%
+16.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-6.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-12
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026? — At least 250 billion
Politics KXGOVTCUTS-26-250
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-2.6pp
82% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota
Elections GOVPARTYMN-26-R
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+1.8pp
68% conf
2026-04-12
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia? — Democratic party
Elections SENATEGA-26-D
Market 84%
Agent 70%
-14.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-12
Will the margin of victory for Chris Taylor in 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election be between 18% and 100%? — Taylor, 18% and above
Elections KXMOVWISUPREMECOURT-26APR07-T59
Market 95%
Agent 97%
+2.0pp
92% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
Elections GOVPARTYOH-26-D
Market 53%
Agent 43%
-10.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-12
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska? — Republican party
Elections SENATENE-26-R
Market 70%
Agent 80%
+10.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-12
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before May? — Before May 1, 2026
Politics KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAY01
Market 16%
Agent 16%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-11
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina? — Roy Cooper
Elections SENATENC-26-D
Market 84%
Agent 72%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-11
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-11
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
Elections KXNEXTUKPM-30-RLOW
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.3pp
88% conf
2026-04-11
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Politics KXCABOUT-26APR-PHEG
Market 23%
Agent 24%
+1.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio? — Republican party
Elections SENATEOHS-26-R
Market 42%
Agent 55%
+13.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska? — Democratic party
Elections SENATEAK-26-D
Market 61%
Agent 35%
-26.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-11
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
85% conf
2026-04-11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
Elections KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-11
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 12%
Agent 5%
-7.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-10
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
Politics KXH1B-29
Market 30%
Agent 18%
-12.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-10
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
Politics KXBLUEWAVECOMBO-27FEB
Market 84%
Agent 58%
-26.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-10
State of the economy at the end of 2026? — Stagflation
Economics KXECONPATH-26-STAG
Market 28%
Agent 25%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-10
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? — Republican party
Elections SENATEME-26-R
Market 29%
Agent 35%
+6.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-10
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress? — Above 52
Elections KXDSENATESEATS-27-ABOVE52
Market 23%
Agent 19%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-10
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-10.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-10
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
Politics KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01
Market 15%
Agent 9%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-10
Will USAID be eliminated?
Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 41%
Agent 45%
+4.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-10
When will Anduril IPO? — Before Jun 1, 2027
Economics KXIPOANDURIL-27JUN01
Market 17%
Agent 15%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-04-10
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 23%
Agent 12%
-11.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-09
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 20%
Agent 10%
-10.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-09
GDP growth in 2026? — 4.1 to 4.5
Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.3
Market 3%
Agent 3%
+0.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-09
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
Politics KXBLUETSUNAMICOMBO-27FEB
Market 48%
Agent 30%
-18.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-09
Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress? — Below 193
Elections KXRHOUSESEATS-27-193
Market 40%
Agent 40%
+0.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-09
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 15%
Agent 4%
-11.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-09
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — Republican party
Elections KXPRESPARTY-2028-R
Market 41%
Agent 39%
-2.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-09
When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Economics KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Market 53%
Agent 47%
-6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-09
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition? — Yes
Politics KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6
Market 8%
Agent 3%
-5.4pp
88% conf
2026-04-09
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Elections KXAMEND22-29-JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-6.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-09
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
Economics KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Market 47%
Agent 50%
+3.0pp
28% conf
2026-04-08
When will Starlink IPO? — Before Jun 30, 2027
Economics KXIPOSTARLINK-27JUN30
Market 14%
Agent 18%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-08
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
Elections KXVPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 27%
Agent 15%
-12.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-08
When will SpaceX IPO? — Before May 1, 2026
Economics KXIPOSPACEX-26MAY01
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-08
Will the Republican party win the governorship in California
Elections GOVPARTYCA-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 9%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
PPI YoY exceed CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026? — Above CPI YoY
Economics KXPPIVSCPI-27FEB01-TCPIYOY
Market 93%
Agent 91%
-2.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-07
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 20%
Agent 7%
-13.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-07
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
Economics KXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3
Market 42%
Agent 43%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
Will Any part of Greenland be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXSTATE51-29-GL
Market 5%
Agent 2%
-3.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-07
Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Elections KXNEXTHUNGARYPM-26MAY01-VORB
Market 32%
Agent 33%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?
Economics KXDEFGDP-26OCT20-T5
Market 7%
Agent 7%
+0.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-07
Who will win the governorship in California? — Eric Swalwell
Elections KXGOVCA-26-ESWA
Market 47%
Agent 7%
-40.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-07
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 68%
Agent 50%
-18.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-07
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 27%
Agent 5%
-22.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 16%
Agent 7%
-9.1pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Inflation surge in 2026? — At least 3%
Economics KXLCPIMAXYOY-27-P3
Market 98%
Agent 95%
-3.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-06
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? — James Talarico
Elections SENATETX-26-D
Market 45%
Agent 14%
-31.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-06
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 74%
Agent 73%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 40%
Agent 42%
+2.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Democratic Party
Elections CONTROLS-2026-D
Market 51%
Agent 48%
-2.9pp
42% conf
2026-04-06
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 20%
Agent 7%
-13.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-06
Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
Politics KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.4pp
72% conf
2026-04-06
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 50%
Agent 20%
-30.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 68%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
Companies KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01
Market 20%
Agent 14%
-6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio
Elections KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Market 13%
Agent 9%
-3.6pp
35% conf
2026-04-06
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 83%
Agent 87%
+4.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 88%
Agent 80%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 54%
Agent 38%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-06
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 17%
Agent 22%
+5.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-05
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 7%
-42.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-05
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 17%
Agent 4%
-13.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-05
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 55%
Agent 6%
-49.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-05
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 92%
Agent 87%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-05
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 63%
Agent 14%
-49.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-05
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 33%
Agent 14%
-19.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-05
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Elections KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 24%
Agent 16%
-8.3pp
35% conf
2026-04-05
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 54%
Agent 43%
-11.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-05
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 59%
Agent 50%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-05
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
Elections CONTROLH-2026-R
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+0.7pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 32%
Agent 4%
-27.5pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?
Politics KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
Market 49%
Agent 33%
-15.8pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 79%
Agent 58%
-21.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 72%
Agent 50%
-22.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Elections KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Market 27%
Agent 25%
-2.1pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 90%
+33.0pp
80% conf
2026-04-04
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
Economics KXU3MAX-27-5
Market 37%
Agent 37%
-0.4pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?
Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 38%
Agent 34%
-4.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
Politics KXFEDCHAIRCONFIRM-JSHE
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.3pp
80% conf
2026-04-04
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 3%
Agent 4%
+1.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?
Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 35%
Agent 10%
-25.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Elections KXCITRINI-28JUL01
Market 30%
Agent 23%
-6.7pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
Politics KXSAVEACT-27-JAN04
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-1.6pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Trump make IVF free?
Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the US meet its climate goals?
Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 4%
Agent 6%
+1.8pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will there be a recession in 2026?
Economics KXRECSSNBER-26
Market 30%
Agent 28%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 33%
Agent 8%
-25.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 78%
Agent 73%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 63%
Agent 59%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Economics KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Market 86%
Agent 92%
+6.1pp
80% conf
2026-04-03
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 52%
Agent 68%
+16.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
World KXELONMARS-99
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will Trump buy Greenland?
Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 12%
-12.9pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?
Politics KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?
Economics KXIPOOURA-28JAN01
Market 76%
Agent 71%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will Olipop IPO?
Economics KXIPOOLIPOP-26AUG01
Market 4%
Agent 5%
+1.0pp
80% conf
2026-04-03
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?
Economics KXUSDTTBILL-27FEB28-T60.0
Market 94%
Agent 90%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?
Economics KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H0
Market 60%
Agent 60%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
Economics KXIPOWHOOP-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03