Multi-step reasoning pipeline: Planning → Research → Evidence Synthesis → Independent Forecast → Devil's Advocate → Final Forecast
| Date | Market | Category | Mkt Price | Predicted | Edge | Confidence | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 |
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
|
Politics | 17% | 22% | +5.0% |
52%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
KXROBOTMARS-35
|
Science and Technology | 49% | 7% | -42.0% |
72%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
|
Companies | 17% | 4% | -13.0% |
82%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
|
Climate and Weather | 55% | 6% | -49.0% |
75%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
|
Companies | 92% | 87% | -5.0% |
72%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
NYTOAI-27DEC31
|
Science and Technology | 63% | 14% | -49.0% |
62%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
KXCANAL-29
|
Politics | 33% | 14% | -19.0% |
52%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
|
Elections | 24% | 16% | -8.3% |
35%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
|
Climate and Weather | 54% | 43% | -11.0% |
45%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-05 |
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
|
Economics | 59% | 50% | -9.0% |
40%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
CONTROLH-2026-R
|
Elections | 14% | 15% | +0.7% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
|
Climate and Weather | 32% | 4% | -27.5% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
|
Politics | 49% | 33% | -15.8% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
|
Economics | 79% | 58% | -21.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
KXBLUESPACEX-30
|
Science and Technology | 72% | 50% | -22.0% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
|
Elections | 27% | 25% | -2.1% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
|
Climate and Weather | 57% | 90% | +33.0% |
80%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
KXU3MAX-27-5
|
Economics | 37% | 37% | -0.4% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?
APPLEUS-29DEC31
|
Companies | 38% | 34% | -4.0% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-04 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
KXFEDCHAIRCONFIRM-JSHE
|
Politics | 2% | 2% | +0.3% |
80%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
KXPOLIOELIM-30
|
Health | 3% | 4% | +1.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?
KXGREENTERRITORY-29
|
Politics | 35% | 10% | -25.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
KXCITRINI-28JUL01
|
Elections | 30% | 23% | -6.7% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
KXSAVEACT-27-JAN04
|
Politics | 12% | 10% | -1.6% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will Trump make IVF free?
KXFREEIVF-29
|
Health | 16% | 10% | -6.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will the US meet its climate goals?
USCLIMATE-2025
|
Climate and Weather | 4% | 6% | +1.8% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will there be a recession in 2026?
KXRECSSNBER-26
|
Economics | 30% | 28% | -2.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
KXSPACEXMARS-30
|
Science and Technology | 33% | 8% | -25.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
|
Companies | 78% | 73% | -5.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
|
Financials | 63% | 59% | -4.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
|
Economics | 86% | 92% | +6.1% |
80%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KXMOONMAN-31-USA
|
Science and Technology | 52% | 68% | +16.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
KXELONMARS-99
|
World | 10% | 11% | +1.0% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will Trump buy Greenland?
KXGREENLAND-29
|
Politics | 25% | 12% | -12.9% |
25%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?
KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
|
Politics | 7% | 4% | -3.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?
KXIPOOURA-28JAN01
|
Economics | 76% | 71% | -5.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
When will Olipop IPO?
KXIPOOLIPOP-26AUG01
|
Economics | 4% | 5% | +1.0% |
80%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?
KXUSDTTBILL-27FEB28-T60.0
|
Economics | 94% | 90% | -4.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?
KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H0
|
Economics | 60% | 60% | +0.0% |
50%
|
View → |
| 2026-04-03 |
When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
KXIPOWHOOP-27JAN01
|
Economics | 10% | 10% | +0.0% |
50%
|
View → |