Scans

Each scan is a full pass through the multi-step pipeline: plan → research → synthesise → ensemble → critic → final forecast. Click any scan to see every intermediate forecast, the evidence that produced it, and how the market moved afterward.

386
Scans last 7 days
+2pp
Accuracy vs market (7d, n=133)
823
Unique markets (1940 scans total)

Most accurate forecasts

Scans where the market has moved furthest in the direction the agent called
polymarket World +67.5pp
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
At scan Market 77%, agent 57% By t+7 Market 10% (moved -67.5pp)
kalshi Companies +51.0pp
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
At scan Market 54%, agent 37% By t+7 Market 3% (moved -51.0pp)
kalshi Elections +50.0pp
Will Dan J. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
At scan Market 49%, agent 60% By t+7 Market 99% (moved +50.0pp)

All scans

1940 shown
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
polymarket Financials 0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
71% conf
2026-09-03
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
87% conf
2026-09-03
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?
polymarket World 0xa27fd413954372554ffbdd40d301f333272c435db3b020f708ba155aeac96d4b
Market 50%
Agent 4%
-45.5pp
80% conf
2026-09-03
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 12%
Agent 11%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-09-03
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 6%
-13.0pp
80% conf
2026-09-03
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x5356a8b0fb19306f9169a74d6578088d7d7d6438c821234abcd0900aa81890ec
Market 47%
Agent 27%
-20.0pp
55% conf
2026-09-03
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e
Market 72%
Agent 65%
-7.0pp
54% conf
2026-09-03
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4
Market 90%
Agent 83%
-6.5pp
60% conf
2026-09-03
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 23%
Agent 2%
-20.8pp
80% conf
2026-09-03
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
polymarket Elections 0x574baadddd5ff73355480351a6b067f762d4ad18ffdd619aa99253820b691845
Market 14%
Agent 14%
-0.5pp
66% conf
2026-09-03
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe16d6ef2442a8877d457ad2292e6f9832f569911685d5f2e7b0c89fbcf75cb7b
Market 88%
Agent 79%
-9.0pp
52% conf
2026-09-03
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.6pp
73% conf
2026-09-03
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
polymarket World 0xd7e906eaec2c7f66697447785aa1d4fdaa82f536ca533a2bc0d3535b04e832ec
Market 93%
Agent 93%
+0.3pp
76% conf
2026-09-03
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857
Market 28%
Agent 26%
-2.5pp
66% conf
2026-09-03
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 27%
Agent 28%
+1.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-03
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
polymarket Elections 0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c
Market 88%
Agent 87%
-1.5pp
71% conf
2026-09-03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb
Market 56%
Agent 53%
-2.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-03
Who will win the next Ghanian parliamentary election? — NDC
kalshi Elections KXGHANAPARLI-28-NDC
Market 61%
Agent 66%
+5.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-03
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x280f534844278583edf4371c96e28dfe4c03bd93ba3cbfce9175ee3821dfa12f
Market 44%
Agent 50%
+6.5pp
51% conf
2026-09-03
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 13%
Agent 20%
+7.0pp
38% conf
2026-09-03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485
Market 70%
Agent 71%
+1.0pp
61% conf
2026-09-03
Who will win the next Australian House election? — Australian Labor Party
kalshi Elections KXAUSTRALIAHOUSE-28-ALP
Market 53%
Agent 64%
+11.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c
Market 54%
Agent 62%
+8.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-03
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? — Leni Robredo
kalshi Elections KXPHILIPPINESPRES-28-LROB
Market 15%
Agent 2%
-12.5pp
74% conf
2026-09-03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
polymarket Companies 0x073ca5657f1176276aab63652f31aa3c80aa07b4cd28c299373bbc264c5e13a9
Market 60%
Agent 48%
-11.6pp
52% conf
2026-09-03
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z? — Before July 1, 2027
kalshi Elections KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01
Market 12%
Agent 6%
-6.0pp
78% conf
2026-09-03
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0x707ca13ce9038662dcea98e2b87ffceb55c7dbe6c73a864a3ad04c1d6716f5ee
Market 46%
Agent 53%
+7.0pp
57% conf
2026-09-03
Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
kalshi Financials KXANTHROPICLEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX
Market 52%
Agent 50%
-2.0pp
55% conf
2026-09-03
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
polymarket Health 0x0b44e9c6eb563adf459816f9a7a2de0aa66ba5423c474ecab30c97203a3e8207
Market 66%
Agent 58%
-8.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-03
Will the President sign fewer than 300 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029? — Below 300
kalshi Politics KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-300
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.4pp
82% conf
2026-09-03
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xc35747b2ab54f21809a564f89fd3cff2b8f5b0ba60c9aeec4aa8f7a49cc8551a
Market 84%
Agent 79%
-5.2pp
62% conf
2026-09-03
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXUSAKIM-29
Market 15%
Agent 11%
-4.0pp
66% conf
2026-09-03
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
polymarket Economics 0xd32ac3b2db228eb03d6385b5f0747b7013e0ff717a20e63c75fc74824b91d6b2
Market 68%
Agent 69%
+1.5pp
65% conf
2026-09-03
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 30%
Agent 27%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-03
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b
Market 12%
Agent 14%
+2.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-03
Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero?
kalshi Elections KXNAURURENAME-27JAN01-YES
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
88% conf
2026-09-03
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.5pp
71% conf
2026-09-02
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 54%
Agent 38%
-16.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-02
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xd2e96e78b5a59e12b4d60d6b8426aa93dc6edf2ed7d711509481050c347856b3
Market 26%
Agent 26%
+0.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-02
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
kalshi Elections KXTURKEYPRES-28-RERD
Market 58%
Agent 47%
-11.0pp
50% conf
2026-09-02
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe0441ada2c5e07e7b93336aa10d362cc3daa56f8e4056f4328c774a329caf2e3
Market 68%
Agent 63%
-5.5pp
50% conf
2026-09-02
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? — Ekrem İmamoğlu
kalshi Elections KXPRESTURKEYR1-28-EIMA
Market 16%
Agent 12%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780
Market 16%
Agent 19%
+3.5pp
65% conf
2026-09-02
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)? — Before 2028
kalshi Politics KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Market 52%
Agent 17%
-35.0pp
48% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd59f25520a8c0ea44a9c9741a97c8c3d769e21f1479b9a14e1a9d475e91f522a
Market 8%
Agent 17%
+8.5pp
67% conf
2026-09-02
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 42%
Agent 30%
-12.4pp
58% conf
2026-09-02
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
polymarket Companies 0xb26b135b38bcbe4c7abe33467a8da10030286d29c4f662ca269ed3ae05db9cbb
Market 44%
Agent 20%
-24.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-02
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMQ-29-JAN20
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
64% conf
2026-09-02
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x3ff9124b87f05d7a65ec801f28cb336b86c16a2197afb0139731610d55e21d27
Market 17%
Agent 19%
+2.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-02
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
kalshi Elections KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd
Market 68%
Agent 68%
-0.5pp
64% conf
2026-09-02
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 14%
Agent 5%
-9.0pp
82% conf
2026-09-02
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
polymarket World 0x501986de68bd14841c835ec33df35e3cb5355ecff2ace13c0b31d8b907f7f018
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-02
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person
kalshi Politics KXNEXTDEF-29-NONE
Market 50%
Agent 55%
+5.0pp
56% conf
2026-09-02
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x86e83d79e4d8b30320f6bd1540ece170231f614920f51ecfb492f3163f071ea1
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.0pp
45% conf
2026-09-02
Will Minnesota Governor winner be Democratic party and Minnesota Senate winner be Democratic party? — Democrats sweep
kalshi Elections KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Market 92%
Agent 88%
-4.0pp
58% conf
2026-09-02
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
polymarket Elections 0xbd30a99e5e7572bcf8cb89def3fcaabbd59afdb343f931de2b261e8f42ad716d
Market 82%
Agent 75%
-7.5pp
54% conf
2026-09-02
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
kalshi Politics KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN
Market 20%
Agent 17%
-3.0pp
61% conf
2026-09-02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
polymarket Financials 0xe02dadd92c84112fce087b6f260d62c8df1648e071acaef35b0851c8dde64163
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+0.9pp
55% conf
2026-09-02
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?
kalshi Elections KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Market 35%
Agent 30%
-5.0pp
51% conf
2026-09-02
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x0188297b3b68b403d98b82281f12f07fe041d3277edcb8f733e9282d3abfeb76
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-0.5pp
67% conf
2026-09-02
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Market 45%
Agent 40%
-5.0pp
57% conf
2026-09-02
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x3849e1d62e0807801913d3e2427e8caf3cc6dd1c8ef42d8d5c08c6f9c449dc5e
Market 91%
Agent 93%
+2.0pp
77% conf
2026-09-02
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 38%
Agent 36%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
polymarket Financials 0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-4.5pp
72% conf
2026-09-02
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Market 42%
Agent 32%
-10.0pp
55% conf
2026-09-02
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xd73dc42697ca2769470ad374ac1a87eaa6b527759be5dc3d7a81d6cc73ae6cad
Market 44%
Agent 42%
-2.0pp
56% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYNH-28-R
Market 88%
Agent 89%
+1.0pp
76% conf
2026-09-02
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989
Market 18%
Agent 19%
+1.1pp
55% conf
2026-09-02
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? — JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
kalshi Elections KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
56% conf
2026-09-02
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
polymarket Elections 0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0
Market 10%
Agent 10%
-0.2pp
73% conf
2026-09-02
Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
kalshi Elections KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-UKRI
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-4.0pp
64% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4
Market 90%
Agent 87%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-09-02
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 23%
Agent 20%
-3.0pp
67% conf
2026-09-02
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80
Market 11%
Agent 8%
-2.6pp
70% conf
2026-09-02
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? — Unity – National Movement
kalshi Elections KXGEORGIAPARLI-28-UNM
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
68% conf
2026-09-02
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xb276435811dc77171602f790db2b5900e780adfadb7cff57e547d58fb1a8215f
Market 16%
Agent 16%
-0.5pp
66% conf
2026-09-02
Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
kalshi Politics KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.60
Market 81%
Agent 84%
+3.0pp
66% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x0465cd005a54781e052b679e2c42c7ae5b772490fdda54316f157bf537536456
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.5pp
72% conf
2026-09-02
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEOH-28-D
Market 45%
Agent 44%
-1.0pp
50% conf
2026-09-02
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
polymarket Financials 0xd008c45c5320e7453b4e7725bda285cd822a3a61adef14759f2aadf0778c64b6
Market 31%
Agent 30%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-02
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
kalshi Politics KXSUPERSONIC-28
Market 60%
Agent 58%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-02
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
polymarket Elections 0x67a28cbd0e3454c2b040495b376dddb2cb2c415fa817f5d845a949c980c0ce55
Market 80%
Agent 80%
-0.5pp
68% conf
2026-09-02
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SGRI
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-02
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0x6f04e616ffd50454ef05e49c23098c3f1d2fbd5bc154cb2f240660df8290aa73
Market 33%
Agent 34%
+1.0pp
58% conf
2026-09-02
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN20
Market 70%
Agent 65%
-5.0pp
52% conf
2026-09-02
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
polymarket Elections 0xc0f076bc4d90a44df34a729277e9d1f294f0cb60d2c3b1b3800908b1e15b923b
Market 92%
Agent 90%
-2.5pp
64% conf
2026-09-02
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXFULLTERMSKPRES-29
Market 58%
Agent 67%
+9.0pp
58% conf
2026-09-02
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
polymarket Elections 0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.1pp
66% conf
2026-09-02
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPSNL-29
Market 15%
Agent 9%
-6.0pp
67% conf
2026-09-02
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x9cedd0cd3fd360dc0167b438bb73337ff34abe3c3d6241d421e69e555103ae9c
Market 92%
Agent 90%
-1.5pp
73% conf
2026-09-02
Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? — Amul Thapar
kalshi Politics KXSCOURT-29-AT
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.1pp
66% conf
2026-09-02
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
polymarket Politics 0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129
Market 42%
Agent 44%
+2.5pp
57% conf
2026-09-02
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.7 million active clear+ members in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8700000.0
Market 50%
Agent 43%
-7.0pp
54% conf
2026-09-02
Blue wave in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xed4fd09a24f20a3afc1d722ace811fffff3cffd9a56a3fbffc47f4d3d47a88ed
Market 74%
Agent 46%
-27.5pp
55% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Democratic party win the House in 2028?
kalshi Elections CONTROLH-2028-D
Market 77%
Agent 72%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3
Market 50%
Agent 35%
-15.5pp
56% conf
2026-09-01
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Elections KXKAMALARUN-28-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 14%
+4.0pp
66% conf
2026-09-01
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
polymarket Elections 0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3
Market 44%
Agent 49%
+4.5pp
57% conf
2026-09-01
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4320 total restaurant count in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCMGA-28JANRESTS-4320
Market 87%
Agent 92%
+5.0pp
74% conf
2026-09-01
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x4229c383fa8cd43a052c57b261c04accfccacef3980175859b7786729d43a62a
Market 53%
Agent 42%
-11.0pp
40% conf
2026-09-01
Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party? — Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
kalshi Elections KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Market 26%
Agent 14%
-12.0pp
40% conf
2026-09-01
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xafafcc4426dd81dc1bd249183e694f8a2addbbbef818deb1e4593449d2764fad
Market 12%
Agent 16%
+4.5pp
48% conf
2026-09-01
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 83%
Agent 73%
-10.0pp
50% conf
2026-09-01
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x2a298f2e7444e72897c8cbf439f922356e278fa38de4428467007622b10b34ef
Market 12%
Agent 16%
+3.5pp
52% conf
2026-09-01
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Market 12%
Agent 11%
-1.0pp
68% conf
2026-09-01
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xb6b45a6527a60bea323a311a9d4179c532c903e589f81751cfcd86b912b71eda
Market 38%
Agent 43%
+5.5pp
47% conf
2026-09-01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?
kalshi Politics KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH
Market 79%
Agent 86%
+7.0pp
73% conf
2026-09-01
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x0c49d3e9e2ca6bcf8a876a640948abe8a23823a9379ca942d0612704c22ccdb4
Market 45%
Agent 37%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-09-01
Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028
kalshi Elections KXSANDERSPRES-28
Market 15%
Agent 8%
-7.0pp
73% conf
2026-09-01
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0xcdeccd802e7a68c301931daa551181d7d7bb1b1df92b02e7e4c5c42e728aa026
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.3pp
82% conf
2026-09-01
Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027? — Decrease 0-0.99%
kalshi Politics KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N
Market 28%
Agent 28%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-09-01
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0xca52ff40e910f20d6af4ae3b475f6fa00c4a31205d732cfb2c2e1d09dff21932
Market 9%
Agent 9%
+0.0pp
67% conf
2026-09-01
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Market 87%
Agent 80%
-7.0pp
63% conf
2026-09-01
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?
polymarket World 0x13c1a0dd70920c95b506ebc894c72533a630b6aec4699a1fd0e2292578ea998d
Market 20%
Agent 16%
-4.0pp
70% conf
2026-09-01
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTA-29
Market 39%
Agent 25%
-14.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-01
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
polymarket Elections 0x2f112a1cd954debe3438caac411ca4395cc53be0e1580a5802ab42618b94aff7
Market 66%
Agent 57%
-9.5pp
52% conf
2026-09-01
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 24%
Agent 5%
-19.0pp
86% conf
2026-09-01
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x77d9710dc8da78bc88f884327609f8546cc429374605bd117804bc4e9cdda2da
Market 92%
Agent 87%
-4.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXAOCSENATE-28
Market 41%
Agent 41%
+0.0pp
52% conf
2026-09-01
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xf60181f7e19c509a25f92a7f174eb9c4f0eac7ca9aa1338c8a1506efa9378693
Market 28%
Agent 45%
+16.8pp
52% conf
2026-09-01
Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
kalshi Elections EUEXIT-30
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-4.0pp
77% conf
2026-09-01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x3d20f26deb9b9cc7e24e5e06c10234a722d93bac095ce1105c59b44b503078d7
Market 8%
Agent 8%
-0.1pp
73% conf
2026-09-01
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 28%
Agent 34%
+6.0pp
55% conf
2026-09-01
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
68% conf
2026-09-01
Will US test scores in Reading decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
Market 49%
Agent 45%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-09-01
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
polymarket World 0x91e33c9060d6b19bc54f0ea3dcf0bd20bf73893f13026682833622c5f5a377bb
Market 11%
Agent 11%
+0.0pp
64% conf
2026-09-01
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
kalshi Elections KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR
Market 22%
Agent 17%
-5.0pp
57% conf
2026-09-01
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x8551feaa3686055daf51aab30b996edc01cbbd91d8e75ae1b6bda4fd03f10dae
Market 41%
Agent 40%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-09-01
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 78%
Agent 75%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
polymarket Financials 0x4b7d5f622d56026aa781e1980212222cdf062511d9a43374977f63caaa319167
Market 21%
Agent 27%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-01
Will US test scores in Math decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Market 44%
Agent 34%
-10.0pp
50% conf
2026-09-01
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xbdc635d467824a385ac7d3bce40f08095da521f398d0dc5af77cefd3b213c4d0
Market 92%
Agent 85%
-7.5pp
46% conf
2026-09-01
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXRECOGROC-29
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.0pp
58% conf
2026-09-01
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
polymarket Elections 0xbf3e73c18f9fba93022128610729e6d8b399ba9e41ee2c0bc01400344923f9c8
Market 72%
Agent 62%
-10.5pp
53% conf
2026-09-01
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
51% conf
2026-09-01
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x1ea2b1c0091848e75be823c039081f7db66ebb48af0e5d286da156fce773722f
Market 8%
Agent 8%
-0.5pp
71% conf
2026-09-01
Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPPRES-28
Market 8%
Agent 8%
-0.1pp
70% conf
2026-09-01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?
polymarket Financials 0x3ed997847f4ee721e421d5e95ababa33232af3270964e2d5ec0a078f825b7b38
Market 72%
Agent 74%
+1.5pp
65% conf
2026-09-01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-01
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e
Market 82%
Agent 80%
-2.2pp
68% conf
2026-09-01
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 37%
Agent 34%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-01
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x96920e5ba3398e3c95db9b10c1b21550e3c25ecdbf44627e00a4a576c0a49b97
Market 68%
Agent 62%
-5.5pp
40% conf
2026-09-01
Will a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly? — Government wins
kalshi Politics AMAZONFTC-29DEC31
Market 42%
Agent 41%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-09-01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x6b0142f2a37f6d576452e7c2a98a46fdca2ab0ed309a2edc3d160c6f2dcb8d0a
Market 82%
Agent 83%
+1.5pp
71% conf
2026-09-01
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-3.9pp
66% conf
2026-09-01
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x1b3b1c9bfea0928c2cb9257d6a0d3b2b624dbfbd4f85eee32191927e55bbf0eb
Market 70%
Agent 64%
-6.2pp
43% conf
2026-09-01
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Economics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 12%
Agent 5%
-7.0pp
80% conf
2026-09-01
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0x4669581cb5c701fd3632a5529ee702353d91d3d4320aba33a31683b388b83869
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+3.5pp
56% conf
2026-09-01
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-H26
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xa792f029046f2c926ee81c7d9802c21a4a651d33cf7e1bf991ba800ae002f59f
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.0pp
77% conf
2026-09-01
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 220 million board feet?
kalshi Economics KXORBOFHARVEST-27NOV30-T220
Market 13%
Agent 7%
-6.0pp
65% conf
2026-09-01
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
polymarket Economics 0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200
Market 56%
Agent 57%
+0.5pp
62% conf
2026-09-01
Will David Leslie qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
kalshi Elections KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DLES
Market 80%
Agent 84%
+4.0pp
59% conf
2026-09-01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
polymarket World 0x37afc8c67078b5d694d354ce88690a71ef61ca948371a65c54e876f2eb4fd8b2
Market 18%
Agent 19%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-09-01
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
kalshi Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-PHEG
Market 15%
Agent 12%
-3.0pp
57% conf
2026-09-01
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x12b727031b38130d945b3e164386874360d9a32fdd7e3d00ed2adb13857e089b
Market 18%
Agent 12%
-5.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-31
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Market 10%
Agent 2%
-7.2pp
88% conf
2026-08-31
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Health 0x5801ce623a1d2dcb20bec5708fd9f881326aaf1ff82af22248aceccc7bf29708
Market 88%
Agent 85%
-2.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-31
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Market 18%
Agent 2%
-15.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-31
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x51cc0614ea1f7bec1578cc308d2514e2d2cbe0501707bba7f0eea17652956e44
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-4.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-31
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? — Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi Economics KXIPOOURA-26OCT01
Market 41%
Agent 23%
-18.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-31
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x78401aebcb93cb03100dedf8d7cfc4568e8e17f619c4b7017a294ae3c8954fb6
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
71% conf
2026-08-31
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 88%
Agent 85%
-3.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985
Market 92%
Agent 88%
-4.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-31
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 61%
Agent 91%
+30.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-31
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x85c6193a5695b52740b325bb3e438a10d2d758c5bb95f295fd4bf5721f30453b
Market 74%
Agent 70%
-4.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-31
When will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public? — Before Jan 2028
kalshi Politics KXNYCGROCERY-28-JAN01
Market 81%
Agent 73%
-8.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
polymarket Elections 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Market 50%
Agent 38%
-12.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-31
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? — Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
kalshi Elections KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-GNEWJVAN
Market 11%
Agent 11%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-31
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0x8752afb10fb2e03dd7253b1de92473ab726e3506daf7e1c86263b4906fa92ef9
Market 9%
Agent 11%
+2.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-31
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSY-29-JAN20
Market 20%
Agent 16%
-4.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x0e159c0d672526d1d65f524b1c512185924aac8f781b6c68549c2a17dec953e0
Market 28%
Agent 45%
+17.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-31
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tucker Carlson
kalshi Elections KX2028RRUN-28-TUC
Market 26%
Agent 19%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64
Market 68%
Agent 92%
+24.5pp
77% conf
2026-08-31
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc
Market 24%
Agent 22%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 93%
Agent 90%
-3.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-31
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xb63fbd776203cada01a13bb21b3c52c500bcf904bdfc71627022db1f891f95c5
Market 62%
Agent 63%
+1.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-31
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028? — Before Election Day
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPRUN-28NOV07
Market 27%
Agent 25%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9
Market 65%
Agent 56%
-9.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-31
Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXBANTRANS-26
Market 20%
Agent 88%
+68.0pp
80% conf
2026-08-31
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0xdb66349b5658e7ce54667294bb61ca2f98d68f8afde5c711284d7e9c5a5e5787
Market 76%
Agent 73%
-3.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-31
Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028
kalshi Elections KXPRESELECTIONOCCUR-28
Market 90%
Agent 96%
+5.9pp
80% conf
2026-08-31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527
Market 88%
Agent 89%
+1.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-31
Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA
Market 64%
Agent 45%
-19.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-31
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
polymarket Financials 0x7080086a82babdb1b556ddc543ce616f82764c40c3860002e0ab38396eb8078b
Market 76%
Agent 70%
-5.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor? — Keith Sonderling
kalshi Politics KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-KSON
Market 92%
Agent 93%
+1.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-31
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb
Market 68%
Agent 68%
-0.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-31
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 63%
Agent 60%
-3.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46
Market 70%
Agent 63%
-6.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-31
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
kalshi Elections KXALBERTAREFYES-29
Market 17%
Agent 8%
-9.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-31
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-6.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-31
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXMARTIAL-29JAN20
Market 32%
Agent 17%
-15.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b
Market 68%
Agent 66%
-1.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-31
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?
kalshi Politics KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-2
Market 30%
Agent 29%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2
Market 61%
Agent 60%
-1.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-31
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency? — Democratic Sweep
kalshi Elections POWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Market 53%
Agent 48%
-5.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
polymarket Economics 0x4ab00a29b7f3d12114932a728eca136a00685176808ee001f0f375e6f0abb071
Market 88%
Agent 87%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-31
Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
Market 50%
Agent 44%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc
Market 28%
Agent 20%
-8.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-31
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000
Market 84%
Agent 87%
+3.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
Market 76%
Agent 74%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-31
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi Elections KX2028DRUN-28-AOC
Market 62%
Agent 57%
-5.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-31
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd103195d48bf6183e28c4140bd374dd3e907e8f8d411374cb4d2d124ec4c216d
Market 92%
Agent 91%
-0.5pp
75% conf
2026-08-31
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTAPRC-29
Market 19%
Agent 5%
-14.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-31
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x81a23668cf6fbd017907168cf75f8c87124078ad466e4e5df0dc44f961d83bb6
Market 34%
Agent 36%
+1.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-31
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?
kalshi Economics KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T22
Market 70%
Agent 48%
-22.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-31
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
polymarket World 0xcb953a9c8dee30952e3f3307819a84abc79892a28c063368608a43ffaf961436
Market 28%
Agent 30%
+2.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-31
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSA-29-JAN20
Market 32%
Agent 26%
-6.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
polymarket Economics 0x2f7fd7124a7ff44d324a49cda1415371c7cc4ee111f60b288a3d6ad194319d15
Market 92%
Agent 90%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-31
Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?
kalshi Elections KXIDGROUNDWATER-26AUG17-A500
Market 86%
Agent 94%
+8.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-31
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
polymarket World 0x984ee41a6ca3a79a425befa1dc635ff8204cd29550190b8363ae6a1250c1677d
Market 12%
Agent 7%
-4.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-31
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 24%
Agent 29%
+4.9pp
54% conf
2026-08-31
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x6753180082c3024e0727352387066cabf13fd2ebea317ec4394baa8d8a86c1ea
Market 24%
Agent 17%
-7.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-31
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? — Paxton defeats Talarico
kalshi Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL
Market 52%
Agent 50%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-31
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
polymarket Elections 0x809eaa464104c09fbe8e54c582256dfa29b5061928790eea2e3d4908d96a7b5c
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-4.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.1pp
56% conf
2026-08-30
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 9%
Agent 4%
-4.8pp
80% conf
2026-08-30
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x338f6f3e5ff30f189a7228290a66b9a4213722032da364c8635b496589ddfd3b
Market 52%
Agent 47%
-5.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-30
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.1pp
78% conf
2026-08-30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xeb85e2b50d4d691325f8e906fff3ab156ad7d2b4086d7b5c19108d601969c628
Market 15%
Agent 9%
-6.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-30
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 27%
Agent 24%
-3.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
polymarket Financials 0xd64b917e1f7cdf1ad3f51326cf8985ce80e140291d2eaf2bf62821ef02231550
Market 18%
Agent 9%
-8.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-30
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXPRESPARTY-2028-R
Market 41%
Agent 39%
-2.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-30
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xcb251bef81c1eaa9267a4bc8b9811922722d9afc9a6e7f5477b2167884011ba2
Market 74%
Agent 60%
-13.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXH1B-29
Market 19%
Agent 13%
-6.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-0.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-30
Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio
kalshi Elections KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-30
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
polymarket World 0xe51b0cdb413eb9a18243e70c1f33705cdab18f4149b867f32f05650e758d8070
Market 85%
Agent 76%
-9.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-30
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 19%
Agent 15%
-4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-30
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xe96dbaceb816e80063bec945a76ac915cba4341bdf1ef704f722bfc9054aad09
Market 60%
Agent 55%
-5.1pp
60% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-30
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc04f9aec719287435df8267da59ddc825f7d1f076cd4078554a70160e04fdb46
Market 66%
Agent 73%
+6.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-30
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
kalshi Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.3pp
77% conf
2026-08-30
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0xe3d75ecd7868363ec78711b1d8ee1eeb31b6271dc2167020b40f8908f77a4c4a
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-30
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 27%
Agent 10%
-17.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-30
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0xffa6a98cfefe0b48f3a710ec477933d7b76d401b1febd117d11437c1195cf943
Market 7%
Agent 8%
+1.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-30
Will USAID be eliminated?
kalshi Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 23%
Agent 24%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
polymarket World 0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
78% conf
2026-08-30
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Market 15%
Agent 16%
+1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?
polymarket World 0x5d11ac02336356ad06422569137c045251a7f15d7397b1bd9ab0d303749a59cb
Market 70%
Agent 61%
-9.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-30
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2? — Yes
kalshi Elections KXCITRINI-28JUL01
Market 18%
Agent 11%
-7.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
polymarket World 0xb3f709495e9ac8a2ee7d563278bb452694969c6370d5dffd80fc520d8d9f54a1
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.7pp
69% conf
2026-08-30
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-5.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-30
AI bubble burst in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x857398c4502bc725fef7efb3cd503a30d3e18e486ab8173fdf505a76cf83b168
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.1pp
72% conf
2026-08-30
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 28%
Agent 12%
-16.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-30
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5
Market 40%
Agent 38%
-3.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-30
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 88%
Agent 95%
+7.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-30
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x6f3c4a19afe0621f5bfd39a18625ec392dcd695c34a708f02a52c96ed3436773
Market 28%
Agent 27%
-1.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-30
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.1pp
75% conf
2026-08-30
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xd30e3b4e2d6bf4594f44ad982b55435c3add71d3622993b0dee67354defaf598
Market 50%
Agent 47%
-3.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
kalshi Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 17%
Agent 16%
-1.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-30
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x3fb3dfa7e6332d421dfb49d735e05b4de1a0f9b7af42d3e4b22f56dfcd1f2858
Market 58%
Agent 33%
-25.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-30
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 20%
Agent 14%
-6.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-30
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?
polymarket World 0xdf1850e2743e60936f08acd3139bc4f4624e4ab4b53dba271cea27c230ea0a60
Market 42%
Agent 62%
+20.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-30
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 65%
Agent 54%
-11.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-30
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
polymarket World 0x1b9746edf079c953617f77a5287a0a46e1e6798b72262c6d959d401a79fc63e2
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-4.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 22%
Agent 13%
-9.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x8091d617a6b1a70847d357f59b7d1d303b7599d376ba92729705e233b3716940
Market 86%
Agent 77%
-8.5pp
42% conf
2026-08-30
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 45%
Agent 30%
-15.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-30
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x2667db4fda1efbe460d12e5ee8761c4639ca02c9b6e5eb8cb70f54dbc9308ef9
Market 19%
Agent 13%
-6.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 14%
Agent 4%
-10.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-30
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x3e17b452536476db05dc4a38d16aa50113006c347d42519e1561c4e41b869593
Market 35%
Agent 33%
-2.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-30
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
kalshi Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 87%
Agent 88%
+1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xe9007f84b2a72b68f33bcc4443d005d7a5429895d9fed5c990f573dea4dc3266
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-30
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 23%
Agent 20%
-3.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-30
NATO article 5 before 2027?
polymarket World 0xe7743a393cd98bb7a7cd011361b74a0fd12bac3412643873f4661fcc431ed165
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 19%
Agent 13%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x396100b911b8bb25ea142ec977ac212909cd5f704edf4e156706b513ee728c2d
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-30
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost? — At least $100
kalshi Companies KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-100
Market 64%
Agent 63%
-1.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-30
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x2709a9392fcfe2348ad935b3158d5e4184ef484cf233d536ecdaa3148bda4aad
Market 86%
Agent 68%
-17.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-30
Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?
kalshi Elections KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-BW
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-30
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x707d926e39e7a4722daed31be3a20e0e98be9700f0b7da6a99262ee295d1c022
Market 86%
Agent 84%
-1.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-30
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 66%
Agent 34%
-32.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
polymarket World 0xe96fd18679de58fa286f10b49d93f46829243cd105d74ce5d18eae0dd973b204
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-30
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total production in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANPROD-1900000.0
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-1.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-29
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x98dbb998749ae773baf35697d695f5efdc098def32decd687b91c634d8d0481d
Market 14%
Agent 7%
-6.5pp
75% conf
2026-08-29
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Market 84%
Agent 85%
+1.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-29
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xfc5c740e4617eb9908ceada7c91bfbe1cd41f172d703ef811d544e60a7a70bb5
Market 86%
Agent 85%
-0.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-29
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 2.15 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2150000.0
Market 31%
Agent 28%
-3.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-29
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 186 million passengers flown in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXUALA-28JANPAX-186000000
Market 48%
Agent 44%
-4.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-29
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
polymarket Elections 0xd2481bf85502225a8cfe44cdb7156dc3d8c4e73dc3b287c3177549ceb151f29a
Market 90%
Agent 92%
+2.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-29
Will NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028? — Yes
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERNEE-28JAN01
Market 67%
Agent 62%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-29
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 62 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXGRABA-28JANMTU-62000000.0
Market 13%
Agent 11%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-29
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee
Market 8%
Agent 11%
+2.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-29
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 78%
Agent 82%
+4.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-29
US recession by end of 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.5pp
76% conf
2026-08-29
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1750000.0
Market 45%
Agent 13%
-32.0pp
45% conf
2026-08-29
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMOA-28JANCIGS-54500000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 92%
+3.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-29
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19
Market 12%
Agent 9%
-2.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-29
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 41%
Agent 21%
-20.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-29
GDP growth in 2031? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-31-B2.3
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-29
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x9d509b38bd75f40e69d67320c6a584c5bf8d262dd3415ed55f1cc3c88a7490fd
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-29
GDP growth in 2028? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-28-B1.8
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-29
GDP growth in 2032? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-32-B2.3
Market 20%
Agent 19%
-1.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-29
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xd515573cc647753a962124b1f3e8dbdf2dcc52c6c7525dbbc55a5e827a4be44f
Market 8%
Agent 13%
+4.5pp
61% conf
2026-08-29
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? — Before 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPCELAUNCH-COMM-27JAN01
Market 46%
Agent 16%
-30.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0xbef8c052aca381908541276ef2e56f3b1920599750b1d7e10dbd306f65b08c70
Market 12%
Agent 6%
-6.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-29
Will Emory be top 20 on U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings in 2027?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLLEGERANK-TOP20-EMO
Market 15%
Agent 10%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-29
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 26%
Agent 32%
+6.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-29
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0xce5320bc858fcb8439fd6ca00b30487c0dab38304a52f1e72a8c7566ba0de7cb
Market 18%
Agent 10%
-7.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-29
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? — For tax year 2026
kalshi Economics KXIRSCOLLECT-26
Market 82%
Agent 83%
+1.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
GDP growth in 2035? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-35-B1.8
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-29
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467
Market 65%
Agent 62%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-29
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 79%
Agent 72%
-7.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-29
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xcc59c2569d30b4b86993f3ff17bb900fffc56e7d98f1a5b02793fc9c133db99a
Market 39%
Agent 35%
-4.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-29
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 54%
Agent 60%
+6.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-29
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 29%
Agent 28%
-1.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-29
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x990d1d3e4d9b120eafce967dc06753b79aa0a6c6f4a92b528fb31fbb7bdb99be
Market 72%
Agent 78%
+6.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-29
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 46%
Agent 25%
-20.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-29
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 17%
Agent 5%
-12.1pp
72% conf
2026-08-29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xfbd0a65112e26d9a2a68dc47f8a95c6c14d22650cb4837c5429b546726661b71
Market 80%
Agent 74%
-6.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-29
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-29
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xfe990a9fae13a3efbc2bb21684d129d6fb94b7f2336325515bfb17802bd44f7f
Market 60%
Agent 65%
+5.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-29
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 82%
Agent 80%
-2.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-29
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xdef3bd235a13d067e79d2a0181e76067d6fdb3ac5d46cdc961b068102efcad20
Market 40%
Agent 38%
-3.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-29
Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 8%
Agent 3%
-5.4pp
80% conf
2026-08-29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0xd594753a5d2b4d3b9e65cdd06c3cbb0645d70be7626fad94774f45560b150d23
Market 28%
Agent 28%
-0.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-29
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-29
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9
Market 36%
Agent 38%
+2.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4
Market 64%
Agent 59%
-5.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-29
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e
Market 23%
Agent 28%
+4.8pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?
kalshi Politics KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-FT
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.5pp
44% conf
2026-08-29
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x1e69d243d667a44cc310c5a3c9ca97cb17a202fb4231c5ddbb74717f5bb4e49e
Market 73%
Agent 70%
-2.9pp
54% conf
2026-08-29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14
Market 48%
Agent 56%
+7.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c
Market 70%
Agent 62%
-7.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-29
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x3b8ffe267a348097806237bd9af95050896ee12e4d461b421ca703c8bdf31022
Market 60%
Agent 19%
-40.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x5ff702efb31b542f132b928d0cdadb2427f75142741ec14bd2e091fa471afaaa
Market 7%
Agent 15%
+8.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-29
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x3e531a2beecc6a9bd1b088998133749c3e41e57ed3c44694d93b5de8f1169c90
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 13%
Agent 2%
-10.5pp
90% conf
2026-08-29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
polymarket Elections 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37
Market 32%
Agent 31%
-0.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x432d3cd0bc52a9f24b76760c751a847b46efd803f1d1fcc60e86ce27ae207a3e
Market 84%
Agent 82%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-29
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7
Market 66%
Agent 66%
-1.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-29
Will Carvana Co. report Above 900 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-900000
Market 13%
Agent 6%
-7.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-29
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xb60cf8249d71b05baf2b2d96621b8e69b0617ab7c8a0d175b62b6e8f91726920
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-4.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-29
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
polymarket World 0x96498c10c79ecaafa2bbb92ada36c7ff617913b03d9220f8c95ce7d6776a0b0c
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-28
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xc1b2a392fffa0b3885e5ec9cdc16fc615630fd160233db68481bfb29015db3d9
Market 82%
Agent 78%
-4.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-28
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 52000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-52000
Market 77%
Agent 84%
+7.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-28
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
polymarket Elections 0xbe97f7a4f393291ea2c54425f32949167cb12f6955f33ec7b68901aa93285718
Market 90%
Agent 92%
+1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-28
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xeb5d918348e57c731bc6899c18f0476cba775332fcdb8ee53f23a372e777db19
Market 74%
Agent 70%
-4.4pp
48% conf
2026-08-28
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x5c0d7c74bbf6ef1e0114e6f75514e3360673e15b6542b78a95363a41c24089d3
Market 82%
Agent 62%
-19.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-28
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xbca476df14a1b145502e65d5dec848d00f6f77a4ad22af7bbaecf4cb0015c5c0
Market 91%
Agent 86%
-4.4pp
65% conf
2026-08-28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8
Market 48%
Agent 38%
-9.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-28
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6
Market 30%
Agent 25%
-4.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-28
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 61%
Agent 72%
+11.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-28
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6557ff312837c0707d82bc2def893572289e012cff21a264593c6551f85d7e50
Market 86%
Agent 79%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-28
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
polymarket Politics 0x4769e6eb48b0e587abc7972c12c0b70f513b4f973f2b9fd30e3040d13f9b67c2
Market 33%
Agent 35%
+2.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-28
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xbd9d064846ddc9221c1d096d06a4e10b0a6a95f6e7a30a3da2c6de6cd37d4b09
Market 56%
Agent 87%
+31.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-28
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 68%
Agent 52%
-16.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-28
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x594753f5921304616f36fecd01677e5bf2f6f42a1093fa65e2cdff7193b43ffc
Market 23%
Agent 30%
+7.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-28
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7
Market 80%
Agent 72%
-7.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
polymarket Companies 0x08816cb5065f3a5e6e1cc8b96f3e56688dd22ad8f6d287a14ec25d598051ba59
Market 58%
Agent 67%
+8.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-28
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-JVAN
Market 49%
Agent 32%
-17.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-28
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x4211e9bc23a48128233d2fbf2be43e246a56d58161796c07749b117243a7ea69
Market 40%
Agent 35%
-5.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-28
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 33%
Agent 30%
-3.2pp
51% conf
2026-08-28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c
Market 20%
Agent 26%
+5.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-28
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
polymarket Elections 0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0
Market 22%
Agent 18%
-4.4pp
66% conf
2026-08-28
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb93e1dd5e36e121b8a6bbb1bd2dabe67529cf60079f8551e34a851fb53965ce6
Market 92%
Agent 89%
-3.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-28
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 24%
Agent 19%
-5.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-28
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 34%
-15.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-28
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
polymarket World 0x3b5a8f61120f2fb2a808f117b950d7c37ad3ee0953464ba69927c31d24cde918
Market 34%
Agent 14%
-19.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-28
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
polymarket Financials 0x094725e5691f06b1895496ab0823b3f843c3be680f870cb721958d4e4d280a55
Market 34%
Agent 33%
-1.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-28
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x57eb29c8fc0e9bbb8b988d80a38276492e2ae412bca9a62af7da55fc59d993e0
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+3.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-28
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xafefe6fc14ffb9bd92f2ad0578696345ed3484a566d393c16e717ccdc67c68ec
Market 82%
Agent 73%
-8.7pp
62% conf
2026-08-28
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x74681cc13dc54fa347507d7ab57b66ea8c0e8c4ff9fb5a589583239c774f65aa
Market 9%
Agent 11%
+2.1pp
64% conf
2026-08-28
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x7d09dcc608f04f7d5ebac72b3ab7a2d2037a3b5db1e454d7c5cc6e00fc8762ad
Market 60%
Agent 57%
-3.5pp
34% conf
2026-08-28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0x2167ab5c0d163f85195ccea4d11734e4ba53913c838c6720fb815794128c68f2
Market 32%
Agent 25%
-7.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-28
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 11%
Agent 12%
+1.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-28
GDP growth in 2036? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.8
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-1.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-28
Will John Brendan Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?
kalshi Elections KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-JWIL
Market 74%
Agent 7%
-67.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-27
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
polymarket World 0xf9c12aa09c5317d1cf8d26d0dc100a69ecf70e5132e81ef078d5336f63923b5e
Market 85%
Agent 84%
-0.8pp
62% conf
2026-08-27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
polymarket Politics 0x612126703db7fb7eaa44906b2c7de42300a6cb6e0615c1e360e96e328b6433e5
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-27
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x8fa726211e356586cc2ec3503ffbbff60594f1b87f56b2c399155cba69ba6e8b
Market 92%
Agent 85%
-7.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-27
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x6c2a8bc4b07c81a529db51344eed7d74e32a48f0f1fcea66dbf73215f5f72e95
Market 19%
Agent 22%
+3.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-27
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x2f2c1c9fb95be15c18394b3ac9ba6431ccffda7a383d08d7ab7379330e0fecaf
Market 85%
Agent 84%
-0.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-27
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x3d4a1a3e0581eb60fdd03cc85b8190a9a1cfbda42f1aa9771e39197f8a21f441
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-3.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-27
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x624c1ca3b1e536abf70b6b2c299df01e105f99bbd2f04f347a25ddef45229232
Market 67%
Agent 43%
-24.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-27
GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.3
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-27
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x553a941e8a11cac22eb746b6bbea0530695ee3e1b0693d80433d7b943c91cab7
Market 63%
Agent 55%
-8.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-27
Will Matthew Schultz qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?
kalshi Elections KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MSCH
Market 91%
Agent 97%
+6.0pp
84% conf
2026-08-27
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 41%
Agent 7%
-34.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-27
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
polymarket Politics 0x0dc45815251ab7d5c3cbde5d7eee5bc96eac3d924c0a4c4f10175049e068fe20
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-27
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x961be2a838df85be6e2fca3436a306c42b7bd43232281930b29058723882450e
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-3.9pp
82% conf
2026-08-27
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 55%
Agent 56%
+1.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-27
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 19%
Agent 15%
-4.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-27
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 7%
Agent 11%
+4.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-27
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 17%
Agent 5%
-12.0pp
86% conf
2026-08-27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xced0cb8725bad43d78fda0cd0e5fa9e31804625cb3502b2c7897f8e8f7fa9e1f
Market 12%
Agent 7%
-5.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-27
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 4%
-26.7pp
75% conf
2026-08-27
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4
Market 84%
Agent 81%
-3.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-27
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e
Market 73%
Agent 70%
-3.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-27
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
polymarket World 0x36fba860abdbb03c88c782df08d407434ee69be069b6cbac25cffddc2f1b437a
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+0.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-27
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe16d6ef2442a8877d457ad2292e6f9832f569911685d5f2e7b0c89fbcf75cb7b
Market 84%
Agent 85%
+1.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-27
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.6pp
76% conf
2026-08-27
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857
Market 44%
Agent 46%
+2.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-27
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 19%
Agent 14%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-27
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x23969ec06514ad241fda435742187a08c1b2b2d0b5080f0c0751c9dc0f2d886b
Market 26%
Agent 25%
-1.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-27
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 14%
Agent 17%
+3.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-27
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
polymarket World 0x5eb3964d1bb946a1034c6c32c8df4d5ac5e0b76a676e7e16280c1737aee06d2d
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+2.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-27
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c
Market 34%
Agent 33%
-0.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-27
Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
kalshi Financials KXANTHROPICLEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX
Market 62%
Agent 49%
-13.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-27
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
polymarket Elections 0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c
Market 88%
Agent 87%
-0.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-27
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb64e4e073ef1242216ceeb1971e4fc5bc9094532558e89014b240992baac0c35
Market 14%
Agent 20%
+6.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-27
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
polymarket Health 0x0b44e9c6eb563adf459816f9a7a2de0aa66ba5423c474ecab30c97203a3e8207
Market 51%
Agent 36%
-15.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-27
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485
Market 73%
Agent 75%
+2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-27
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
polymarket World 0xa04dcb7b7f5a313d09e7728ca39835be4096da877ca5fbae5e3a36af239433c3
Market 10%
Agent 10%
-0.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-27
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 28%
Agent 22%
-6.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-27
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xe97ddd7cfb8633ca0cc05f8033e662b92f6186b9763e96d8fa734c6c83009b35
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+2.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-26
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x4632e96b7010fa4c1474d876f178539f11a284761c08842db5dd2e737cf6341b
Market 90%
Agent 84%
-5.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-26
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x07eb65c2a3f1cb716a8f24e7d8e97188f451d2928e59bc2781bcd9a9757b41b8
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-26
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 65%
Agent 62%
-3.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-26
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
polymarket Elections 0x430751274480232547064a75eb29ceead00b95cf3e21709911a147cfada04e16
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+2.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-26
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?
kalshi Politics KXTHCLEGALSALE3MG-FED-26NOV16
Market 76%
Agent 29%
-47.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-26
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
polymarket Economics 0xd32ac3b2db228eb03d6385b5f0747b7013e0ff717a20e63c75fc74824b91d6b2
Market 46%
Agent 47%
+1.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-26
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 40%
Agent 30%
-10.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-26
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xdca2cba35540a61d868b922952c9545851b047f91b01947fb365cf3c6d8479c2
Market 26%
Agent 19%
-7.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-26
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x15cda44bef6ec2cb20755e8632f1386cf244a1aeb0372d463dbf70a7c44bcde5
Market 90%
Agent 92%
+2.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-26
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 9%
Agent 2%
-6.5pp
84% conf
2026-08-26
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x280f534844278583edf4371c96e28dfe4c03bd93ba3cbfce9175ee3821dfa12f
Market 22%
Agent 26%
+3.5pp
61% conf
2026-08-26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xb3191751ba756172e31ca760cf4b2a9a4324b0993d61f84433f5da7e0f94d64b
Market 54%
Agent 45%
-8.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x77b0380be9f46471b5383fd5fd0730d666b852c3c1fcc61529e0699a62f45d47
Market 16%
Agent 20%
+4.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-26
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xd29d33516240ad8d483df35e1e960553ad50ef5a5b8b20a51630c9b976d41069
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-3.5pp
82% conf
2026-08-26
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
kalshi Politics KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN
Market 30%
Agent 34%
+4.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-26
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x454005ba2b2a2f3bfeb354e18d8c0cb82136009c8f39589645f9cf2af25f0d25
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-26
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
polymarket Elections 0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829
Market 14%
Agent 16%
+2.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-26
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
polymarket World 0x26ed26fd53ec238c80afee64b55e098e4c8f7e0b64f332ff6713fd3b504ab350
Market 8%
Agent 9%
+0.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-26
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x31f521ffcf9b23c876d418bbe8205ac1fab62d0aed60d6dbbc66ca3b01bdbff5
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-26
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x39ce5b38e8de872497582d5df6b11ab90144d9212eea24155bda43e68b85851b
Market 18%
Agent 13%
-4.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-26
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 33%
-7.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-26
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x93f61d39718a2e298f676397409d7e8c9913471ba9783047bbb9ec212702987c
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+3.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-26
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb04d60a357fa753de032acf65c6d959ec99fa1dc2df411cc993f52bfb734ee1d
Market 54%
Agent 33%
-21.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-26
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
polymarket World 0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0
Market 20%
Agent 15%
-5.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
polymarket World 0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-26
Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero?
kalshi Elections KXNAURURENAME-27JAN01-YES
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.0pp
81% conf
2026-08-26
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xf22496e92192b3118c8be5a94c8b96e3d6fa0df9b3e1c92139b8207e79e17ec2
Market 50%
Agent 16%
-33.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-26
Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb117f78558e85af218d6f5c901e75acbee3b751585e434cbd0155a24b8138e9e
Market 50%
Agent 7%
-42.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-26
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 23%
Agent 13%
-10.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
polymarket World 0x71f72bf6709b92c9b1bfc3d658dd11a798997e65e03463e81bc2beb3d1e39798
Market 38%
Agent 26%
-12.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-26
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
polymarket World 0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df
Market 13%
Agent 11%
-2.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-26
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-5.8pp
70% conf
2026-08-26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f
Market 18%
Agent 10%
-7.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-26
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6e6851f2698629795fa06869d961c986221a80cedcba10fbaf0ed220607cdada
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
71% conf
2026-08-26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
75% conf
2026-08-26
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEOH-28-D
Market 42%
Agent 33%
-9.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-26
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd59f25520a8c0ea44a9c9741a97c8c3d769e21f1479b9a14e1a9d475e91f522a
Market 8%
Agent 16%
+7.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb4aea2573ecac699851b042d39a99b26e43aed7a6b024a4bc827ba220f9fbb78
Market 12%
Agent 9%
-3.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6128af13c3c02d558de82dcedb3ac6bd3b97a500fdb7b94b29a4d7e3b9ece77a
Market 7%
Agent 7%
-0.1pp
70% conf
2026-08-26
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?
polymarket World 0x9d4a0e437c5d655f2117f63b4ed4a720c110280a8ba397d8e82c03cfe597388e
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-26
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
polymarket Companies 0x2c9195043cf23814124eac7ef5f4cf46e17d1bea69a122880cb9d36bd7337e06
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.7pp
74% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x2f3eaf103e9b1cfd09e31a4da7e547d0b8de41f01936ad5e256ada3b1a8caf6a
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-0.9pp
67% conf
2026-08-26
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
polymarket World 0x057da165b096d1f3a59d87bcad68649aecd18dc25c89a6d083530d1aaac18146
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-26
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x0ca328688c590d82b80ec763d0a34353b9b9bd56dd2016243909c038c91d2615
Market 86%
Agent 78%
-7.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x627ed310dc3977b2d71d96a4f2fccd6050553f6f165efd6c29578f5678f3f863
Market 54%
Agent 49%
-4.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-26
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x9cedd0cd3fd360dc0167b438bb73337ff34abe3c3d6241d421e69e555103ae9c
Market 80%
Agent 82%
+2.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-26
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.7 million active clear+ members in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8700000.0
Market 50%
Agent 57%
+7.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
polymarket World 0x3de0f3d7d7efb40cde68e814d40a0b232832083653c8e78260eb999baa967de0
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-25
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
polymarket Politics 0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129
Market 48%
Agent 44%
-4.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-25
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0xa466e17524bcc473279c4ca86f4f1fb01932946a8204e68f6ca96628f8bf2b5e
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a
Market 28%
Agent 32%
+3.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x953b1439569eef0a0e639566acd35d32ebadee8ab70dbb2f8e00bb936a277aa2
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-25
Natural Disaster in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x6262a76b26dba92b7de48e49bc9c5dce0b1e3cbd4927ba02a2292e53ab32677b
Market 22%
Agent 20%
-2.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-25
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4320 total restaurant count in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCMGA-28JANRESTS-4320
Market 87%
Agent 96%
+8.5pp
84% conf
2026-08-25
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
polymarket Elections 0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3
Market 52%
Agent 46%
-5.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-25
Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? — Amul Thapar
kalshi Politics KXSCOURT-29-AT
Market 7%
Agent 7%
-0.1pp
70% conf
2026-08-25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb
Market 83%
Agent 80%
-2.6pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-25
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 79%
Agent 75%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0xe34a08b2a8d0f9e5033dc1bc1ee153509e414196c3e8044d5e99b64b974eeea6
Market 14%
Agent 11%
-2.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x2a298f2e7444e72897c8cbf439f922356e278fa38de4428467007622b10b34ef
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+3.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-25
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0x0f5a74c346b9c0cf13c6f7c8d2cf770feadb5dcacd28690ce3ea09458fc0b2ed
Market 22%
Agent 22%
+0.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-25
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?
kalshi Politics KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH
Market 80%
Agent 79%
-1.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-25
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x0bbe0a32de38e6347c54c95dd85f393a1bfc9ed1cd81cc380778dd2a53268140
Market 14%
Agent 11%
-3.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-25
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
polymarket World 0xd2d3739630b201fd89af0cff05f679987d30064895e4793a22fb0861ccfdde64
Market 48%
Agent 33%
-15.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-25
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
polymarket Financials 0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
77% conf
2026-08-25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
polymarket World 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-25
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5c5d128039632bafae6e04840b767fc8e09fc968db7492a09d462c15e4281c9e
Market 18%
Agent 21%
+2.5pp
78% conf
2026-08-25
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
polymarket Elections 0x2f112a1cd954debe3438caac411ca4395cc53be0e1580a5802ab42618b94aff7
Market 60%
Agent 55%
-5.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-25
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 14%
Agent 5%
-9.4pp
82% conf
2026-08-25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
78% conf
2026-08-25
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xd86535990b7809016cd53b7359b8e5d1e0f9001760e2e029b78570c3354b2473
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x0465cd005a54781e052b679e2c42c7ae5b772490fdda54316f157bf537536456
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-25
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 27%
Agent 30%
+3.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
polymarket World 0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-1.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989
Market 18%
Agent 20%
+1.6pp
64% conf
2026-08-25
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
polymarket Elections 0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4
Market 88%
Agent 86%
-1.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
polymarket World 0x95783b62c693ea42d8613482a625828fc14a288e8e8440b974c54d42f4ffd04b
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
80% conf
2026-08-25
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 78%
Agent 75%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-25
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
polymarket World 0xfd155fdd279dc1f5aaa451285a2f98777fcf7d37719d630aa7918472e5d57ce2
Market 22%
Agent 29%
+7.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-25
Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
polymarket World 0x0fb04be2a570855c39e27e37af802a37393e37ac89286d6d9243b9faafa913fc
Market 20%
Agent 19%
-0.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-25
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x730d14b3e6029b3420ccc709c6e0596e70d690267de3eee03c01aa59e3514391
Market 92%
Agent 86%
-5.8pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780
Market 14%
Agent 21%
+6.8pp
58% conf
2026-08-25
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-25
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xdcae9573d5680a2c958cca4676ed28df7a06861572124f3396cc60ab6b92b9c2
Market 28%
Agent 29%
+0.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x1ea2b1c0091848e75be823c039081f7db66ebb48af0e5d286da156fce773722f
Market 8%
Agent 8%
-0.5pp
71% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3
Market 50%
Agent 40%
-9.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-25
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
polymarket Elections 0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70
Market 17%
Agent 21%
+4.1pp
65% conf
2026-08-25
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0x6f04e616ffd50454ef05e49c23098c3f1d2fbd5bc154cb2f240660df8290aa73
Market 52%
Agent 48%
-4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-25
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 32%
Agent 23%
-9.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-25
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xb276435811dc77171602f790db2b5900e780adfadb7cff57e547d58fb1a8215f
Market 16%
Agent 21%
+5.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-25
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb1d7745a48bfca30e337914cfcf7d00d011c9472c2e5b0db8c0008a9103b5e65
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-25
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x6b0142f2a37f6d576452e7c2a98a46fdca2ab0ed309a2edc3d160c6f2dcb8d0a
Market 72%
Agent 68%
-4.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-25
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
polymarket World 0x55ad441bdaa0391bcdb47bdd939d995f3b6b51531904f0207c3b7316ecde5e13
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-6.5pp
78% conf
2026-08-25
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
polymarket Elections 0x67a28cbd0e3454c2b040495b376dddb2cb2c415fa817f5d845a949c980c0ce55
Market 78%
Agent 72%
-5.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-25
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x96920e5ba3398e3c95db9b10c1b21550e3c25ecdbf44627e00a4a576c0a49b97
Market 58%
Agent 57%
-1.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-25
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Economics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.1pp
82% conf
2026-08-25
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
polymarket Elections 0xbf3e73c18f9fba93022128610729e6d8b399ba9e41ee2c0bc01400344923f9c8
Market 52%
Agent 47%
-5.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x650e3ebc043ddbcfa1d1ffda0c5830f19da7389827889fb5db3474bde5b007fb
Market 48%
Agent 55%
+7.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
polymarket Elections 0xc0f076bc4d90a44df34a729277e9d1f294f0cb60d2c3b1b3800908b1e15b923b
Market 92%
Agent 93%
+1.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
polymarket Economics 0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200
Market 35%
Agent 34%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-25
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-H26
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-2.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-25
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x60a4dc3f3fccac5c29571f9f4bb8067fecdbcac17f337aac62ea0fe5cd476435
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd
Market 70%
Agent 68%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
polymarket Financials 0xd008c45c5320e7453b4e7725bda285cd822a3a61adef14759f2aadf0778c64b6
Market 33%
Agent 36%
+3.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-24
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
polymarket World 0x21bf9a7dae81b6bd51acae73185686ab8997b81b1401e4be10e114d472599c26
Market 10%
Agent 10%
-0.5pp
71% conf
2026-08-24
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? — Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi Economics KXIPOOURA-26OCT01
Market 16%
Agent 19%
+3.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
polymarket Companies 0xb26b135b38bcbe4c7abe33467a8da10030286d29c4f662ca269ed3ae05db9cbb
Market 49%
Agent 40%
-9.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-24
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
polymarket World 0x07414b5c367c107a563491fe8b354abd5b07f099fce3b25cd57e80110ce780ff
Market 44%
Agent 46%
+1.5pp
45% conf
2026-08-24
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 89%
Agent 89%
+0.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-24
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 63%
Agent 85%
+22.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
polymarket World 0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-4.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
polymarket Elections 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Market 48%
Agent 20%
-27.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
polymarket World 0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.7pp
72% conf
2026-08-24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
polymarket Financials 0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f
Market 16%
Agent 11%
-4.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
polymarket Elections 0x087469b4129c64c688397028059dfd366796adbd426e0079ee4cfdd2e4a07b61
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the next Ghanian parliamentary election? — NDC
kalshi Elections KXGHANAPARLI-28-NDC
Market 61%
Agent 71%
+10.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-24
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x93a3b80b1fb485057add882b55d12011ea011fedd9abededad86ac6cb53a2802
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-3.0pp
77% conf
2026-08-24
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z? — Before July 1, 2027
kalshi Elections KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01
Market 13%
Agent 7%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-24
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64
Market 70%
Agent 63%
-7.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-24
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 89%
Agent 88%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-24
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x099cbaafa0dbf6bf4ce32e9257753ef8d1695252ee66257297c40eed5d516766
Market 8%
Agent 3%
-4.5pp
75% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the next Australian House election? — Australian Labor Party
kalshi Elections KXAUSTRALIAHOUSE-28-ALP
Market 53%
Agent 65%
+12.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-24
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xc255e435d74caa1c3a45abafdabe4c4ec4f27b77ec454240c2beb5e5d9ef1f67
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-1.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? — Leni Robredo
kalshi Elections KXPHILIPPINESPRES-28-LROB
Market 15%
Agent 6%
-9.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-24
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x89ce0b1a8f226098928604bdd35eb37cfad6ad6ff38b8754e2da70fcc3c7079e
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-4.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
kalshi Elections KXTURKEYPRES-28-RERD
Market 58%
Agent 46%
-12.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-24
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb39e0d31a16bf622c459ebe01708ea08461cef4eb48c103f3ca79f42f060a5e3
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-24
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
kalshi Elections KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-27JAN01
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-24
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x652293940a98a7ec9b1d2b23fb9e8399728d1a461dce61523fa2fcce8d844e21
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+2.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? — Ekrem İmamoğlu
kalshi Elections KXPRESTURKEYR1-28-EIMA
Market 21%
Agent 16%
-5.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985
Market 90%
Agent 84%
-6.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
kalshi Elections KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527
Market 86%
Agent 91%
+5.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-24
Will Minnesota Governor winner be Democratic party and Minnesota Senate winner be Democratic party? — Democrats sweep
kalshi Elections KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Market 90%
Agent 88%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-24
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0xdb66349b5658e7ce54667294bb61ca2f98d68f8afde5c711284d7e9c5a5e5787
Market 69%
Agent 74%
+5.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-24
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?
kalshi Elections KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Market 24%
Agent 22%
-2.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
polymarket Companies 0x8fca3783aac880990b3c11ffe941e81b1417140429e63dfede4e8b0f6deae839
Market 70%
Agent 60%
-10.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-24
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYNH-28-R
Market 82%
Agent 80%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
polymarket World 0x6176cc868c8893cf431ae1e8103d4d4c1fcfcf239c3b3415b672151337125884
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-24
Will the President sign fewer than 300 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029? — Below 300
kalshi Politics KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-300
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.4pp
80% conf
2026-08-24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
polymarket Financials 0xe02dadd92c84112fce087b6f260d62c8df1648e071acaef35b0851c8dde64163
Market 12%
Agent 13%
+0.8pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 62%
Agent 60%
-2.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb
Market 54%
Agent 51%
-2.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXUSAKIM-29
Market 15%
Agent 9%
-6.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-24
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb
Market 67%
Agent 69%
+2.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-24
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? — JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
kalshi Elections KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46
Market 70%
Agent 62%
-7.5pp
47% conf
2026-08-24
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? — Unity – National Movement
kalshi Elections KXGEORGIAPARLI-28-UNM
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-24
Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b
Market 55%
Agent 47%
-7.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-24
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SGRI
Market 20%
Agent 20%
+0.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68
Market 86%
Agent 84%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Market 29%
Agent 31%
+2.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc
Market 20%
Agent 18%
-2.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-24
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Elections KXKAMALARUN-28-27JAN01
Market 12%
Agent 9%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-24
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
polymarket Elections 0x5ee38949a4ba69f716052e5139b03953e2ecf79e8130d583f92acd87e3c1ca68
Market 22%
Agent 19%
-3.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)? — Before 2028
kalshi Politics KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Market 52%
Agent 19%
-33.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-24
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2
Market 60%
Agent 68%
+7.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-24
Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party? — Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
kalshi Elections KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Market 26%
Agent 17%
-9.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9
Market 61%
Agent 57%
-4.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person
kalshi Politics KXNEXTDEF-29-NONE
Market 56%
Agent 45%
-11.0pp
47% conf
2026-08-24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc
Market 34%
Agent 25%
-8.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000
Market 87%
Agent 88%
+1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
Market 72%
Agent 69%
-3.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028
kalshi Elections KXSANDERSPRES-28
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-24
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
polymarket Economics 0x4ab00a29b7f3d12114932a728eca136a00685176808ee001f0f375e6f0abb071
Market 88%
Agent 89%
+1.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-24
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMQ-29-JAN20
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
polymarket Companies 0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0
Market 78%
Agent 74%
-3.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-24
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Market 45%
Agent 25%
-20.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-24
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x50378a9069427b82e68dd334fcf40bae1e077c0658214926c3635ff64c539bbc
Market 36%
Agent 20%
-15.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-24
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?
kalshi Economics KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T22
Market 68%
Agent 65%
-3.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-24
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x2c7f9b2304dc04b86afce858b51b01b34a742c43994a162d4c6fa551d7a3e8ea
Market 16%
Agent 19%
+3.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-24
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xf60181f7e19c509a25f92a7f174eb9c4f0eac7ca9aa1338c8a1506efa9378693
Market 44%
Agent 38%
-6.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-24
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Market 83%
Agent 83%
+0.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-24
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x80bdbe1b7d1f99f9e95c587e3a9ed4f20c54dfb1dc45b02977bf9bec040d8262
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.6pp
72% conf
2026-08-24
Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
kalshi Politics KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.60
Market 84%
Agent 85%
+1.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
polymarket Economics 0x2f7fd7124a7ff44d324a49cda1415371c7cc4ee111f60b288a3d6ad194319d15
Market 92%
Agent 83%
-8.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXAOCSENATE-28
Market 34%
Agent 31%
-3.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-24
Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
kalshi Elections EUEXIT-30
Market 18%
Agent 7%
-11.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
polymarket Financials 0x7080086a82babdb1b556ddc543ce616f82764c40c3860002e0ab38396eb8078b
Market 76%
Agent 68%
-7.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-24
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 25%
Agent 30%
+4.6pp
57% conf
2026-08-24
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x6753180082c3024e0727352387066cabf13fd2ebea317ec4394baa8d8a86c1ea
Market 18%
Agent 10%
-8.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will Anthropic PBC win Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War et al.? — Before 2028
kalshi Politics KXANTHROPICDOD-28
Market 54%
Agent 56%
+2.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-23
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
polymarket Health 0x1d916047bbca1be9808076a0590c17ff113fb92986a4b4bc7f0f962642158827
Market 7%
Agent 7%
-0.4pp
72% conf
2026-08-23
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 9%
Agent 4%
-5.5pp
87% conf
2026-08-23
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
polymarket Elections 0x809eaa464104c09fbe8e54c582256dfa29b5061928790eea2e3d4908d96a7b5c
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-23
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
kalshi Elections KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR
Market 22%
Agent 16%
-6.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-23
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
kalshi Politics KXSUPERSONIC-28
Market 68%
Agent 63%
-5.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-23
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
polymarket Elections 0x4a8be083c607742c3ab1493d01075009865f5fc8cfbb0563370a8f0bea8cae74
Market 93%
Agent 88%
-4.9pp
67% conf
2026-08-23
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN20
Market 70%
Agent 68%
-2.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-23
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x338f6f3e5ff30f189a7228290a66b9a4213722032da364c8635b496589ddfd3b
Market 53%
Agent 53%
+0.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-23
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXFULLTERMSKPRES-29
Market 60%
Agent 61%
+1.0pp
42% conf
2026-08-23
Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPPRES-28
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.4pp
71% conf
2026-08-23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPSNL-29
Market 17%
Agent 10%
-7.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-23
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Market 9%
Agent 2%
-6.5pp
89% conf
2026-08-23
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Market 16%
Agent 4%
-12.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-23
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 83%
Agent 95%
+12.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
polymarket World 0xfb13ea7fb958d280d2a8a1e9d94709b6749a9af50a9304d588ea38234b145147
Market 56%
Agent 65%
+9.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.2pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027? — Decrease 0-0.99%
kalshi Politics KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N
Market 31%
Agent 35%
+4.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-23
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
polymarket World 0x5a35c8d26f024d73b504530a3f33945741ff1152473c7393250f19d73d518a17
Market 23%
Agent 9%
-14.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? — Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
kalshi Elections KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-GNEWJVAN
Market 16%
Agent 12%
-4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-23
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xe96dbaceb816e80063bec945a76ac915cba4341bdf1ef704f722bfc9054aad09
Market 45%
Agent 41%
-3.6pp
52% conf
2026-08-23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
polymarket Financials 0xd64b917e1f7cdf1ad3f51326cf8985ce80e140291d2eaf2bf62821ef02231550
Market 22%
Agent 15%
-7.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTA-29
Market 46%
Agent 25%
-21.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-23
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tucker Carlson
kalshi Elections KX2028RRUN-28-TUC
Market 27%
Agent 21%
-6.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-23
Will US test scores in Reading decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
Market 48%
Agent 41%
-7.0pp
42% conf
2026-08-23
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028? — Before Election Day
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPRUN-28NOV07
Market 21%
Agent 19%
-2.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-23
Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028
kalshi Elections KXPRESELECTIONOCCUR-28
Market 93%
Agent 96%
+3.1pp
75% conf
2026-08-23
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x234cb84f9e92194f93c6df4990e7e52c6948ec4d61400cd2dd74018ad2448152
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.8pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 27%
Agent 10%
-17.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-23
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xeb85e2b50d4d691325f8e906fff3ab156ad7d2b4086d7b5c19108d601969c628
Market 15%
Agent 12%
-3.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-23
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x9f66a23ca0d5d66fd89b1b37868ef39885b0f36b6e2c8003bdd8239fd58300b6
Market 33%
Agent 4%
-29.4pp
75% conf
2026-08-23
Will US test scores in Math decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Market 39%
Agent 34%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-23
Trump out as President before 2027?
polymarket Elections 0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-23
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
kalshi Elections KXAMEND22-29-JAN01
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-23
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
kalshi Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-PHEG
Market 11%
Agent 11%
+0.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
polymarket World 0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d
Market 12%
Agent 6%
-5.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXRECOGROC-29
Market 15%
Agent 25%
+10.0pp
43% conf
2026-08-23
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xeee75e18b53425c67035084fb8be5414331614ab4e5ec59574bc73e11817be93
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+3.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
polymarket World 0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e
Market 82%
Agent 79%
-3.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-23
Will a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly? — Government wins
kalshi Politics AMAZONFTC-29DEC31
Market 49%
Agent 35%
-14.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
polymarket World 0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-23
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
kalshi Elections KXALBERTAREFYES-29
Market 17%
Agent 8%
-9.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-23
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency? — Democratic Sweep
kalshi Elections POWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Market 55%
Agent 46%
-9.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-23
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi Elections KX2028DRUN-28-AOC
Market 66%
Agent 58%
-8.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-23
When will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public? — Before Jan 2028
kalshi Politics KXNYCGROCERY-28-JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 70%
-5.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-23
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
polymarket World 0xddfc6aa277b1bfb1c4d2707b944e1a579b7909600f37d64a3eaead37fc6d5169
Market 26%
Agent 22%
-3.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-23
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 88%
Agent 93%
+5.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? — Paxton defeats Talarico
kalshi Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL
Market 46%
Agent 45%
-1.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-23
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-3.2pp
76% conf
2026-08-23
AI bubble burst in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x857398c4502bc725fef7efb3cd503a30d3e18e486ab8173fdf505a76cf83b168
Market 13%
Agent 13%
+0.2pp
60% conf
2026-08-23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-23
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSY-29-JAN20
Market 19%
Agent 19%
+0.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-23
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x81a23668cf6fbd017907168cf75f8c87124078ad466e4e5df0dc44f961d83bb6
Market 28%
Agent 25%
-2.5pp
45% conf
2026-08-23
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 28%
Agent 22%
-6.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-23
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXPRESPARTY-2028-R
Market 41%
Agent 39%
-2.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-23
Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXBANTRANS-26
Market 21%
Agent 52%
+31.0pp
36% conf
2026-08-23
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?
polymarket World 0x4d8da552f646e7244ebddef115b729ccfad820ac168ad3f76167681887499966
Market 47%
Agent 40%
-7.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-23
Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA
Market 56%
Agent 43%
-13.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-23
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 45%
Agent 28%
-17.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-23
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor? — Keith Sonderling
kalshi Politics KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-KSON
Market 92%
Agent 92%
+0.5pp
77% conf
2026-08-23
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5
Market 40%
Agent 40%
-0.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-23
Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio
kalshi Elections KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
polymarket World 0x4167e22670f31e5f93d132f78108f3fae809bd15cadf78983eff096845ed1415
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-1.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXMARTIAL-29JAN20
Market 31%
Agent 25%
-6.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
polymarket Financials 0x75546dcfa25f2cdd0edb5730ed2dc6f4b03940c2b1cb27eaefba47bfe434345d
Market 12%
Agent 11%
-1.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-23
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x1b3b1c9bfea0928c2cb9257d6a0d3b2b624dbfbd4f85eee32191927e55bbf0eb
Market 61%
Agent 53%
-8.1pp
45% conf
2026-08-23
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 22%
Agent 21%
-1.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-23
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
polymarket World 0x578cfae7575d7d072fc67f12b4920a1aca31050a45f15344674fd37f16f52d42
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-23
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Market 15%
Agent 15%
+0.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-23
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?
kalshi Politics KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-2
Market 30%
Agent 31%
+1.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-23
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?
polymarket World 0xcced27f4c19a395cf53b9d7cb31e3a173402e425b990cfaa886700005fac369a
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+2.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-23
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2? — Yes
kalshi Elections KXCITRINI-28JUL01
Market 16%
Agent 12%
-3.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-23
Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
Market 46%
Agent 17%
-29.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-23
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTAPRC-29
Market 15%
Agent 8%
-7.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-23
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xa792f029046f2c926ee81c7d9802c21a4a651d33cf7e1bf991ba800ae002f59f
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
78% conf
2026-08-23
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-23
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
polymarket World 0xec4e5a2666b14fedded928dc4dcd6b5f2d38cc1eba91755b8aa6de1fabd42a2f
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+3.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-23
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSA-29-JAN20
Market 21%
Agent 22%
+1.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.2pp
72% conf
2026-08-22
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xb6b45a6527a60bea323a311a9d4179c532c903e589f81751cfcd86b912b71eda
Market 41%
Agent 42%
+1.0pp
40% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXH1B-29
Market 26%
Agent 11%
-15.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 9%
Agent 4%
-4.8pp
77% conf
2026-08-22
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xcb251bef81c1eaa9267a4bc8b9811922722d9afc9a6e7f5477b2167884011ba2
Market 72%
Agent 65%
-7.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-22
Will USAID be eliminated?
kalshi Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 30%
Agent 29%
-1.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-22
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
kalshi Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 12%
Agent 9%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-22
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
polymarket Elections 0x574baadddd5ff73355480351a6b067f762d4ad18ffdd619aa99253820b691845
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+1.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 28%
Agent 13%
-15.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
polymarket Elections 0xd2481bf85502225a8cfe44cdb7156dc3d8c4e73dc3b287c3177549ceb151f29a
Market 88%
Agent 88%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
kalshi Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x1c842b91d226266fbe0e55d9bce9c52ce48b825d069e039c24d7fe57a5be6eaa
Market 8%
Agent 10%
+1.6pp
63% conf
2026-08-22
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 21%
Agent 12%
-9.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-22
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 61%
Agent 53%
-8.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-22
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e
Market 69%
Agent 73%
+4.3pp
69% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 20%
Agent 16%
-4.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 15%
Agent 3%
-12.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-22
US recession by end of 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
77% conf
2026-08-22
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
kalshi Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 86%
Agent 86%
+0.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-22
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 23%
Agent 17%
-6.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-4.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
polymarket World 0xe51b0cdb413eb9a18243e70c1f33705cdab18f4149b867f32f05650e758d8070
Market 88%
Agent 88%
+0.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost? — At least $100
kalshi Companies KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-100
Market 57%
Agent 52%
-5.0pp
38% conf
2026-08-22
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 36%
Agent 27%
-9.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-22
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 66%
Agent 24%
-42.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-22
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 316 million premium subscribers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSPOTA-28JANPREMSUBS-316000000
Market 44%
Agent 40%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total production in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANPROD-1900000.0
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-22
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Market 84%
Agent 83%
-1.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-22
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-800000000
Market 87%
Agent 85%
-2.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-22
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 2.15 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2150000.0
Market 31%
Agent 28%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
polymarket World 0x0a26a2aeaee92f943b6a5649c4a096766f07675c6c710527fca730bd1e395797
Market 39%
Agent 40%
+1.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-22
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 186 million passengers flown in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXUALA-28JANPAX-186000000
Market 58%
Agent 50%
-8.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-22
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? — Before 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPCELAUNCH-COMM-27JAN01
Market 39%
Agent 10%
-29.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-22
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
polymarket World 0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.4pp
68% conf
2026-08-22
GDP growth in 2031? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-31-B2.3
Market 15%
Agent 14%
-1.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-22
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
polymarket World 0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4
Market 30%
Agent 25%
-4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-22
Will NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028? — Yes
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERNEE-28JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 74%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Will Emory be top 20 on U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings in 2027?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLLEGERANK-TOP20-EMO
Market 12%
Agent 7%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-22
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
polymarket Financials 0x704e4ea883b17433c66119bde289259b3c7d3668a0101df9c66fda9350f17fd2
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.5pp
49% conf
2026-08-22
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 62 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXGRABA-28JANMTU-62000000.0
Market 13%
Agent 9%
-4.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-22
GDP growth in 2028? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-28-B1.8
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc04f9aec719287435df8267da59ddc825f7d1f076cd4078554a70160e04fdb46
Market 90%
Agent 93%
+3.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-22
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 60%
Agent 55%
-5.0pp
47% conf
2026-08-22
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 77%
Agent 75%
-2.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-22
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1750000.0
Market 50%
Agent 56%
+6.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-22
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-10.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 79%
Agent 70%
-9.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xcc59c2569d30b4b86993f3ff17bb900fffc56e7d98f1a5b02793fc9c133db99a
Market 30%
Agent 32%
+2.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-22
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 53%
Agent 53%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-22
GDP growth in 2032? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-32-B2.3
Market 20%
Agent 18%
-2.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
polymarket World 0xa745eff902c48aa61fd7478b3286623b38e979d0a5d89fef46964edf45e46219
Market 55%
Agent 56%
+1.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-22
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMOA-28JANCIGS-54500000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 88%
-0.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? — For tax year 2026
kalshi Economics KXIRSCOLLECT-26
Market 89%
Agent 90%
+1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-22
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0xbef8c052aca381908541276ef2e56f3b1920599750b1d7e10dbd306f65b08c70
Market 18%
Agent 11%
-7.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-22
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 46%
Agent 7%
-39.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-22
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 29%
Agent 20%
-9.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-22
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0xca52ff40e910f20d6af4ae3b475f6fa00c4a31205d732cfb2c2e1d09dff21932
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+1.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 17%
Agent 4%
-13.2pp
75% conf
2026-08-22
GDP growth in 2035? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-35-B1.8
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xfbd0a65112e26d9a2a68dc47f8a95c6c14d22650cb4837c5429b546726661b71
Market 78%
Agent 73%
-5.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-22
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 8%
Agent 2%
-5.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x2709a9392fcfe2348ad935b3158d5e4184ef484cf233d536ecdaa3148bda4aad
Market 72%
Agent 62%
-10.5pp
45% conf
2026-08-22
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 81%
Agent 86%
+5.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-22
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c
Market 80%
Agent 78%
-1.9pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x990d1d3e4d9b120eafce967dc06753b79aa0a6c6f4a92b528fb31fbb7bdb99be
Market 72%
Agent 76%
+5.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-22
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0x4669581cb5c701fd3632a5529ee702353d91d3d4320aba33a31683b388b83869
Market 10%
Agent 14%
+3.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-22
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd
Market 22%
Agent 16%
-6.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-22
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467
Market 55%
Agent 54%
-1.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-22
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xd73dc42697ca2769470ad374ac1a87eaa6b527759be5dc3d7a81d6cc73ae6cad
Market 35%
Agent 33%
-2.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-22
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9
Market 56%
Agent 51%
-4.5pp
49% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4
Market 64%
Agent 66%
+1.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e
Market 23%
Agent 28%
+5.3pp
58% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xe655180a65e17b6959aa722821312de23513cba6c6d2e3a55f47f198977316bf
Market 92%
Agent 95%
+3.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-22
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?
kalshi Politics KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-FT
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb7ca42c3a0324b32cad3e64b29cc372d5e941a41f7f23f787806439854be9021
Market 11%
Agent 10%
-1.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-22
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?
polymarket World 0x1531394070411c2e5f081a9406de4b009374808e3e832f1c1f5ddc37bb6d4ba0
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-22
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0xce5320bc858fcb8439fd6ca00b30487c0dab38304a52f1e72a8c7566ba0de7cb
Market 22%
Agent 14%
-8.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-22
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
polymarket World 0x15ddba100cf49043ada06a98d63ac221cdca86da873485dcca72c174cb9cc300
Market 42%
Agent 42%
-0.5pp
55% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14
Market 48%
Agent 53%
+4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c
Market 70%
Agent 60%
-10.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0xd594753a5d2b4d3b9e65cdd06c3cbb0645d70be7626fad94774f45560b150d23
Market 28%
Agent 22%
-6.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xfc5c740e4617eb9908ceada7c91bfbe1cd41f172d703ef811d544e60a7a70bb5
Market 89%
Agent 86%
-3.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-22
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 21%
Agent 3%
-18.0pp
82% conf
2026-08-22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
polymarket Elections 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37
Market 28%
Agent 29%
+0.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-22
Will Carvana Co. report Above 900 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-900000
Market 13%
Agent 2%
-10.5pp
82% conf
2026-08-22
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x432d3cd0bc52a9f24b76760c751a847b46efd803f1d1fcc60e86ce27ae207a3e
Market 78%
Agent 76%
-2.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-21
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0x3e9c5667a2011051b38a7f10d1c993197a7f1c4bab0d24a42634eda6daa93935
Market 90%
Agent 96%
+5.5pp
86% conf
2026-08-21
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 52000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-52000
Market 79%
Agent 88%
+9.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-21
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x86e62f4e07ef6686e141f2eece8480b7ab3d1e99e6b2071a130e3f3bdb0bcb84
Market 12%
Agent 12%
-0.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-21
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
polymarket Financials 0xe3d0a05304ed0f7e0689a93b0531a1c100d715df9c74549063c98980d2c1a407
Market 45%
Agent 45%
+0.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-21
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc4999f67dfc786c67ad696410098afe7285fdbc81b718917b366923e8e59405f
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-21
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
polymarket World 0x5caf6459052e0fcc736c368f97b5ea98e6bf264507f2e94ac8d69fcc441b1bae
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-21
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xeb5d918348e57c731bc6899c18f0476cba775332fcdb8ee53f23a372e777db19
Market 78%
Agent 32%
-46.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-21
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x424a35de2ed7150339423462d110256fd1a40b6a5f07c0002433bc89201798d7
Market 85%
Agent 85%
+0.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-21
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xd30e3b4e2d6bf4594f44ad982b55435c3add71d3622993b0dee67354defaf598
Market 52%
Agent 47%
-4.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-21
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xbca476df14a1b145502e65d5dec848d00f6f77a4ad22af7bbaecf4cb0015c5c0
Market 90%
Agent 84%
-5.7pp
62% conf
2026-08-21
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x1e69d243d667a44cc310c5a3c9ca97cb17a202fb4231c5ddbb74717f5bb4e49e
Market 70%
Agent 66%
-4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8
Market 28%
Agent 20%
-8.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-21
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6
Market 34%
Agent 16%
-17.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-21
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x3fb3dfa7e6332d421dfb49d735e05b4de1a0f9b7af42d3e4b22f56dfcd1f2858
Market 60%
Agent 33%
-27.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-21
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 61%
Agent 81%
+20.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-21
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
polymarket World 0x96498c10c79ecaafa2bbb92ada36c7ff617913b03d9220f8c95ce7d6776a0b0c
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.6pp
70% conf
2026-08-21
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 64%
-8.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-21
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-MRUB
Market 35%
Agent 15%
-20.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-21
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7
Market 70%
Agent 64%
-5.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-21
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
polymarket Companies 0x08816cb5065f3a5e6e1cc8b96f3e56688dd22ad8f6d287a14ec25d598051ba59
Market 76%
Agent 75%
-1.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-21
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x4211e9bc23a48128233d2fbf2be43e246a56d58161796c07749b117243a7ea69
Market 25%
Agent 28%
+3.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-21
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 29%
-2.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-21
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x77d9710dc8da78bc88f884327609f8546cc429374605bd117804bc4e9cdda2da
Market 87%
Agent 84%
-3.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c
Market 26%
Agent 22%
-4.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-21
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x637ff14bf5b7e81ac906d7488d34492dc39586671e00d064ece47cdd845aa722
Market 46%
Agent 60%
+14.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-21
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
polymarket Elections 0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0
Market 33%
Agent 35%
+2.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-21
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb93e1dd5e36e121b8a6bbb1bd2dabe67529cf60079f8551e34a851fb53965ce6
Market 92%
Agent 92%
-1.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-21
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 24%
Agent 22%
-2.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-21
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 45%
Agent 23%
-22.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-21
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
polymarket World 0x3b5a8f61120f2fb2a808f117b950d7c37ad3ee0953464ba69927c31d24cde918
Market 34%
Agent 36%
+3.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-21
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xfd577c474b09439dc2921fe3e90a9e310633682f73c2ba63a9afb40a88e93fa1
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-21
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
polymarket World 0x6a7aed00fae37de19e0b789a6b50a7475ff1afa898c50b9da11ca733a23199fa
Market 14%
Agent 17%
+2.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-21
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
kalshi Elections KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANEKIR
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.4pp
66% conf
2026-08-21
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
polymarket Elections 0xbe97f7a4f393291ea2c54425f32949167cb12f6955f33ec7b68901aa93285718
Market 83%
Agent 90%
+7.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-21
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x5c0d7c74bbf6ef1e0114e6f75514e3360673e15b6542b78a95363a41c24089d3
Market 74%
Agent 73%
-0.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-21
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xfe990a9fae13a3efbc2bb21684d129d6fb94b7f2336325515bfb17802bd44f7f
Market 50%
Agent 55%
+5.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-21
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x7d09dcc608f04f7d5ebac72b3ab7a2d2037a3b5db1e454d7c5cc6e00fc8762ad
Market 76%
Agent 69%
-7.5pp
43% conf
2026-08-21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0x2167ab5c0d163f85195ccea4d11734e4ba53913c838c6720fb815794128c68f2
Market 28%
Agent 26%
-1.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-21
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 15%
Agent 14%
-1.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-21
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x396100b911b8bb25ea142ec977ac212909cd5f704edf4e156706b513ee728c2d
Market 7%
Agent 8%
+1.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-20
GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.3
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-20
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
polymarket World 0xf9c12aa09c5317d1cf8d26d0dc100a69ecf70e5132e81ef078d5336f63923b5e
Market 92%
Agent 86%
-5.9pp
56% conf
2026-08-20
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 14%
-26.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xf17ad24eb4ad57926495b114149c765b9b95bc286eadc91cbbfa901ceb10d0b8
Market 8%
Agent 12%
+3.8pp
59% conf
2026-08-20
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
polymarket World 0xfa036bb861dd01304a9ad13649947e8c4834a3accd3af872531bac6e0ada2129
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-3.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-20
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 58%
Agent 60%
+1.8pp
53% conf
2026-08-20
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-20
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x0188297b3b68b403d98b82281f12f07fe041d3277edcb8f733e9282d3abfeb76
Market 7%
Agent 8%
+1.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-20
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xf4c72ff42c3f1ee9f25e835e62ca52d71a9cafbcc11f93c01af709af8ee5ff09
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.4pp
68% conf
2026-08-20
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-20
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7
Market 66%
Agent 71%
+5.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-20
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 8%
-11.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-20
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 29%
Agent 2%
-26.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-20
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4
Market 84%
Agent 80%
-4.5pp
61% conf
2026-08-20
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e
Market 74%
Agent 68%
-5.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-20
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
polymarket World 0x36fba860abdbb03c88c782df08d407434ee69be069b6cbac25cffddc2f1b437a
Market 18%
Agent 12%
-6.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-20
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe16d6ef2442a8877d457ad2292e6f9832f569911685d5f2e7b0c89fbcf75cb7b
Market 74%
Agent 77%
+2.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x8e1e5c26dec73aee98230dc0ef93a294142587ca24190c4728d4b7ff831a22e0
Market 44%
Agent 48%
+4.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-20
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Health 0x5801ce623a1d2dcb20bec5708fd9f881326aaf1ff82af22248aceccc7bf29708
Market 86%
Agent 87%
+0.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-20
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x4229c383fa8cd43a052c57b261c04accfccacef3980175859b7786729d43a62a
Market 62%
Agent 53%
-9.0pp
39% conf
2026-08-20
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857
Market 52%
Agent 63%
+11.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-20
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 21%
Agent 23%
+2.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-20
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x23969ec06514ad241fda435742187a08c1b2b2d0b5080f0c0751c9dc0f2d886b
Market 22%
Agent 20%
-2.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-20
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 7%
Agent 15%
+8.0pp
47% conf
2026-08-20
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
polymarket World 0x5eb3964d1bb946a1034c6c32c8df4d5ac5e0b76a676e7e16280c1737aee06d2d
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-20
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-20
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd66eadbd64b3e815e31c7994470b44fe15c7ef1146f78937d0cfaa4c04fcfda7
Market 24%
Agent 26%
+2.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-20
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c
Market 28%
Agent 30%
+2.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-20
Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
kalshi Financials KXANTHROPICLEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX
Market 66%
Agent 56%
-10.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x354c604439d7aa5d000d17a7afe94c3bc0bc1840b2ba92068b6978ee1f782478
Market 90%
Agent 88%
-2.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-20
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb64e4e073ef1242216ceeb1971e4fc5bc9094532558e89014b240992baac0c35
Market 13%
Agent 18%
+5.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-20
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485
Market 73%
Agent 73%
+0.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-20
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 27%
Agent 29%
+2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-20
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x3e17b452536476db05dc4a38d16aa50113006c347d42519e1561c4e41b869593
Market 28%
Agent 31%
+2.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-19
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
polymarket Health 0x0b44e9c6eb563adf459816f9a7a2de0aa66ba5423c474ecab30c97203a3e8207
Market 69%
Agent 33%
-36.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-19
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 66%
Agent 33%
-33.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-19
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
polymarket World 0xe9507a620bd277e230da3b945af4dbd7278748c73c73b2704777cea088fbe568
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-19
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x70eb82556e062975ed23ff8e07a355f132a79f17ef6267ee8be0a8c283ef7dbd
Market 36%
Agent 36%
-0.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-19
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x98dbb998749ae773baf35697d695f5efdc098def32decd687b91c634d8d0481d
Market 19%
Agent 11%
-8.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-19
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x594753f5921304616f36fecd01677e5bf2f6f42a1093fa65e2cdff7193b43ffc
Market 16%
Agent 22%
+6.0pp
42% conf
2026-08-19
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 34%
Agent 21%
-13.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-19
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 10%
Agent 3%
-7.0pp
80% conf
2026-08-19
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x280f534844278583edf4371c96e28dfe4c03bd93ba3cbfce9175ee3821dfa12f
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+3.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-19
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
polymarket Financials 0x094725e5691f06b1895496ab0823b3f843c3be680f870cb721958d4e4d280a55
Market 48%
Agent 45%
-2.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x77b0380be9f46471b5383fd5fd0730d666b852c3c1fcc61529e0699a62f45d47
Market 17%
Agent 27%
+10.0pp
42% conf
2026-08-19
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
kalshi Politics KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN
Market 22%
Agent 14%
-8.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-19
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
polymarket Elections 0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-2.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-19
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x31f521ffcf9b23c876d418bbe8205ac1fab62d0aed60d6dbbc66ca3b01bdbff5
Market 11%
Agent 11%
+0.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-19
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 30%
-10.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-19
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x39ce5b38e8de872497582d5df6b11ab90144d9212eea24155bda43e68b85851b
Market 22%
Agent 19%
-2.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-19
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
polymarket World 0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0
Market 15%
Agent 10%
-5.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-19
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
polymarket Economics 0xd32ac3b2db228eb03d6385b5f0747b7013e0ff717a20e63c75fc74824b91d6b2
Market 40%
Agent 44%
+4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-19
Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero?
kalshi Elections KXNAURURENAME-27JAN01-YES
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.0pp
80% conf
2026-08-19
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x9934f980febf8ce89237685557a6fff9ff90a378f2fe7710c44159f79eb48ddf
Market 7%
Agent 12%
+5.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-19
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 21%
Agent 13%
-8.0pp
66% conf
2026-08-19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x6cfe7a9e60cccf76f79b654192e32585c1f4808ac1abbe17291386b5dc3d6242
Market 88%
Agent 78%
-9.5pp
57% conf
2026-08-19
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80
Market 11%
Agent 8%
-3.1pp
64% conf
2026-08-19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f
Market 18%
Agent 15%
-3.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-19
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
polymarket Elections 0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8
Market 32%
Agent 27%
-4.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-19
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEOH-28-D
Market 44%
Agent 42%
-2.0pp
47% conf
2026-08-19
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x981219376f9549719659bf3fb65f34da7bed52ad2040a24b8a259d5935048b57
Market 36%
Agent 35%
-0.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-19
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x2955f6f6f754108bde41fce0af77b40c17eb7a153a8aeee18fc0c62d6adc9ffe
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+2.9pp
68% conf
2026-08-19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
73% conf
2026-08-19
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 6%
-4.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-19
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x3e531a2beecc6a9bd1b088998133749c3e41e57ed3c44694d93b5de8f1169c90
Market 46%
Agent 37%
-8.5pp
45% conf
2026-08-19
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xd048b3e9ccad82c57a4eec953e75794aeb5e6d0e08bdb79b9e01b24e0049f16d
Market 45%
Agent 42%
-3.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-19
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x0ca328688c590d82b80ec763d0a34353b9b9bd56dd2016243909c038c91d2615
Market 81%
Agent 71%
-10.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x627ed310dc3977b2d71d96a4f2fccd6050553f6f165efd6c29578f5678f3f863
Market 56%
Agent 57%
+1.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-19
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
polymarket World 0x9601280c3d5109783ba64644da25bdfdf120ce516a696f88a42f54ffd2ac761b
Market 56%
Agent 52%
-4.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-19
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6128af13c3c02d558de82dcedb3ac6bd3b97a500fdb7b94b29a4d7e3b9ece77a
Market 8%
Agent 12%
+3.9pp
52% conf
2026-08-19
Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.7 million active clear+ members in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXYOUA-28JANMEM-8700000.0
Market 50%
Agent 34%
-16.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-19
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
polymarket World 0x3de0f3d7d7efb40cde68e814d40a0b232832083653c8e78260eb999baa967de0
Market 18%
Agent 15%
-2.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-18
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x553a941e8a11cac22eb746b6bbea0530695ee3e1b0693d80433d7b943c91cab7
Market 72%
Agent 45%
-27.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-18
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0xa466e17524bcc473279c4ca86f4f1fb01932946a8204e68f6ca96628f8bf2b5e
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-18
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
polymarket Politics 0x136a2773866c2d841b00652b7d99b026409c9a55db769c525ed450e04c653f23
Market 56%
Agent 54%
-2.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-18
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4320 total restaurant count in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCMGA-28JANRESTS-4320
Market 87%
Agent 98%
+10.5pp
86% conf
2026-08-18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e
Market 11%
Agent 12%
+1.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-18
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
polymarket World 0xd69b811efbf143f5eee39c1014724e1e9d97303dd81d3ea18fed994fa305ac2b
Market 11%
Agent 6%
-5.5pp
71% conf
2026-08-18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb
Market 82%
Agent 81%
-1.2pp
68% conf
2026-08-18
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xbb1609990e3ebd9ba46896ff04b44e18ad82fc8b0650c11c084dd4f4540be208
Market 8%
Agent 12%
+3.5pp
61% conf
2026-08-18
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 84%
Agent 90%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-18
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
polymarket Politics 0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-3.5pp
47% conf
2026-08-18
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?
polymarket World 0x0f60d3650df2dc7b6dbd80af09c8b532613b59c6953cf51121c5ce61ecd12af4
Market 14%
Agent 11%
-3.5pp
36% conf
2026-08-18
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0xe34a08b2a8d0f9e5033dc1bc1ee153509e414196c3e8044d5e99b64b974eeea6
Market 13%
Agent 11%
-2.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-18
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x961be2a838df85be6e2fca3436a306c42b7bd43232281930b29058723882450e
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-6.5pp
82% conf
2026-08-18
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?
kalshi Politics KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH
Market 61%
Agent 70%
+9.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-18
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?
polymarket World 0xce1b8885440154c0ec0fee0a082114a759d0a8743e2893910530989b54d3405b
Market 17%
Agent 16%
-1.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
polymarket World 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Market 18%
Agent 17%
-0.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-18
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5c5d128039632bafae6e04840b767fc8e09fc968db7492a09d462c15e4281c9e
Market 20%
Agent 15%
-4.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-18
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
polymarket Elections 0x2f112a1cd954debe3438caac411ca4395cc53be0e1580a5802ab42618b94aff7
Market 60%
Agent 58%
-2.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-18
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 24%
Agent 3%
-21.5pp
81% conf
2026-08-18
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
polymarket World 0x1fb51c9398ae0f164de29cfe3d53f291d4b953145c73a524135b35fb03fa6534
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-18
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?
polymarket World 0x60b4ee89a443d75781b3f01b1811779fa622612a2e2eaacbedaeb66671a50ab9
Market 11%
Agent 7%
-3.9pp
72% conf
2026-08-18
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x1d206fb84f01c0d4e9c912df5192e82c100c46e3deb142b73e65965ee426f698
Market 20%
Agent 9%
-11.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-18
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 22%
Agent 26%
+4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-18
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
polymarket World 0x9f94a3f64e8db20bf9d1766643b3bf4c345e3439d282d779775e171c780e9ddf
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-18
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
polymarket World 0x3867c954ccd50c147312a14025511270bcd264b755fa40e7e3ee20df3e2c81bb
Market 57%
Agent 33%
-24.0pp
45% conf
2026-08-18
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xe97ddd7cfb8633ca0cc05f8033e662b92f6186b9763e96d8fa734c6c83009b35
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.9pp
69% conf
2026-08-18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
polymarket World 0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-1.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-18
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 76%
Agent 80%
+4.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4
Market 88%
Agent 85%
-2.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-18
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989
Market 14%
Agent 20%
+6.3pp
46% conf
2026-08-18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
polymarket Elections 0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0
Market 15%
Agent 18%
+2.8pp
58% conf
2026-08-18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
polymarket World 0x057da165b096d1f3a59d87bcad68649aecd18dc25c89a6d083530d1aaac18146
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-18
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 11%
Agent 10%
-1.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-18
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
polymarket World 0x005de69d6f0d32f8284310d0b0d292f6eb42119fe0ecde7dbd34f7aedce0851c
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.4pp
73% conf
2026-08-18
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xdcae9573d5680a2c958cca4676ed28df7a06861572124f3396cc60ab6b92b9c2
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+0.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-18
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x54f6212ba2469a110b62dad45e4dc318a3eb28a9b7db6309d8b81965355356b7
Market 22%
Agent 23%
+1.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3
Market 50%
Agent 41%
-9.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-18
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
polymarket Elections 0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70
Market 23%
Agent 19%
-4.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-18
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
polymarket Financials 0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-18
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 36%
Agent 18%
-18.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.5pp
75% conf
2026-08-18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xd2e96e78b5a59e12b4d60d6b8426aa93dc6edf2ed7d711509481050c347856b3
Market 32%
Agent 34%
+2.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-18
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0x6f04e616ffd50454ef05e49c23098c3f1d2fbd5bc154cb2f240660df8290aa73
Market 30%
Agent 25%
-5.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd59f25520a8c0ea44a9c9741a97c8c3d769e21f1479b9a14e1a9d475e91f522a
Market 8%
Agent 11%
+3.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x54e4e816cc5868e2f933c6bbc597e3313bdad382be3ecf7eaa4d8fa5c3f1a1bd
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+3.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
polymarket Elections 0x3a1ed604e5d128ea2deb23db1e6f2f1cd9cff31c9e8836ff1b2c840dcd0724ac
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-3.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-18
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Economics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 8%
Agent 2%
-5.0pp
80% conf
2026-08-18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780
Market 41%
Agent 43%
+2.3pp
56% conf
2026-08-18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a
Market 24%
Agent 23%
-1.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-18
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x5328ccb90355de61509485631db102862ec06146c9fd10d101fb9607c4344e03
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+2.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-18
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x1e43a5c82c8c210ea1b229b8140aa85f82595bb67eab4f61e2379ea1fc00ca8a
Market 88%
Agent 86%
-1.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
polymarket Economics 0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200
Market 28%
Agent 29%
+1.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-18
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?
polymarket World 0x2921b53fa1e280aa1c81b630cf177349a665ceb9f713f841e4e18e05fc806864
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-1.9pp
60% conf
2026-08-18
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-H26
Market 9%
Agent 7%
-2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-18
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
polymarket World 0x10dc09c7fb32ce782e2f1f383eb84c2b5434281f488e6eb6651b2a7d91ac3d34
Market 7%
Agent 5%
-2.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-17
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
polymarket Financials 0xd008c45c5320e7453b4e7725bda285cd822a3a61adef14759f2aadf0778c64b6
Market 18%
Agent 16%
-1.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-17
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0xb8781105c2fde5235d3066f41767bae659ba1bda7c8ba30884317e5fa34fc939
Market 28%
Agent 25%
-2.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-17
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xb276435811dc77171602f790db2b5900e780adfadb7cff57e547d58fb1a8215f
Market 12%
Agent 13%
+1.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-17
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0x0f5a74c346b9c0cf13c6f7c8d2cf770feadb5dcacd28690ce3ea09458fc0b2ed
Market 29%
Agent 33%
+4.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-17
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x2a298f2e7444e72897c8cbf439f922356e278fa38de4428467007622b10b34ef
Market 12%
Agent 14%
+2.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-17
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
polymarket World 0x07414b5c367c107a563491fe8b354abd5b07f099fce3b25cd57e80110ce780ff
Market 37%
Agent 35%
-2.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-17
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x0bbe0a32de38e6347c54c95dd85f393a1bfc9ed1cd81cc380778dd2a53268140
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-3.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-17
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 67%
Agent 90%
+23.0pp
75% conf
2026-08-17
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0xe3d75ecd7868363ec78711b1d8ee1eeb31b6271dc2167020b40f8908f77a4c4a
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-1.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
polymarket Elections 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Market 48%
Agent 46%
-1.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-17
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x88196be07d01ebf70043624f2625b2a071da1a1b9ef6d88c7650a11497be4825
Market 36%
Agent 79%
+42.5pp
49% conf
2026-08-17
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?
polymarket Financials 0xfc8f592dfa7bc4d13844fcc4ace439b490cafd0475b6f8e03030c4430960dcae
Market 55%
Agent 47%
-7.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-17
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
polymarket Elections 0xc0f076bc4d90a44df34a729277e9d1f294f0cb60d2c3b1b3800908b1e15b923b
Market 92%
Agent 92%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-17
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xdab5bbe10e1ed098b8e92aae92195d5c1c94152ab34c76c6d8b3a0a6af2aed81
Market 32%
Agent 15%
-17.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-17
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64
Market 70%
Agent 73%
+3.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-17
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 90%
Agent 91%
+1.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
polymarket Financials 0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f
Market 22%
Agent 18%
-3.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-17
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd103195d48bf6183e28c4140bd374dd3e907e8f8d411374cb4d2d124ec4c216d
Market 92%
Agent 94%
+1.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-17
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e
Market 17%
Agent 15%
-2.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-17
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x652293940a98a7ec9b1d2b23fb9e8399728d1a461dce61523fa2fcce8d844e21
Market 8%
Agent 11%
+2.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985
Market 88%
Agent 82%
-6.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527
Market 85%
Agent 88%
+2.8pp
76% conf
2026-08-17
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0xdb66349b5658e7ce54667294bb61ca2f98d68f8afde5c711284d7e9c5a5e5787
Market 72%
Agent 75%
+3.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-17
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?
polymarket World 0x272d76a76fb5493d230773303eddf87d55667dd07a3e63b8e60257a7e7ac373c
Market 10%
Agent 13%
+3.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-17
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 64%
Agent 66%
+2.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-17
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?
polymarket World 0x7881be33e724d46ebc3dc1b46d0cc79a8c1be7699726f9d308876851955cc040
Market 9%
Agent 13%
+4.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-17
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
polymarket World 0xb1fec6bb77b9c51ff26cbcbf2e1ec9cf57198f36c0c62dacf247530fa01a362b
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-17
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb
Market 84%
Agent 78%
-6.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46
Market 68%
Agent 60%
-8.5pp
49% conf
2026-08-17
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68
Market 88%
Agent 88%
+1.0pp
74% conf
2026-08-17
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
polymarket World 0x6176cc868c8893cf431ae1e8103d4d4c1fcfcf239c3b3415b672151337125884
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-17
Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b
Market 46%
Agent 45%
-1.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc
Market 24%
Agent 24%
+0.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9
Market 52%
Agent 51%
-0.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-17
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0xffa6a98cfefe0b48f3a710ec477933d7b76d401b1febd117d11437c1195cf943
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.4pp
70% conf
2026-08-17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc
Market 42%
Agent 31%
-11.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-17
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000
Market 87%
Agent 90%
+3.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
polymarket World 0x21bf9a7dae81b6bd51acae73185686ab8997b81b1401e4be10e114d472599c26
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-17
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
polymarket Companies 0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0
Market 74%
Agent 65%
-8.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
Market 76%
Agent 72%
-3.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
polymarket World 0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-4.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-17
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
polymarket World 0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.1pp
68% conf
2026-08-17
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x80bdbe1b7d1f99f9e95c587e3a9ed4f20c54dfb1dc45b02977bf9bec040d8262
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.9pp
75% conf
2026-08-17
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xb39e0d31a16bf622c459ebe01708ea08461cef4eb48c103f3ca79f42f060a5e3
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
polymarket Economics 0x2f7fd7124a7ff44d324a49cda1415371c7cc4ee111f60b288a3d6ad194319d15
Market 92%
Agent 79%
-13.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-17
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
polymarket World 0x15e8b539b6e6bed3285dbabb6fa3de5c528e562a089edda1ba7c0dcb5a073657
Market 20%
Agent 15%
-4.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
polymarket Financials 0x7080086a82babdb1b556ddc543ce616f82764c40c3860002e0ab38396eb8078b
Market 76%
Agent 70%
-6.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-17
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 26%
Agent 26%
+0.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-17
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x9d509b38bd75f40e69d67320c6a584c5bf8d262dd3415ed55f1cc3c88a7490fd
Market 42%
Agent 30%
-12.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-16
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
polymarket World 0xb8b5ba728577c752f2147f8a15a1710b39c70bafe5fa9536159725c7f09779c4
Market 30%
Agent 34%
+3.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-16
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
polymarket World 0x7a4f85f9ebace96909f940927d4cb7d829a18636b7b7bed782ca7dbdf5e391d0
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-16
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x338f6f3e5ff30f189a7228290a66b9a4213722032da364c8635b496589ddfd3b
Market 50%
Agent 46%
-4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-16
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xc5698c53ad8d753daab3606bc004ef33a9e59928d4281ee7b1d5d0914b13ec22
Market 90%
Agent 20%
-70.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-16
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x2f2c1c9fb95be15c18394b3ac9ba6431ccffda7a383d08d7ab7379330e0fecaf
Market 80%
Agent 81%
+0.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-16
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x3bd031e0f77ca0d50bf867947e92190ff9316d2ce93f4bc4858d047681629a83
Market 8%
Agent 10%
+2.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-16
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 93%
Agent 90%
-3.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-16
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b
Market 20%
Agent 19%
-0.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390
Market 18%
Agent 17%
-1.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-16
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc96039a224ec00ecbdcd09687e3b6c0bcdaa1e6f16ce9fcbf8f97621d058797c
Market 12%
Agent 16%
+4.1pp
56% conf
2026-08-16
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xe96dbaceb816e80063bec945a76ac915cba4341bdf1ef704f722bfc9054aad09
Market 39%
Agent 43%
+3.9pp
49% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009
Market 87%
Agent 78%
-8.8pp
56% conf
2026-08-16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xafefe6fc14ffb9bd92f2ad0578696345ed3484a566d393c16e717ccdc67c68ec
Market 59%
Agent 55%
-3.8pp
48% conf
2026-08-16
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd50c016598c499fceea10a1a714e48d9b4953487fe215daeaf916068fae722f1
Market 44%
Agent 40%
-3.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-16
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xc9fc72685b47df85916bb2b140067984c3f64e312a0af8c802b746b6331d6f23
Market 90%
Agent 89%
-1.1pp
64% conf
2026-08-16
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x93a3b80b1fb485057add882b55d12011ea011fedd9abededad86ac6cb53a2802
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-16
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 25%
Agent 5%
-20.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-16
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
77% conf
2026-08-16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
polymarket World 0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-4.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
polymarket World 0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e
Market 82%
Agent 80%
-1.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
polymarket World 0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-2.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-16
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
polymarket World 0x4e53d90b756b3820270df8c51acb5ddd48ce090c3c7fa05e162c9d897b8688d6
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.7pp
68% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x2f3eaf103e9b1cfd09e31a4da7e547d0b8de41f01936ad5e256ada3b1a8caf6a
Market 8%
Agent 11%
+3.3pp
62% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x60a4dc3f3fccac5c29571f9f4bb8067fecdbcac17f337aac62ea0fe5cd476435
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-16
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
polymarket World 0xefc3709f0ae11d758016a1027dc6fffb15cdb528276d6ad7b69d75c9bcf2d207
Market 16%
Agent 12%
-3.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-16
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 91%
+2.0pp
67% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x7dec9c618309c76d9772c3205ecf688828189c00d0485222be618e0a0011f00a
Market 18%
Agent 18%
+0.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-16
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xe46d07045c7c7abff08c961623e5da552575825b7631f1a5d707a103fc1534e9
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
66% conf
2026-08-16
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x953b1439569eef0a0e639566acd35d32ebadee8ab70dbb2f8e00bb936a277aa2
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-16
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x81a23668cf6fbd017907168cf75f8c87124078ad466e4e5df0dc44f961d83bb6
Market 36%
Agent 34%
-2.5pp
44% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5e7e02d2f15bcfd5576c13c3abf29ed4ee6068c0e22228f96f9753d545cbd005
Market 7%
Agent 10%
+2.2pp
70% conf
2026-08-16
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?
polymarket World 0x82e450710b66e5836a05fb412ac26d2ac27cbd3967ab44ce17e770f4a524108d
Market 8%
Agent 15%
+7.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-16
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5faa92b9df4273e710f72e75e09b4d30ce00579ad4b5041427d00c98d3ada2f3
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-1.9pp
71% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?
polymarket World 0x4d8da552f646e7244ebddef115b729ccfad820ac168ad3f76167681887499966
Market 44%
Agent 48%
+4.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-16
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
polymarket World 0x032bea9bdb1cc6b3456b5f6b4589d600eda00fea105e9f028acd169fbd1aaf74
Market 63%
Agent 67%
+4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-16
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
polymarket World 0x71f72bf6709b92c9b1bfc3d658dd11a798997e65e03463e81bc2beb3d1e39798
Market 37%
Agent 20%
-17.0pp
57% conf
2026-08-16
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 43%
Agent 30%
-13.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-16
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
polymarket Elections 0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5
Market 40%
Agent 40%
-0.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
polymarket World 0x4167e22670f31e5f93d132f78108f3fae809bd15cadf78983eff096845ed1415
Market 16%
Agent 12%
-3.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-16
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x89ce0b1a8f226098928604bdd35eb37cfad6ad6ff38b8754e2da70fcc3c7079e
Market 28%
Agent 10%
-18.0pp
69% conf
2026-08-16
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
polymarket Financials 0xceb73b756d1dffbb60452a86efbca93efea9453a6f5078b2c8fd49dda3f5ccee
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-0.5pp
65% conf
2026-08-16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
polymarket Financials 0x75546dcfa25f2cdd0edb5730ed2dc6f4b03940c2b1cb27eaefba47bfe434345d
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-16
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
polymarket World 0x5a35c8d26f024d73b504530a3f33945741ff1152473c7393250f19d73d518a17
Market 26%
Agent 9%
-16.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-16
Maduro guilty of all counts?
polymarket World 0x1f9767f0b627eee12dd816c07a745c968807dae4cce336b8a2cb66d28cd3607c
Market 29%
Agent 26%
-2.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x272c4523eec6df3d46f668c0e10aa3bf91059074016a66d1e042a4c2118533d9
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-16
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xea5cf0c6869e83ad7b7446093f5df703503152873386517c84883d3939e25d80
Market 91%
Agent 89%
-2.2pp
72% conf
2026-08-16
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x15cda44bef6ec2cb20755e8632f1386cf244a1aeb0372d463dbf70a7c44bcde5
Market 93%
Agent 92%
-1.0pp
71% conf
2026-08-16
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xa792f029046f2c926ee81c7d9802c21a4a651d33cf7e1bf991ba800ae002f59f
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
76% conf
2026-08-16
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 90%
Agent 96%
+5.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-16
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0xba093f5c98e6c7d389a18ad4849ce5e82c2238f6daaf40755c1399d093e9a8f4
Market 8%
Agent 10%
+1.1pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xa776ef6b16f785ca718dfaf177743793acda4ee06c721253b868831f5089590c
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
59% conf
2026-08-15
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
polymarket World 0xfb13ea7fb958d280d2a8a1e9d94709b6749a9af50a9304d588ea38234b145147
Market 45%
Agent 47%
+2.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-15
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x1c842b91d226266fbe0e55d9bce9c52ce48b825d069e039c24d7fe57a5be6eaa
Market 8%
Agent 10%
+2.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
polymarket World 0x3db0178f6ee00011e6ede975436532edec684ca3facc8f8eb26d8ce9f4464717
Market 36%
Agent 63%
+27.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-15
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
polymarket Financials 0x791fdf75b48cc0dbe72afb210d800504ac5ee625a2fab8ceef413b50fe3487a4
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-15
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
polymarket World 0x35fac6dda287ab6433bdc326bb39f31594744200fb68625621c6115b4f0d8622
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+0.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 42%
Agent 18%
-24.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-15
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
polymarket Elections 0x809eaa464104c09fbe8e54c582256dfa29b5061928790eea2e3d4908d96a7b5c
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.5pp
72% conf
2026-08-15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
polymarket Financials 0x83a9a0501e19dfc227b1604c0b55c1e1e9e43918d69cc88f0c45ca35551dec9f
Market 8%
Agent 12%
+4.2pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
polymarket Elections 0x087469b4129c64c688397028059dfd366796adbd426e0079ee4cfdd2e4a07b61
Market 16%
Agent 16%
+0.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?
polymarket World 0x71ee8e53f370ab5630f8a68f8a40d4e4cbbad222138f208de574056e80ab8473
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-1.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-15
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
polymarket World 0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-2.9pp
71% conf
2026-08-15
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
polymarket World 0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4
Market 36%
Agent 29%
-7.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-15
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
polymarket Politics 0x612126703db7fb7eaa44906b2c7de42300a6cb6e0615c1e360e96e328b6433e5
Market 30%
Agent 26%
-4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-15
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.5pp
74% conf
2026-08-15
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xcc59c2569d30b4b86993f3ff17bb900fffc56e7d98f1a5b02793fc9c133db99a
Market 38%
Agent 28%
-10.5pp
49% conf
2026-08-15
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-4.0pp
84% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x650e3ebc043ddbcfa1d1ffda0c5830f19da7389827889fb5db3474bde5b007fb
Market 54%
Agent 60%
+6.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-15
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
polymarket World 0xa745eff902c48aa61fd7478b3286623b38e979d0a5d89fef46964edf45e46219
Market 64%
Agent 73%
+9.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-15
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0xbef8c052aca381908541276ef2e56f3b1920599750b1d7e10dbd306f65b08c70
Market 21%
Agent 12%
-9.0pp
55% conf
2026-08-15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x2709a9392fcfe2348ad935b3158d5e4184ef484cf233d536ecdaa3148bda4aad
Market 64%
Agent 65%
+0.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c
Market 69%
Agent 71%
+2.3pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x990d1d3e4d9b120eafce967dc06753b79aa0a6c6f4a92b528fb31fbb7bdb99be
Market 56%
Agent 67%
+10.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb
Market 57%
Agent 53%
-4.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52
Market 22%
Agent 21%
-0.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2
Market 57%
Agent 64%
+6.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd
Market 26%
Agent 19%
-7.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
polymarket Elections 0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3
Market 50%
Agent 52%
+1.5pp
47% conf
2026-08-15
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 13%
Agent 10%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-15
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9
Market 57%
Agent 57%
-0.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4
Market 56%
Agent 54%
-2.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-15
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x0135f2ed385fd81fa2af3b98720ee3ba440ea4a719636c1493f15a23366fc27e
Market 40%
Agent 55%
+14.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-15
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xd73dc42697ca2769470ad374ac1a87eaa6b527759be5dc3d7a81d6cc73ae6cad
Market 50%
Agent 36%
-13.5pp
47% conf
2026-08-15
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.5pp
70% conf
2026-08-15
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
polymarket World 0xe51b0cdb413eb9a18243e70c1f33705cdab18f4149b867f32f05650e758d8070
Market 82%
Agent 70%
-12.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
polymarket World 0x15ddba100cf49043ada06a98d63ac221cdca86da873485dcca72c174cb9cc300
Market 34%
Agent 36%
+1.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14
Market 50%
Agent 54%
+4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-15
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xcb251bef81c1eaa9267a4bc8b9811922722d9afc9a6e7f5477b2167884011ba2
Market 56%
Agent 40%
-16.0pp
45% conf
2026-08-15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c
Market 70%
Agent 61%
-8.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-15
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x26111fc515bce79a110819684ef2da6e0a3f6523a7d1b3776549d4102fe4a5ac
Market 45%
Agent 9%
-36.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0xd594753a5d2b4d3b9e65cdd06c3cbb0645d70be7626fad94774f45560b150d23
Market 26%
Agent 29%
+2.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-15
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x6c2a8bc4b07c81a529db51344eed7d74e32a48f0f1fcea66dbf73215f5f72e95
Market 19%
Agent 18%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-15
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
polymarket World 0x8cb6397eb801be6c6aa2e176e3bf32fdfed2aeaaac16061cb6e85d10cacca393
Market 26%
Agent 26%
+1.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-15
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 21%
Agent 2%
-18.5pp
85% conf
2026-08-15
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x57eb29c8fc0e9bbb8b988d80a38276492e2ae412bca9a62af7da55fc59d993e0
Market 66%
Agent 56%
-10.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
polymarket Elections 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37
Market 28%
Agent 31%
+3.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-15
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
polymarket Economics 0x4fe25d919b3bfc0d883a3a3dbaf08facb4afb1e7c9e966d40e630e89e808f8f2
Market 77%
Agent 74%
-3.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-15
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x74681cc13dc54fa347507d7ab57b66ea8c0e8c4ff9fb5a589583239c774f65aa
Market 22%
Agent 22%
+0.3pp
61% conf
2026-08-15
Will Dan J. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
kalshi Elections KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DJSUL
Market 49%
Agent 60%
+11.0pp
44% conf
2026-08-15
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x1060dae0c6594081645627fe0ca48a5b85b008c964c66569788e0063d907fa64
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.5pp
68% conf
2026-08-14
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7
Market 68%
Agent 62%
-5.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
polymarket Companies 0x08816cb5065f3a5e6e1cc8b96f3e56688dd22ad8f6d287a14ec25d598051ba59
Market 65%
Agent 65%
+0.0pp
49% conf
2026-08-14
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e
Market 67%
Agent 68%
+1.4pp
58% conf
2026-08-14
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 65%
-7.0pp
61% conf
2026-08-14
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
polymarket Politics 0xaad0c8484cc9f91162f667120780d75fd822f399ee9060591a065602b1d1efbb
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.8pp
68% conf
2026-08-14
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x4211e9bc23a48128233d2fbf2be43e246a56d58161796c07749b117243a7ea69
Market 16%
Agent 25%
+8.5pp
44% conf
2026-08-14
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x77d9710dc8da78bc88f884327609f8546cc429374605bd117804bc4e9cdda2da
Market 80%
Agent 75%
-5.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-14
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x637ff14bf5b7e81ac906d7488d34492dc39586671e00d064ece47cdd845aa722
Market 32%
Agent 38%
+6.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-14
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYNH-28-R
Market 83%
Agent 78%
-5.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
polymarket Companies 0x8fca3783aac880990b3c11ffe941e81b1417140429e63dfede4e8b0f6deae839
Market 72%
Agent 53%
-18.5pp
43% conf
2026-08-14
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
polymarket Elections 0x9c414cb64000dc7645b2bba8d7586746f3ddb1cfd1b564769188b81cd63ad667
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.0pp
65% conf
2026-08-14
US recession by end of 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-14
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x6f3c4a19afe0621f5bfd39a18625ec392dcd695c34a708f02a52c96ed3436773
Market 34%
Agent 36%
+2.0pp
53% conf
2026-08-14
Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party? — Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
kalshi Elections KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Market 26%
Agent 23%
-3.0pp
45% conf
2026-08-14
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xfdcff4f909625aac66f78123d5db6419472ef6ddca3244720336024236d4b58c
Market 50%
Agent 47%
-2.5pp
41% conf
2026-08-14
Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
polymarket World 0x92a7633ebba21b6e816bb0af38a51a17fbb56afa99df148074f6aebc6d5d222d
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-2.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-14
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
polymarket World 0x3b5a8f61120f2fb2a808f117b950d7c37ad3ee0953464ba69927c31d24cde918
Market 32%
Agent 28%
-4.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-14
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x3b8ffe267a348097806237bd9af95050896ee12e4d461b421ca703c8bdf31022
Market 32%
Agent 22%
-10.5pp
62% conf
2026-08-14
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? — Before 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPCELAUNCH-COMM-27JAN01
Market 50%
Agent 12%
-38.0pp
72% conf
2026-08-14
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb93e1dd5e36e121b8a6bbb1bd2dabe67529cf60079f8551e34a851fb53965ce6
Market 90%
Agent 86%
-3.5pp
67% conf
2026-08-14
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x5c0d7c74bbf6ef1e0114e6f75514e3360673e15b6542b78a95363a41c24089d3
Market 73%
Agent 68%
-5.0pp
54% conf
2026-08-14
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x7d09dcc608f04f7d5ebac72b3ab7a2d2037a3b5db1e454d7c5cc6e00fc8762ad
Market 74%
Agent 71%
-2.5pp
58% conf
2026-08-14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
polymarket World 0x2167ab5c0d163f85195ccea4d11734e4ba53913c838c6720fb815794128c68f2
Market 34%
Agent 28%
-5.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-14
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
kalshi Politics KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AKEL
Market 33%
Agent 25%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-14
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x50378a9069427b82e68dd334fcf40bae1e077c0658214926c3635ff64c539bbc
Market 30%
Agent 24%
-5.5pp
50% conf
2026-08-13
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
polymarket Politics 0x989fefef6c04abba7fd12811f2ef00f74dd2be48e8ab4fc1f4c4b6682fe95cd0
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
83% conf
2026-08-13
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4
Market 82%
Agent 80%
-2.5pp
64% conf
2026-08-13
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e
Market 74%
Agent 65%
-9.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-13
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 24%
Agent 6%
-18.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-13
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
polymarket World 0x36fba860abdbb03c88c782df08d407434ee69be069b6cbac25cffddc2f1b437a
Market 26%
Agent 20%
-6.5pp
51% conf
2026-08-13
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe16d6ef2442a8877d457ad2292e6f9832f569911685d5f2e7b0c89fbcf75cb7b
Market 68%
Agent 66%
-1.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-13
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857
Market 44%
Agent 48%
+4.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-13
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
polymarket Elections 0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7
Market 66%
Agent 67%
+0.5pp
60% conf
2026-08-13
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 20%
Agent 6%
-14.0pp
82% conf
2026-08-13
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0x23969ec06514ad241fda435742187a08c1b2b2d0b5080f0c0751c9dc0f2d886b
Market 23%
Agent 20%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-13
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xb93df5d87733e7804e2db6aab7d91d69b886966fd5ec7cfeb66d06713d99dfa3
Market 72%
Agent 63%
-8.7pp
42% conf
2026-08-13
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x745bad0ff4724aab8a5e52ce4fe1558a493fb248a679b51f54bbe21923979f02
Market 29%
Agent 4%
-25.0pp
78% conf
2026-08-13
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
polymarket World 0x5eb3964d1bb946a1034c6c32c8df4d5ac5e0b76a676e7e16280c1737aee06d2d
Market 77%
Agent 57%
-20.0pp
52% conf
2026-08-13
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 56%
Agent 58%
+2.0pp
60% conf
2026-08-13
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xd66eadbd64b3e815e31c7994470b44fe15c7ef1146f78937d0cfaa4c04fcfda7
Market 22%
Agent 26%
+3.5pp
59% conf
2026-08-13
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c
Market 31%
Agent 34%
+3.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-13
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x5856328392136a28db888aa672f6d16cc12d7728c004ef236556ad7fd6ca2125
Market 12%
Agent 14%
+1.6pp
63% conf
2026-08-13
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
polymarket Politics 0x76d208e65b0e708b3ef3536854512df46d9bddd569d5aa7e292fec0e3b862e62
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
69% conf
2026-08-13
Will Matthew Schultz qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?
kalshi Elections KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MSCH
Market 76%
Agent 33%
-43.0pp
51% conf
2026-08-13
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xb64e4e073ef1242216ceeb1971e4fc5bc9094532558e89014b240992baac0c35
Market 34%
Agent 45%
+11.5pp
48% conf
2026-08-13
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0x4669581cb5c701fd3632a5529ee702353d91d3d4320aba33a31683b388b83869
Market 12%
Agent 15%
+3.0pp
58% conf
2026-08-13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485
Market 78%
Agent 76%
-2.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-13
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xf4c72ff42c3f1ee9f25e835e62ca52d71a9cafbcc11f93c01af709af8ee5ff09
Market 11%
Agent 8%
-2.6pp
70% conf
2026-08-13
Will Minnesota Governor winner be Democratic party and Minnesota Senate winner be Democratic party? — Democrats sweep
kalshi Elections KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Market 91%
Agent 74%
-16.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-13
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x3fb3dfa7e6332d421dfb49d735e05b4de1a0f9b7af42d3e4b22f56dfcd1f2858
Market 50%
Agent 43%
-7.5pp
43% conf
2026-08-12
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
polymarket Financials 0x7de40f0990c2598fdaff0d259d0b2bad2dc284d74c510530c740f18394a6771d
Market 23%
Agent 19%
-4.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-12
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0x1ea2b1c0091848e75be823c039081f7db66ebb48af0e5d286da156fce773722f
Market 8%
Agent 10%
+1.5pp
46% conf
2026-08-12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
polymarket World 0x77b0380be9f46471b5383fd5fd0730d666b852c3c1fcc61529e0699a62f45d47
Market 24%
Agent 28%
+4.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-12
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 26%
Agent 24%
-2.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-12
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
polymarket World 0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0
Market 22%
Agent 18%
-4.5pp
63% conf
2026-08-12
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
polymarket Economics 0xd32ac3b2db228eb03d6385b5f0747b7013e0ff717a20e63c75fc74824b91d6b2
Market 48%
Agent 46%
-1.5pp
52% conf
2026-08-12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xbf1aa15d0707bc6425a3d9a392910870904464188d56fee0ddce49418413db9e
Market 40%
Agent 30%
-10.0pp
62% conf
2026-08-12
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
polymarket Elections 0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829
Market 15%
Agent 14%
-1.0pp
70% conf
2026-08-12
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 30%
-10.0pp
56% conf
2026-08-12
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x651cc6fb1d22cbaacb30a38d74621f2588b187d6b023f91f38cb94e13804fe41
Market 76%
Agent 66%
-10.5pp
54% conf
2026-08-12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
polymarket Financials 0x6cfe7a9e60cccf76f79b654192e32585c1f4808ac1abbe17291386b5dc3d6242
Market 83%
Agent 74%
-9.0pp
48% conf
2026-08-12
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
polymarket Financials 0x0a8d89321f01639ec17b6bcf1ef0b6c15137b1934605f8bffeb50b2f291756d4
Market 30%
Agent 36%
+6.0pp
46% conf
2026-08-12
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-4.7pp
68% conf
2026-08-12
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 21%
Agent 8%
-13.0pp
73% conf
2026-08-12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f
Market 21%
Agent 19%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-08-12
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x85bf5c1ae7a298e276e0b1a8ff029dcf226b7f7ac98896bf522e185864958c58
Market 28%
Agent 31%
+2.5pp
40% conf
2026-08-12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
polymarket Financials 0xc289a877bc155123069739b21d690b3e8dc220b98f6ae3924468bbcbdfaf98dc
Market 84%
Agent 79%
-5.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
polymarket Elections 0xeee75e18b53425c67035084fb8be5414331614ab4e5ec59574bc73e11817be93
Market 15%
Agent 16%
+1.0pp
63% conf
2026-08-12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
polymarket Economics 0x21008fa37dda281470ccf81c2f503da9e35aa5b4a4dfb18ad4ec0e9ea922ccb4
Market 71%
Agent 66%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-08-12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
polymarket Elections 0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8
Market 30%
Agent 26%
-3.5pp
53% conf
2026-08-12
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-3.9pp
46% conf
2026-08-12
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
polymarket Companies 0x80cc728ebde94714126b057d969cd4902da396a753b2cd2af3e89d498e0d3957
Market 26%
Agent 23%
-3.0pp
64% conf
2026-08-12
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6557ff312837c0707d82bc2def893572289e012cff21a264593c6551f85d7e50
Market 84%
Agent 79%
-5.5pp
56% conf
2026-08-12
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 15%
Agent 8%
-7.5pp
80% conf
2026-08-12
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x9cedd0cd3fd360dc0167b438bb73337ff34abe3c3d6241d421e69e555103ae9c
Market 76%
Agent 70%
-5.5pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
polymarket Economics 0x0e159c0d672526d1d65f524b1c512185924aac8f781b6c68549c2a17dec953e0
Market 33%
Agent 43%
+10.0pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 61%
Agent 52%
-9.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
polymarket Companies 0x073ca5657f1176276aab63652f31aa3c80aa07b4cd28c299373bbc264c5e13a9
Market 17%
Agent 17%
-0.1pp
medium
2026-08-11
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x4632e96b7010fa4c1474d876f178539f11a284761c08842db5dd2e737cf6341b
Market 83%
Agent 70%
-13.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-0.5pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x553a941e8a11cac22eb746b6bbea0530695ee3e1b0693d80433d7b943c91cab7
Market 63%
Agent 55%
-8.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
polymarket World 0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436
Market 16%
Agent 19%
+2.5pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 45%
Agent 44%
-1.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xd2e96e78b5a59e12b4d60d6b8426aa93dc6edf2ed7d711509481050c347856b3
Market 34%
Agent 36%
+2.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0x6f04e616ffd50454ef05e49c23098c3f1d2fbd5bc154cb2f240660df8290aa73
Market 34%
Agent 42%
+7.5pp
medium
2026-08-11
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 36%
Agent 27%
-9.0pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
polymarket Elections 0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70
Market 17%
Agent 19%
+1.7pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x5328ccb90355de61509485631db102862ec06146c9fd10d101fb9607c4344e03
Market 18%
Agent 26%
+7.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-11
Will Mark Sanford qualify for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Senate Republican special primary?
kalshi Elections KXSCRSENSADVANCE-26AUG11-MSAN
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-08-11
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x432d3cd0bc52a9f24b76760c751a847b46efd803f1d1fcc60e86ce27ae207a3e
Market 74%
Agent 75%
+1.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-10
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
polymarket Economics 0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200
Market 40%
Agent 36%
-3.5pp
medium
2026-08-10
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 11%
Agent 4%
-7.0pp
medium-high
2026-08-10
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0x1e43a5c82c8c210ea1b229b8140aa85f82595bb67eab4f61e2379ea1fc00ca8a
Market 83%
Agent 76%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-08-10
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
polymarket Companies 0xbe08d90ef2580df2e09070828d1b523b1b8e53a212f92c6a0f2a50c5e3c7327d
Market 26%
Agent 25%
-1.3pp
low
2026-08-10
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 29%
Agent 25%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-08-10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
polymarket Financials 0xc78d4cb90b765aeb4c6b3bed7f1119dbcf164975f015b78b954632fcabf8cf71
Market 52%
Agent 45%
-6.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x627ed310dc3977b2d71d96a4f2fccd6050553f6f165efd6c29578f5678f3f863
Market 55%
Agent 46%
-8.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-10
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 83%
Agent 82%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-08-10
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
polymarket Health 0x1d916047bbca1be9808076a0590c17ff113fb92986a4b4bc7f0f962642158827
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-2.5pp
medium-high
2026-08-10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985
Market 82%
Agent 75%
-6.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-10
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.5pp
medium
2026-08-10
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
polymarket Politics 0x921330240e4d92f8535d54bcb34b31750fc235761f97b064d92e54a48c2f9dca
Market 89%
Agent 91%
+1.6pp
medium-high
2026-08-10
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 58%
Agent 55%
-3.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-10
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x25909ea666c753960862d2ee206c722be378ba8bdedd0055e412720fa8f9d815
Market 93%
Agent 86%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-08-10
GDP growth in 2036? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.8
Market 7%
Agent 8%
+1.5pp
medium
2026-08-09
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e
Market 22%
Agent 17%
-5.5pp
medium
2026-08-09
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
polymarket Elections 0x83030b249525db4c0bcd83a915776442f4ea32d2fba10825fca4abeb51512d8f
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-4.2pp
medium
2026-08-09
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 66%
Agent 90%
+24.0pp
medium-high
2026-08-09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Financials 0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780
Market 43%
Agent 47%
+3.7pp
low-medium
2026-08-09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-3.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-09
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 89%
Agent 86%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-08-09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
medium-high
2026-08-09
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
polymarket Companies 0xffa6a98cfefe0b48f3a710ec477933d7b76d401b1febd117d11437c1195cf943
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+0.9pp
medium
2026-08-09
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 37%
Agent 33%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-08-09
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 94%
+5.0pp
medium
2026-08-08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
polymarket Economics 0x325e6ab1dd315e6f435183fbf7dff8a7c4be37f9bbf7abcd4459e75110aa9f1d
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.5pp
medium
2026-08-08
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xb60cf8249d71b05baf2b2d96621b8e69b0617ab7c8a0d175b62b6e8f91726920
Market 52%
Agent 40%
-12.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-08
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 37%
Agent 21%
-16.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-08
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
polymarket Elections 0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0
Market 17%
Agent 19%
+1.8pp
medium
2026-08-08
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
polymarket World 0x3de0f3d7d7efb40cde68e814d40a0b232832083653c8e78260eb999baa967de0
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-9.5pp
medium
2026-08-08
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 42%
Agent 28%
-14.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-08
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb
Market 83%
Agent 73%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-08-08
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
polymarket Politics 0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129
Market 40%
Agent 30%
-9.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-08
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 15%
Agent 8%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-08-08
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 88%
Agent 95%
+7.0pp
high
2026-08-07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
Market 70%
Agent 65%
-5.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-07
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
polymarket Companies 0x3ff9124b87f05d7a65ec801f28cb336b86c16a2197afb0139731610d55e21d27
Market 11%
Agent 12%
+1.0pp
medium
2026-08-07
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 21%
Agent 4%
-17.0pp
high
2026-08-07
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xf17a11ec68f161b929b5147f0dcd536e177e46efebcabe438d9063a412ab74f0
Market 18%
Agent 15%
-3.5pp
medium
2026-08-07
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x652293940a98a7ec9b1d2b23fb9e8399728d1a461dce61523fa2fcce8d844e21
Market 9%
Agent 11%
+2.0pp
medium
2026-08-07
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 44%
Agent 33%
-10.8pp
medium
2026-08-07
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
high
2026-08-06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket World 0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb
Market 84%
Agent 83%
-1.3pp
medium
2026-08-06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
polymarket Economics 0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a
Market 48%
Agent 38%
-10.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-06
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 67%
Agent 50%
-17.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
polymarket Financials 0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc
Market 32%
Agent 32%
+0.5pp
medium
2026-08-06
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
polymarket Financials 0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e
Market 12%
Agent 9%
-3.5pp
medium
2026-08-06
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi Elections KX2028DRUN-28-AOC
Market 58%
Agent 61%
+3.0pp
medium
2026-08-06
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 78%
Agent 82%
+4.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-05
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36
Market 15%
Agent 11%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-08-05
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 87%
Agent 84%
-3.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
polymarket Financials 0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.5pp
medium
2026-08-05
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 23%
Agent 12%
-11.0pp
medium
2026-08-05
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
polymarket Companies 0xb6b45a6527a60bea323a311a9d4179c532c903e589f81751cfcd86b912b71eda
Market 59%
Agent 60%
+1.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-05
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary? — South Carolina
kalshi Elections KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
Market 92%
Agent 88%
-4.5pp
medium
2026-08-05
GDP growth in 2031? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-31-B2.3
Market 9%
Agent 12%
+2.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
polymarket Elections 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Market 46%
Agent 44%
-1.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-04
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 9%
Agent 9%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-08-04
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
polymarket Companies 0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68
Market 89%
Agent 88%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-08-04
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 56%
Agent 58%
+2.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-04
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x2fe2f420a7de9c259d37f7f1606a0c81ad16b6d45afe4e1125db3941a3903a7a
Market 8%
Agent 3%
-4.6pp
medium-high
2026-08-04
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 13%
Agent 7%
-6.0pp
medium
2026-08-04
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x616841e9a65363fcc9a59ddd8adfecc7f3592a18689b95f2f5807dc43174f282
Market 86%
Agent 82%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-08-04
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 31%
Agent 30%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-08-04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
polymarket World 0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
medium-high
2026-08-03
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 26%
Agent 7%
-19.0pp
medium
2026-08-03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
polymarket Elections 0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a
Market 32%
Agent 34%
+1.5pp
medium
2026-08-03
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 13%
Agent 4%
-9.0pp
medium-high
2026-08-03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
polymarket Politics 0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc
Market 20%
Agent 22%
+2.5pp
medium
2026-08-03
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 84%
Agent 79%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-08-03
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xd0e66191853681730e4a0cfbf71b1ee9c73d8c222e2cb139bdd8147886b38075
Market 31%
Agent 19%
-12.0pp
medium
2026-08-03
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-2.6pp
medium
2026-08-03
Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b
Market 68%
Agent 61%
-6.5pp
medium
2026-08-02
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 60%
Agent 64%
+4.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
polymarket Elections 0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4
Market 86%
Agent 83%
-2.5pp
medium
2026-08-02
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 23%
Agent 4%
-19.0pp
medium
2026-08-02
Natural Disaster in 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0x6262a76b26dba92b7de48e49bc9c5dce0b1e3cbd4927ba02a2292e53ab32677b
Market 40%
Agent 24%
-16.0pp
medium
2026-08-02
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 45%
Agent 30%
-15.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
polymarket World 0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.5pp
medium
2026-08-02
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 92%
Agent 92%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-08-02
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
polymarket Companies 0xca52ff40e910f20d6af4ae3b475f6fa00c4a31205d732cfb2c2e1d09dff21932
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+1.5pp
medium
2026-08-02
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 21%
Agent 27%
+6.0pp
medium
2026-08-02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
polymarket Economics 0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc
Market 48%
Agent 41%
-6.5pp
low-medium
2026-08-01
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 60%
Agent 86%
+26.0pp
medium
2026-08-01
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
polymarket Financials 0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.3pp
medium
2026-08-01
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 37%
Agent 22%
-15.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-01
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
polymarket Politics 0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b
Market 38%
Agent 36%
-2.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-01
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost? — At least $100
kalshi Companies KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-100
Market 57%
Agent 58%
+1.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46
Market 70%
Agent 40%
-30.5pp
low
2026-08-01
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 42%
Agent 37%
-5.0pp
low-medium
2026-08-01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
polymarket Climate and Weather 0xe96dbaceb816e80063bec945a76ac915cba4341bdf1ef704f722bfc9054aad09
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.5pp
medium
2026-08-01
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 94%
+5.0pp
medium
2026-08-01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
polymarket Science and Technology 0x49045ce1611f11aba24c745978474e7c603729378eb3f5882692b8cecd912327
Market 92%
Agent 90%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-07-31
GDP growth in 2032? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-32-B2.3
Market 11%
Agent 12%
+1.5pp
low-medium
2026-07-31
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
polymarket Companies 0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0
Market 66%
Agent 60%
-5.5pp
low-medium
2026-07-31
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 90%
Agent 94%
+4.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-31
New pandemic in 2026?
polymarket Health 0xfaa433e162e020c56c522acb2f9f7215ce6e4e4391c4fb42beba14275c0a43fe
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-0.5pp
medium
2026-07-31
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 15%
Agent 12%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-31
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
polymarket Financials 0x733a3bb1f78a42bdf60092866ceb931664fb1dae1d66d3a6d2cf7b72cec96400
Market 14%
Agent 6%
-9.0pp
medium
2026-07-31
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 20%
Agent 3%
-17.0pp
high
2026-07-31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
polymarket Elections 0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64
Market 60%
Agent 56%
-3.5pp
low-medium
2026-07-31
GDP growth in 2035? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-35-B1.8
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.5pp
medium
2026-07-31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket Economics 0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527
Market 89%
Agent 92%
+2.3pp
medium-high
2026-07-30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
polymarket World 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Market 24%
Agent 21%
-3.5pp
low-medium
2026-07-30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
polymarket Politics 0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390
Market 24%
Agent 19%
-5.5pp
medium
2026-07-30
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 73%
Agent 60%
-13.0pp
medium
2026-07-30
GDP growth in 2036? — 6.1% or Above
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-36-T6.0
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-07-30
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Elections KXKAMALARUN-28-27JAN01
Market 13%
Agent 10%
-3.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-30
GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.3
Market 25%
Agent 4%
-21.0pp
medium
2026-07-30
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
high
2026-07-30
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
kalshi Elections KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-27JAN01
Market 8%
Agent 5%
-3.0pp
high
2026-07-29
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?
kalshi Politics KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-IA
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-29
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 13%
Agent 10%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-28
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? — At least 5000
kalshi Health KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000
Market 29%
Agent 26%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-28
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 83%
Agent 83%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-07-27
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 11%
Agent 10%
-0.7pp
medium
2026-07-27
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 92%
Agent 91%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-07-26
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 27%
Agent 17%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-07-26
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 43%
Agent 41%
-2.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-25
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 60%
Agent 63%
+3.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-25
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 27%
Agent 20%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-07-24
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 45%
Agent 42%
-3.0pp
low
2026-07-24
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 13%
Agent 13%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-07-23
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Sep 1, 2026?
kalshi Politics KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-SEP01
Market 18%
Agent 8%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-07-23
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 90%
Agent 93%
+3.0pp
high
2026-07-22
Will Buu Nygren win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?
kalshi Elections KXNAVAJOPRES-26NOV03-BNYU
Market 75%
Agent 85%
+10.0pp
medium
2026-07-22
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 89%
Agent 92%
+3.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-21
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 13%
Agent 3%
-10.0pp
high
2026-07-21
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 70%
Agent 60%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-07-20
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 7%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-20
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 83%
Agent 83%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-07-19
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-07-19
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 88%
Agent 80%
-8.0pp
medium
2026-07-18
Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028? — Yes
kalshi Financials KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
Market 32%
Agent 30%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-07-18
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 51%
Agent 46%
-4.9pp
low-medium
2026-07-17
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 68%
Agent 50%
-18.0pp
medium
2026-07-17
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 17%
Agent 13%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-07-16
Will the President sign fewer than 300 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029? — Below 300
kalshi Politics KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-300
Market 8%
Agent 2%
-5.4pp
high
2026-07-16
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 24%
Agent 3%
-21.0pp
high
2026-07-15
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 316 million premium subscribers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSPOTA-28JANPREMSUBS-316000000
Market 42%
Agent 42%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-07-15
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-46000
Market 83%
Agent 91%
+8.0pp
high
2026-07-14
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3000000000.0
Market 88%
Agent 95%
+7.0pp
high
2026-07-14
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 56%
Agent 82%
+26.0pp
medium
2026-07-13
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 9%
-10.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-13
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 37%
Agent 34%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-13
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 22%
Agent 20%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-07-13
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 54%
Agent 57%
+2.7pp
medium
2026-07-13
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-07-12
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 21%
Agent 5%
-16.0pp
high
2026-07-12
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 14%
Agent 7%
-7.5pp
high
2026-07-12
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 62 million monthly transacting users in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXGRABA-28JANMTU-62000000.0
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
high
2026-07-12
Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Economics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 14%
Agent 6%
-8.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-12
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 28%
Agent 21%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-07-11
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 68%
Agent 60%
-8.0pp
medium
2026-07-11
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 80%
Agent 75%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-07-11
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-07-11
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 91%
Agent 79%
-12.0pp
medium
2026-07-11
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 50%
Agent 40%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-07-10
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 47%
Agent 37%
-9.9pp
medium
2026-07-10
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 4%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-07-10
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 53%
Agent 52%
-1.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-10
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 11%
Agent 7%
-3.7pp
medium-high
2026-07-10
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 40%
Agent 37%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-09
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 63%
Agent 82%
+19.0pp
medium
2026-07-09
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 35%
+1.3pp
medium
2026-07-09
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 40%
Agent 15%
-25.0pp
medium
2026-07-09
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 58%
Agent 49%
-9.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-09
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 80%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-07-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 36%
Agent 10%
-26.0pp
medium
2026-07-08
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
kalshi Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-RFK
Market 32%
Agent 23%
-9.0pp
medium
2026-07-08
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 30.2 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-30200000.0
Market 30%
Agent 17%
-13.0pp
medium
2026-07-08
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1750000.0
Market 41%
Agent 51%
+10.0pp
medium
2026-07-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 57%
Agent 50%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-07-07
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 50%
Agent 20%
-30.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-07
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
high
2026-07-07
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total production in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANPROD-1900000.0
Market 10%
Agent 2%
-7.5pp
low-high
2026-07-07
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-H26
Market 32%
Agent 3%
-29.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-07
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 24%
Agent 9%
-15.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-06
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-06
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 52%
Agent 79%
+27.0pp
medium
2026-07-06
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 45%
Agent 43%
-2.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-06
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 19%
Agent 4%
-15.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-06
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 11%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-05
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 22%
Agent 3%
-19.0pp
high
2026-07-05
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 51%
Agent 35%
-15.9pp
medium
2026-07-05
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 61%
Agent 58%
-2.9pp
medium
2026-07-05
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-05
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 15%
Agent 4%
-11.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-04
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 73%
Agent 70%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-04
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 83%
Agent 75%
-8.0pp
medium
2026-07-04
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 12%
Agent 12%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-07-04
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 81%
Agent 58%
-23.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-04
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 24%
Agent 22%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-07-03
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 50%
Agent 47%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-07-03
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 29%
Agent 19%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-07-03
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 51%
Agent 54%
+3.0pp
low-medium
2026-07-03
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 13%
Agent 5%
-7.8pp
medium-high
2026-07-03
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-07-02
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 17%
Agent 7%
-10.3pp
high
2026-07-02
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 35%
-6.6pp
medium
2026-07-02
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 69%
Agent 76%
+7.0pp
medium
2026-07-02
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27DEC-C26
Market 59%
Agent 5%
-54.0pp
medium
2026-07-02
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 41%
Agent 12%
-29.0pp
medium
2026-07-01
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMOA-28JANCIGS-54500000000.0
Market 93%
Agent 80%
-13.0pp
medium
2026-07-01
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000
Market 93%
Agent 90%
-3.0pp
medium-high
2026-07-01
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 75%
Agent 82%
+7.0pp
medium
2026-07-01
Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA
Market 81%
Agent 57%
-24.0pp
medium
2026-07-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 26%
Agent 9%
-17.0pp
medium
2026-06-30
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 65%
Agent 58%
-7.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-30
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 2%
-28.5pp
high
2026-06-30
Will Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
kalshi Elections KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DSSUL
Market 93%
Agent 98%
+4.5pp
high
2026-06-30
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-10.0pp
medium
2026-06-30
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 45%
Agent 43%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-06-29
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 81%
Agent 74%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-06-29
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-29
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 80%
+23.0pp
medium
2026-06-29
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-4.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-29
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 31%
-2.7pp
medium
2026-06-28
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-28
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 22%
Agent 2%
-19.5pp
high
2026-06-28
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 52%
Agent 36%
-16.0pp
medium
2026-06-28
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 30%
-19.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-28
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 20%
Agent 3%
-17.0pp
high
2026-06-27
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 73%
Agent 60%
-13.0pp
medium
2026-06-27
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 84%
Agent 82%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-06-27
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Market 89%
Agent 88%
-1.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-27
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?
kalshi Financials KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Market 92%
Agent 92%
+0.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-27
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 13%
Agent 12%
-1.5pp
medium
2026-06-26
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 19%
Agent 4%
-15.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-26
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 49%
Agent 35%
-14.4pp
medium
2026-06-26
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 51%
Agent 53%
+1.9pp
medium
2026-06-26
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-77000
Market 13%
Agent 13%
+0.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-26
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 28%
Agent 21%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-06-25
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 21%
Agent 16%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-06-25
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 63%
Agent 65%
+2.1pp
medium
2026-06-25
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 48%
Agent 55%
+7.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-25
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 48%
Agent 40%
-8.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-25
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 16%
Agent 6%
-10.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-24
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 9%
Agent 15%
+6.0pp
medium
2026-06-24
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 54%
Agent 66%
+12.0pp
medium
2026-06-24
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 68%
Agent 80%
+12.0pp
medium
2026-06-24
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 44%
Agent 60%
+16.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-24
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 77%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-06-23
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 26%
Agent 5%
-21.0pp
medium
2026-06-23
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 52%
-6.0pp
medium
2026-06-23
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
kalshi Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 54%
Agent 37%
-17.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-23
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 3%
-27.7pp
medium-high
2026-06-23
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tucker Carlson
kalshi Elections KX2028RRUN-28-TUC
Market 44%
Agent 36%
-8.0pp
medium
2026-06-22
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 81%
Agent 79%
-2.0pp
medium
2026-06-22
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 88%
Agent 82%
-6.0pp
medium
2026-06-22
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 32%
+6.0pp
medium
2026-06-22
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 58%
Agent 70%
+12.0pp
medium
2026-06-22
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 38%
Agent 23%
-15.0pp
medium
2026-06-21
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
kalshi Politics KXCABOUT-26MAY22-PHEG
Market 15%
Agent 16%
+1.0pp
medium
2026-06-21
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 9%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-06-21
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 13%
Agent 3%
-10.0pp
high
2026-06-21
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 75%
Agent 74%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-06-21
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 19%
Agent 12%
-7.0pp
medium
2026-06-20
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 30%
Agent 27%
-3.1pp
low-medium
2026-06-20
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 55%
Agent 46%
-9.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-20
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 68%
Agent 60%
-8.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-20
Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-20
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 78%
Agent 66%
-12.0pp
medium
2026-06-19
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 16%
Agent 18%
+2.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-19
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 22%
-26.8pp
low-medium
2026-06-19
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 16%
Agent 5%
-11.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-19
Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? — Marianne Lake
kalshi Companies KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MLA
Market 31%
Agent 33%
+2.0pp
medium
2026-06-19
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 48%
Agent 30%
-18.1pp
low-medium
2026-06-18
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
medium
2026-06-18
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 29%
Agent 17%
-12.0pp
medium
2026-06-18
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 58%
Agent 50%
-7.9pp
low-medium
2026-06-18
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 49%
Agent 44%
-5.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-18
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 44%
Agent 25%
-19.0pp
medium
2026-06-17
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 18%
Agent 5%
-13.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-17
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 2.15 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2150000.0
Market 9%
Agent 12%
+3.0pp
medium
2026-06-17
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41800 total global stores in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSBUXA-28JANSTORES-41800
Market 7%
Agent 7%
+0.0pp
high
2026-06-17
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 65%
Agent 72%
+7.0pp
medium
2026-06-17
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 48%
Agent 46%
-2.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-16
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 75%
Agent 78%
+3.0pp
medium
2026-06-16
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-16
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 46%
-12.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-16
Will Electronic Arts close its take-private acquisition before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Financials KXCOMPANYACTIONEA-27-26JUL01
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-16
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 28%
Agent 4%
-24.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-15
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 9%
-1.3pp
medium
2026-06-15
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 9%
Agent 2%
-6.5pp
high
2026-06-15
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee? — JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
kalshi Elections KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR
Market 8%
Agent 8%
+0.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-15
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXHOODA-28JANFUNDED-28000000.0
Market 93%
Agent 97%
+4.0pp
high
2026-06-15
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 82%
+25.0pp
medium
2026-06-14
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 38%
Agent 34%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-06-14
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
medium
2026-06-14
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 12%
Agent 4%
-8.0pp
high
2026-06-14
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-JAN01
Market 45%
Agent 42%
-3.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-14
Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
kalshi Politics KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.60
Market 90%
Agent 91%
+0.9pp
medium-high
2026-06-13
GDP growth in 2028? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-28-B1.8
Market 10%
Agent 12%
+2.0pp
medium
2026-06-13
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 780 million zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXPMA-28JANZYN-780000000
Market 50%
Agent 92%
+42.0pp
high
2026-06-13
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-800000000
Market 93%
Agent 98%
+4.5pp
high
2026-06-13
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXBAA-28JANDELIV-620
Market 83%
Agent 66%
-17.0pp
medium
2026-06-13
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 74%
Agent 60%
-14.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-12
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 79%
Agent 80%
+1.0pp
medium
2026-06-12
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 8%
Agent 7%
-1.0pp
medium
2026-06-12
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z? — Before July 1, 2027
kalshi Elections KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01
Market 26%
Agent 7%
-19.0pp
medium
2026-06-12
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.3 million available lower berth days in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXCCLA-28JANALBD-97300000.0
Market 81%
Agent 83%
+2.0pp
medium
2026-06-12
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?
kalshi Elections KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Market 36%
Agent 30%
-6.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-11
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points? — Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
kalshi Elections KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENR-P3
Market 50%
Agent 44%
-6.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-11
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-APR01
Market 38%
Agent 35%
-3.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-11
GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8
Market 12%
Agent 8%
-4.5pp
medium-high
2026-06-11
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 186 million passengers flown in 2026?
kalshi Companies KXUALA-28JANPAX-186000000
Market 51%
Agent 63%
+12.0pp
medium
2026-06-11
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Market 8%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
medium-high
2026-06-10
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi Politics KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-VZEL
Market 34%
Agent 15%
-19.0pp
medium
2026-06-10
When will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public? — Before Jan 2028
kalshi Politics KXNYCGROCERY-28-JAN01
Market 76%
Agent 60%
-16.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-10
Will SpaceX be assigned to Communication Services in the S&P?
kalshi Financials KXSPACEXSECTOR-SPACEX-COMMUNICA
Market 85%
Agent 73%
-12.0pp
medium
2026-06-10
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
kalshi Politics KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-BLA
Market 21%
Agent 17%
-4.0pp
medium
2026-06-10
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? — Aaron Lukas
kalshi Politics KXNEXTODNI-29-ALUK
Market 18%
Agent 18%
+0.0pp
medium
2026-06-09
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? — For tax year 2026
kalshi Economics KXIRSCOLLECT-26
Market 83%
Agent 85%
+2.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-09
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
kalshi Science and Technology KXLASTEXAM-27DEC31-T70
Market 46%
Agent 42%
-4.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-09
Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? — Marianne Lake
kalshi Companies KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MLA
Market 40%
Agent 37%
-3.0pp
medium
2026-06-09
Will NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028? — Yes
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERNEE-28JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 55%
-20.0pp
low-medium
2026-06-09
Will Electronic Arts close its take-private acquisition before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Financials KXCOMPANYACTIONEA-27-26JUL01
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
medium-high
2026-06-08
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 55%
-12.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-18
Will Labour win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
kalshi Elections KXMAKERFIELDBY-27JAN01-LAB
Market 68%
Agent 50%
-18.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-17
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 16%
-10.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 19%
Agent 5%
-14.4pp
70% conf
2026-05-17
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
kalshi Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 51%
Agent 20%
-31.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 28%
Agent 30%
+2.4pp
35% conf
2026-05-17
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 58%
Agent 42%
-16.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-17
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 18%
-24.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-17
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 3%
Agent 3%
+0.0pp
85% conf
2026-05-17
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-17
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 45%
Agent 7%
-38.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-16
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 82%
Agent 70%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-16
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 64%
Agent 71%
+7.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-16
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.5pp
85% conf
2026-05-16
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 70%
Agent 34%
-36.1pp
40% conf
2026-05-16
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 44%
Agent 8%
-36.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-16
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 76%
Agent 74%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-16
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 18%
Agent 3%
-15.0pp
85% conf
2026-05-16
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 35%
Agent 22%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-16
Will Spencer Pratt qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
kalshi Politics KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02-SPRA
Market 79%
Agent 66%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-16
Will Emory be top 20 on U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings in 2027?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLLEGERANK-TOP20-EMO
Market 45%
Agent 10%
-35.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-15
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 32%
Agent 10%
-22.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-15
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 93%
Agent 86%
-7.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-15
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 65%
Agent 42%
-23.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-15
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 40%
-18.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-15
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 31%
Agent 8%
-23.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-15
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 24%
Agent 6%
-17.9pp
70% conf
2026-05-15
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 56%
Agent 74%
+18.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-15
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-3.8pp
78% conf
2026-05-15
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01
Market 1%
Agent 2%
+0.3pp
90% conf
2026-05-15
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 2027
kalshi Politics KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Market 12%
Agent 5%
-7.0pp
78% conf
2026-05-14
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
kalshi Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 24%
Agent 15%
-9.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-14
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 51%
Agent 55%
+3.9pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
kalshi Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 81%
Agent 87%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-14
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 35%
Agent 23%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
kalshi Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 54%
Agent 53%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 34%
Agent 16%
-18.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 48%
-24.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-14
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? — Paxton defeats Talarico
kalshi Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL
Market 37%
Agent 41%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-14
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.1pp
70% conf
2026-05-13
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.9pp
70% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 14%
Agent 13%
-1.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-13
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-1.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-13
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 69%
Agent 67%
-2.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 4%
-21.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 23%
Agent 15%
-8.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 14%
Agent 5%
-9.4pp
78% conf
2026-05-13
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 42%
Agent 37%
-5.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SGRI
Market 16%
Agent 17%
+1.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-13
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-5.9pp
75% conf
2026-05-12
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
kalshi Politics KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-26JUL
Market 9%
Agent 10%
+1.1pp
72% conf
2026-05-12
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXH1B-29
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-12
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
kalshi Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 13%
Agent 4%
-9.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-12
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01
Market 13%
Agent 8%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-12
Will USAID be eliminated?
kalshi Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 37%
Agent 40%
+3.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-12
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 24%
Agent 5%
-19.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-12
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 19%
Agent 11%
-8.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-12
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-12
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 18%
Agent 6%
-12.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-12
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 23%
Agent 4%
-19.0pp
88% conf
2026-05-11
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
kalshi Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-11
Will Any part of Greenland be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXSTATE51-29-GL
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-1.7pp
78% conf
2026-05-11
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 52%
Agent 48%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-11
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
kalshi Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 76%
Agent 58%
-18.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-11
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 64%
Agent 48%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-11
Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 7%
Agent 3%
-4.0pp
78% conf
2026-05-11
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — At least 450
kalshi World KXCO2LEVEL-30-450
Market 24%
Agent 4%
-20.0pp
92% conf
2026-05-11
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 21%
Agent 3%
-18.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-11
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTUKPM-30-NF
Market 9%
Agent 16%
+7.1pp
55% conf
2026-05-11
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 40%
-27.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 31%
Agent 13%
-18.0pp
66% conf
2026-05-10
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 70%
Agent 42%
-28.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 70%
Agent 62%
-8.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
kalshi Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 51%
Agent 53%
+2.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-10
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 58%
Agent 62%
+4.0pp
42% conf
2026-05-10
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 32%
Agent 16%
-16.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-10
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 20%
-22.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-10
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 4%
Agent 4%
-0.5pp
85% conf
2026-05-10
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 3%
-8.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-10
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 20%
Agent 5%
-14.5pp
60% conf
2026-05-09
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 81%
Agent 72%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-09
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 66%
Agent 74%
+8.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-09
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.5pp
82% conf
2026-05-09
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 32%
Agent 32%
+0.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-09
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 56%
Agent 48%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-09
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 38%
Agent 38%
+0.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-09
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 15%
Agent 3%
-12.0pp
82% conf
2026-05-09
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 44%
Agent 13%
-31.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-09
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 27%
Agent 26%
-1.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-09
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 69%
Agent 30%
-39.1pp
45% conf
2026-05-08
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 76%
Agent 71%
-5.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-08
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 94%
Agent 86%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 31%
Agent 9%
-22.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-08
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 69%
Agent 47%
-22.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 58%
Agent 48%
-10.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 30%
Agent 7%
-23.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-08
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 19%
Agent 6%
-13.4pp
70% conf
2026-05-08
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 54%
Agent 84%
+30.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-08
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Market 26%
Agent 22%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-08
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 2027
kalshi Politics KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Market 11%
Agent 8%
-3.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-07
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
kalshi Politics KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Market 24%
Agent 18%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-07
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 51%
Agent 47%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-07
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 80%
Agent 78%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-07
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 44%
Agent 19%
-25.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-07
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
kalshi Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 80%
Agent 90%
+10.0pp
72% conf
2026-05-07
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
kalshi Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 66%
Agent 66%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 33%
Agent 15%
-18.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 71%
Agent 27%
-44.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
kalshi Elections KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FBOL
Market 63%
Agent 54%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-06
Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? — Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
kalshi Elections KXLAMAYORMATCHUP-26JUN-NRAMKBAS
Market 27%
Agent 34%
+7.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-06
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 7%
Agent 50%
+42.9pp
20% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 17%
Agent 12%
-5.0pp
62% conf
2026-05-06
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 9%
Agent 7%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-06
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 68%
Agent 64%
-4.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump buy Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 5%
-20.0pp
75% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 14%
Agent 12%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-06
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
kalshi Economics KXFED-27APR-T3.50
Market 48%
Agent 47%
-1.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-06
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 16%
Agent 5%
-10.5pp
78% conf
2026-05-06
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 38%
Agent 32%
-6.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-05
When will Anduril IPO? — Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOANDURIL-27JUN01
Market 23%
Agent 13%
-10.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Market 38%
Agent 22%
-16.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75
Market 19%
Agent 19%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
When will Starlink IPO? — Before Jun 30, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOSTARLINK-27JUN30
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-2.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Market 50%
Agent 42%
-8.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-05
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
kalshi Economics KXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3
Market 50%
Agent 42%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-05
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?
kalshi Economics KXDEFGDP-26OCT20-T5
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-2.0pp
92% conf
2026-05-05
Will Republican win the House race for LA-02? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA02-26-R
Market 72%
Agent 12%
-60.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-05
Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 0%? — Spencer Pratt wins
kalshi Elections KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50
Market 18%
Agent 6%
-12.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-05
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-11? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-NY11-26-D
Market 22%
Agent 15%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-04
Will Republican win the House race for MS-02? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-MS02-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 4%
-9.0pp
82% conf
2026-05-04
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 23%
Agent 3%
-20.0pp
88% conf
2026-05-04
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
kalshi Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 87%
Agent 79%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-04
Inflation surge in 2026? — At least 4%
kalshi Economics KXLCPIMAXYOY-27-P4
Market 87%
Agent 78%
-9.2pp
55% conf
2026-05-04
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 56%
Agent 52%
-4.5pp
42% conf
2026-05-04
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
kalshi Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 73%
Agent 65%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-04
How high will unemployment get before 2027? — Above 5%
kalshi Economics KXU3MAX-27-5
Market 33%
Agent 29%
-4.4pp
50% conf
2026-05-04
Will there be a recession in 2026? — Starts
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-26
Market 21%
Agent 18%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-04
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Market 87%
Agent 82%
-4.9pp
50% conf
2026-05-04
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 58%
Agent 45%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01
Market 75%
Agent 66%
-9.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-03
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? — Before July 2027
kalshi Science and Technology KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Market 73%
Agent 30%
-43.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-03
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 70%
Agent 48%
-22.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
kalshi Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 48%
Agent 55%
+7.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-03
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 58%
Agent 58%
+0.0pp
42% conf
2026-05-03
Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? — Rafael Grossi
kalshi Companies KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO
Market 64%
Agent 27%
-37.0pp
35% conf
2026-05-03
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 47%
Agent 14%
-33.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-03
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 26%
Agent 14%
-12.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-03
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 5%
Agent 7%
+2.0pp
65% conf
2026-05-03
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 4%
-7.5pp
70% conf
2026-05-02
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 16%
Agent 6%
-10.5pp
60% conf
2026-05-02
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 77%
Agent 58%
-19.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 70%
Agent 74%
+4.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-02
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 38%
Agent 40%
+1.8pp
42% conf
2026-05-02
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
kalshi Companies KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01
Market 34%
Agent 15%
-19.0pp
50% conf
2026-05-02
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 45%
Agent 46%
+1.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 19%
Agent 3%
-16.0pp
80% conf
2026-05-02
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 50%
Agent 30%
-20.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-02
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 51%
Agent 8%
-43.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-01
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 26%
Agent 19%
-7.0pp
30% conf
2026-05-01
Will anyone win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round? — First-round winner
kalshi Elections KXCOLOMBIAPRES1R-26MAY31
Market 9%
Agent 8%
-1.2pp
78% conf
2026-05-01
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 71%
Agent 22%
-49.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-01
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 80%
Agent 78%
-2.0pp
55% conf
2026-05-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 34%
Agent 9%
-25.0pp
60% conf
2026-05-01
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 65%
Agent 38%
-27.0pp
38% conf
2026-05-01
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 66%
Agent 42%
-24.0pp
40% conf
2026-05-01
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 90%
Agent 84%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-05-01
Will Xavier Becerra finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
kalshi Elections KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-XBEC
Market 29%
Agent 28%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-05-01
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 32%
Agent 9%
-23.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-30
When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 25%
Agent 4%
-21.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-30
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — Oil
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 46%
Agent 80%
+34.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-30
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 53%
Agent 58%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-30
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 81%
Agent 75%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-30
Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 4%
Agent 5%
+1.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-30
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 32%
Agent 19%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-30
Will Republican win the House race for LA-06? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA06-26-R
Market 58%
Agent 55%
-3.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-30
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? — Leni Robredo
kalshi Elections KXPHILIPPINESPRES-28-LROB
Market 13%
Agent 3%
-10.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-30
Will JD Vance and Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
kalshi Elections KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANESTE
Market 1%
Agent 2%
+0.4pp
80% conf
2026-04-30
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
kalshi Economics KXFED-27JAN-T3.25
Market 45%
Agent 62%
+17.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 72%
Agent 32%
-40.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-29
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 4%
Agent 4%
-0.3pp
72% conf
2026-04-29
Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 16%
Agent 14%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-29
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 6%
Agent 7%
+1.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-29
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 74%
Agent 66%
-8.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Australian House election? — Australian Labor Party
kalshi Elections KXAUSTRALIAHOUSE-28-ALP
Market 59%
Agent 64%
+5.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Ghanian parliamentary election? — NDC
kalshi Elections KXGHANAPARLI-28-NDC
Market 57%
Agent 56%
-1.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-FL14-26-D
Market 64%
Agent 82%
+18.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-29
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
kalshi Elections KXTURKEYPRES-28-RERD
Market 50%
Agent 34%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-29
GDP growth in 2026? — 0.0 or below
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-T0.1
Market 5%
Agent 8%
+3.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-28
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Wisconsin?
kalshi Elections KXATTYGENWI-26-R
Market 15%
Agent 20%
+5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-01? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-WA01-26-D
Market 94%
Agent 95%
+1.1pp
85% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-11? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-NJ11-26-D
Market 94%
Agent 93%
-1.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-28
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-08? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-VA08-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 96%
+0.5pp
88% conf
2026-04-28
Will Republican win the House race for SC-07? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-SC07-26-R
Market 93%
Agent 95%
+1.8pp
82% conf
2026-04-28
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
kalshi Elections KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA
Market 17%
Agent 10%
-7.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-28
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? — Susan Mendoza
kalshi Elections KXCHICAGOMAYOR-27-SMEN
Market 16%
Agent 13%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-28
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi Politics KXFISALENGTH-26APR-FISA30D
Market 80%
Agent 72%
-8.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-28
Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXFM30YMTG-26DEC31-T5.75
Market 20%
Agent 24%
+4.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-28
Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027? — Talarico defeats Cornyn
kalshi Elections KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALCOR
Market 11%
Agent 7%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-27
Will Republican win the House race for LA-05? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-LA05-26-R
Market 97%
Agent 97%
-0.2pp
90% conf
2026-04-27
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF
Market 75%
Agent 66%
-9.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-27
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-27
Market 34%
Agent 31%
-3.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-27
Will Republican win the House race for TN-03? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-R
Market 97%
Agent 97%
+0.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-27
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? — Ekrem İmamoğlu
kalshi Elections KXPRESTURKEYR1-28-EIMA
Market 19%
Agent 7%
-12.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-27
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-15? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-CA15-26-D
Market 98%
Agent 98%
-0.2pp
92% conf
2026-04-27
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-52? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-CA52-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 96%
-0.2pp
85% conf
2026-04-27
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million? — 125 million and above
kalshi Elections KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125
Market 33%
Agent 25%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-27
Will Dashzegviin Amarbayasgalan win the next Mongolian presidential election?
kalshi Elections KXMONGOLIAPRES-27-DAMA
Market 4%
Agent 3%
-1.5pp
78% conf
2026-04-27
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Colorado
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYCO-26-R
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-22? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-FL22-26-D
Market 73%
Agent 82%
+9.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYPA-26-R
Market 6%
Agent 10%
+4.1pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028
kalshi Elections KXSANDERSPRES-28
Market 8%
Agent 6%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-26
Will Republican win the House race for TX-13? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-TX13-26-R
Market 96%
Agent 96%
+1.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-26
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-VA06-26-D
Market 78%
Agent 62%
-16.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYOR-26-R
Market 18%
Agent 14%
-4.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPPRES-28
Market 15%
Agent 10%
-5.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — Ken Paxton, 5-10%
kalshi Elections KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P7
Market 17%
Agent 17%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-26
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? — Unity – National Movement
kalshi Elections KXGEORGIAPARLI-28-UNM
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-26
Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Market 83%
Agent 66%
-17.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYWI-26-D
Market 80%
Agent 72%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-25
Will Republican win the House race for WA-04? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-WA04-26-R
Market 84%
Agent 91%
+7.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-25
Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro Parolin
kalshi Elections KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
Market 5%
Agent 3%
-2.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-25
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D
Market 40%
Agent 27%
-13.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-5.9pp
72% conf
2026-04-25
Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? — Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer
kalshi Elections KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILTSTE
Market 52%
Agent 32%
-20.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
Will US test scores in Math decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SD
Market 55%
Agent 40%
-15.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-25
Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXBANTRANS-26
Market 29%
Agent 48%
+19.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-25
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01
Market 92%
Agent 46%
-46.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? — Before 2028
kalshi Elections KXAOCSENATE-28
Market 52%
Agent 40%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-24
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXUSAKIM-29
Market 24%
Agent 5%
-19.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-24
Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027? — Decrease 0-0.99%
kalshi Politics KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N
Market 57%
Agent 48%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-24
Will SNP win above 64 seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
kalshi Elections KXSNPMAJORITY-26MAY07-A64
Market 47%
Agent 45%
-2.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-24
Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Market 65%
Agent 42%
-23.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-24
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)? — Before 2028
kalshi Politics KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Market 60%
Agent 7%
-53.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-24
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYGA-26-R
Market 42%
Agent 48%
+6.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-24
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? — Alexi Giannoulias
kalshi Elections KXMAYORCHI-27-AGIA
Market 56%
Agent 42%
-14.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-24
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? — Ending Jun 4, 2029
kalshi Politics KXFULLTERMSKPRES-29
Market 90%
Agent 85%
-5.1pp
55% conf
2026-04-24
Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election? — Before 2035
kalshi Elections KXBRUVSEAT-35
Market 2%
Agent 2%
-0.3pp
80% conf
2026-04-24
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person
kalshi Politics KXNEXTDEF-29-NONE
Market 48%
Agent 56%
+8.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-23
Will Anthropic PBC win Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Department of War et al.? — Before 2028
kalshi Politics KXANTHROPICDOD-28
Market 71%
Agent 55%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-23
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? — Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
kalshi Elections KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-GNEWJVAN
Market 15%
Agent 13%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-23
Will Steve Hilton and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? — Steve Hilton vs. Matt Mahan
kalshi Elections KXCAGOVMATCHUP-26JUN-SHILMMAH
Market 9%
Agent 5%
-4.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-23
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMQ-29-JAN20
Market 28%
Agent 8%
-20.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-23
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 0% and 3%? — Yes, 0-3%
kalshi Elections KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-YES-P1
Market 6%
Agent 7%
+1.1pp
60% conf
2026-04-23
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor? — Keith Sonderling
kalshi Politics KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-KSON
Market 26%
Agent 36%
+10.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-23
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXOAIDAMAGE-28
Market 71%
Agent 33%
-38.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-23
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? — Before 2028
kalshi Companies KXRIPPLINGDEEL-28
Market 67%
Agent 31%
-36.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi Companies KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26NOV01
Market 49%
Agent 36%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXDATACENTER-30
Market 55%
Agent 60%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather EUCLIMATE-2030
Market 42%
Agent 28%
-14.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-22
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Market 11%
Agent 2%
-9.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-22
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050
kalshi Science and Technology KXMARSVRAIL-50
Market 24%
Agent 16%
-8.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-22
Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? — Rafael Grossi
kalshi Companies KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO
Market 49%
Agent 28%
-21.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-22
Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030
kalshi Climate and Weather INDIACLIMATE-30
Market 70%
Agent 74%
+4.0pp
58% conf
2026-04-22
Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?
kalshi Companies KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
Market 53%
Agent 58%
+5.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-22
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Companies KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2
Market 2%
Agent 3%
+1.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-22
Will any country join the EU by 2030?
kalshi World EUEXPANSION-30
Market 71%
Agent 12%
-59.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-21
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
kalshi Health KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Market 32%
Agent 18%
-14.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-21
Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?
kalshi Elections KXVAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-10
Market 75%
Agent 42%
-33.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-21
Will US test scores in Reading decline? — Significant decrease
kalshi Politics KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
Market 67%
Agent 49%
-18.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-21
Will the margin of victory for Analilia Mejia in the 2026 NJ-11 special election be above 26%? — Analilia Mejia, ≥26%
kalshi Elections KXPRIMARYMOV-HOUSENJ11SPECIAL26-AMEJ-P63
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.0pp
95% conf
2026-04-21
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Elon Musk
kalshi Politics KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS
Market 35%
Agent 7%
-28.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-21
Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
kalshi Elections EUEXIT-30
Market 15%
Agent 5%
-10.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN
Market 38%
Agent 27%
-11.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-21
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Market 67%
Agent 27%
-40.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-21
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATETN-26-D
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.4pp
88% conf
2026-04-20
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYMA-26-R
Market 12%
Agent 11%
-1.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-20
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
kalshi Elections KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR
Market 25%
Agent 22%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi Politics KXNETANYAHUPARDON-26-JUL01
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-2.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-20
Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN20
Market 72%
Agent 72%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-20
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections KXHOUSERACE-TX07-26-D
Market 96%
Agent 93%
-3.2pp
72% conf
2026-04-20
GDP growth in 2026? — 4.6 to 5.0
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.8
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.5pp
78% conf
2026-04-20
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
kalshi Elections KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-20
Will Janez Janša become Prime Minister of Slovenia following the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
kalshi Elections KXSLOVENIAPM-26MAR22-JJAN
Market 81%
Agent 62%
-19.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-20
Will Tom Steyer finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
kalshi Elections KXCAGOVPRIMARY1ST-26JUN02-1ST-TSTE
Market 37%
Agent 33%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-20
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPSNL-29
Market 16%
Agent 8%
-8.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYFL-26-R
Market 74%
Agent 80%
+6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Minnesota? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATEMN-26-R
Market 9%
Agent 9%
+0.3pp
72% conf
2026-04-19
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEKS-26-D
Market 21%
Agent 8%
-13.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-19
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEID-26-D
Market 6%
Agent 4%
-2.5pp
82% conf
2026-04-19
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPVSLAUGHTER
Market 91%
Agent 89%
-2.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-19
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
kalshi Politics KXSUPERSONIC-28
Market 42%
Agent 38%
-4.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-19
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCMINWAGE-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-19
Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before June 1, 2026? — Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi Politics KXLEAVEHOUSECOMBO-27JAN01-B260601
Market 33%
Agent 8%
-25.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-19
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? — Before 2027
kalshi Elections KXKAMALAGOV-27
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-19
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
kalshi Elections KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY
Market 29%
Agent 30%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-18
Will Mette Frederiksen become Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 Danish general election?
kalshi Elections KXDENMARKPM-26MAR24-MFRE
Market 89%
Agent 82%
-7.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-18
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXRECOGROC-29
Market 23%
Agent 14%
-9.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-18
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028? — Before Election Day
kalshi Elections KXTRUMPRUN-28NOV07
Market 22%
Agent 19%
-3.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-18
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATELA-26-R
Market 94%
Agent 94%
-0.3pp
82% conf
2026-04-18
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
kalshi Elections KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Market 13%
Agent 2%
-11.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-18
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Republican Party
kalshi Elections CONTROLS-2026-R
Market 46%
Agent 48%
+2.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-18
Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?
kalshi Politics KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40
Market 97%
Agent 98%
+0.9pp
92% conf
2026-04-18
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oklahoma
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYOK-26-D
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.1pp
78% conf
2026-04-18
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?
kalshi Elections KXDHOUSESEATS-27-249
Market 25%
Agent 17%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-17
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?
kalshi Politics KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T2
Market 53%
Agent 50%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATESC-26-D
Market 18%
Agent 7%
-11.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-17
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCTAXMILLIONS-27JAN01
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCDEPTSAFETY-27JAN01
Market 31%
Agent 27%
-4.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEFLS-26-D
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+1.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-17
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-35
Market 41%
Agent 19%
-22.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-17
Will the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election be between 15% and 18%? — TISZA, 15-18%
kalshi Elections KXHUNGARYMOV-26APR12-TIS-P16
Market 3%
Agent 6%
+3.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Who will win the governorship in California? — Matt Mahan
kalshi Elections KXGOVCA-26-MMAH
Market 10%
Agent 5%
-5.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-17
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
kalshi Economics KXFED-27APR-T3.50
Market 52%
Agent 45%
-7.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-17
Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
kalshi Politics KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B50
Market 11%
Agent 14%
+3.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-16
Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028
kalshi Elections KXPRESELECTIONOCCUR-28
Market 93%
Agent 95%
+2.1pp
82% conf
2026-04-16
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTA-29
Market 46%
Agent 30%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-16
Will a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly? — Government wins
kalshi Politics AMAZONFTC-29DEC31
Market 56%
Agent 35%
-21.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-16
Will Fidesz–KDNP win above 50 seats in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
kalshi Elections KXFIDESZKDNPSEATS-26APR12-A50
Market 97%
Agent 95%
-2.3pp
78% conf
2026-04-16
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATENH-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 17%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-16
Will Trump attend the White House correspondents dinner at any point during his presidency? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXDJTWHDINNER-29
Market 85%
Agent 82%
-3.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-16
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
kalshi Politics KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT
Market 49%
Agent 35%
-14.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-16
Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? — R-House, R-Senate
kalshi Politics KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-RR
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+1.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-16
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 43% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-43
Market 42%
Agent 48%
+6.0pp
38% conf
2026-04-15
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCCHILDCARE-27JAN01
Market 25%
Agent 12%
-13.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-15
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2028? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Politics KXGOVTCUTS-28-250
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-15
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSY-29-JAN20
Market 24%
Agent 12%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-15
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? — Before Jan 20, 2029
kalshi Politics KXMARTIAL-29JAN20
Market 44%
Agent 7%
-37.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-15
Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCTAXBILLIONS-27JAN01
Market 16%
Agent 7%
-9.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-15
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
kalshi Elections KXPERUPRES2ND-26MAR25-2-RALI
Market 30%
Agent 41%
+11.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-15
Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? — Amul Thapar
kalshi Politics KXSCOURT-29-AT
Market 11%
Agent 9%
-2.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-15
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto be the nominees in the 2026 Peru presidential election? — Keiko Fujimori vs. Jorge Nieto
kalshi Elections KXPERUPRESMATCHUP-26APR-KFUJJNIE
Market 4%
Agent 3%
-1.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-15
Will Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before May 1, 2026?
kalshi Politics KXKASHOUT-26APR-MAY01
Market 15%
Agent 12%
-3.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-15
Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana? — Seth Bodnar
kalshi Elections SENATEMT-26-IND
Market 17%
Agent 10%
-7.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
Market 54%
Agent 18%
-36.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-14
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXNYCCORPORATETAX-27JAN01
Market 34%
Agent 22%
-12.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-14
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
kalshi Politics KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-26JUL
Market 10%
Agent 8%
-2.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-14
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
kalshi Elections KXALBERTAREFYES-29
Market 22%
Agent 10%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYTX-26-D
Market 13%
Agent 7%
-6.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-14
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency? — Democratic Sweep
kalshi Elections POWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Market 42%
Agent 34%
-8.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-14
Will the margin of victory for Juliana Stratton in the 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate primary election be between 6% and 9%? — Stratton, 6-9%
kalshi Elections KXMOVILSENATED-26MAR17-JSTR-P7
Market 97%
Agent 96%
-1.1pp
93% conf
2026-04-14
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATEMI-26-R
Market 22%
Agent 28%
+6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-14
Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026?
kalshi Politics KXLEAVEWALZ-27JAN01-TWAL-26JUL01
Market 7%
Agent 6%
-0.9pp
78% conf
2026-04-14
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXABRAHAMSA-29-JAN20
Market 56%
Agent 20%
-36.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-13
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYIA-26-D
Market 61%
Agent 47%
-14.0pp
38% conf
2026-04-13
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?
kalshi Politics KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-2
Market 31%
Agent 34%
+3.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-13
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXFTAPRC-29
Market 37%
Agent 4%
-33.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-13
Will TISZA win above 130 seats in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
kalshi Elections KXTISZASEATS-26APR12-A130
Market 98%
Agent 99%
+1.1pp
97% conf
2026-04-13
Will the United States add another state before date? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXSTATE-29
Market 3%
Agent 2%
-1.0pp
95% conf
2026-04-13
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Kamala Harris
kalshi Elections KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR
Market 61%
Agent 55%
-6.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-13
Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before May 1, 2026?
kalshi Politics KXGABBARDOUT-26-MAY01
Market 3%
Agent 10%
+6.7pp
62% conf
2026-04-13
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be above 3%? — No, 3%+
kalshi Elections KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-NO-P51
Market 5%
Agent 5%
+0.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-13
Will Restore Britain win the next U.K. election? — Restore Britain party
kalshi Elections KXUKPARTY-29-REST
Market 8%
Agent 2%
-5.5pp
88% conf
2026-04-12
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026? — Before July 2026
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01
Market 6%
Agent 2%
-3.5pp
90% conf
2026-04-12
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATEIA-26-R
Market 62%
Agent 78%
+16.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXOBERGEFELL-29
Market 11%
Agent 5%
-6.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-12
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026? — At least 250 billion
kalshi Politics KXGOVTCUTS-26-250
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-2.6pp
82% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYMN-26-R
Market 7%
Agent 9%
+1.8pp
68% conf
2026-04-12
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEGA-26-D
Market 84%
Agent 70%
-14.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-12
Will the margin of victory for Chris Taylor in 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election be between 18% and 100%? — Taylor, 18% and above
kalshi Elections KXMOVWISUPREMECOURT-26APR07-T59
Market 95%
Agent 97%
+2.0pp
92% conf
2026-04-12
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYOH-26-D
Market 53%
Agent 43%
-10.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-12
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATENE-26-R
Market 70%
Agent 80%
+10.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-12
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before May? — Before May 1, 2026
kalshi Politics KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAY01
Market 16%
Agent 16%
+0.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-11
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina? — Roy Cooper
kalshi Elections SENATENC-26-D
Market 84%
Agent 72%
-12.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-11
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXRAMPBREX-40-BREX
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-11
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTUKPM-30-RLOW
Market 4%
Agent 2%
-2.3pp
88% conf
2026-04-11
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
kalshi Politics KXCABOUT-26APR-PHEG
Market 23%
Agent 24%
+1.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATEOHS-26-R
Market 42%
Agent 55%
+13.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska? — Democratic party
kalshi Elections SENATEAK-26-D
Market 61%
Agent 35%
-26.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-11
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXAMEND25-29
Market 30%
Agent 4%
-26.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-11
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXFEDEND-29-JAN20
Market 9%
Agent 3%
-6.0pp
85% conf
2026-04-11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Market 9%
Agent 6%
-3.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-11
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
kalshi Politics KXCANTERRITORY-29
Market 12%
Agent 5%
-7.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-10
Will Trump expand high-skill immigration? — Before 2029
kalshi Politics KXH1B-29
Market 30%
Agent 18%
-12.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-10
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
kalshi Politics KXBLUEWAVECOMBO-27FEB
Market 84%
Agent 58%
-26.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-10
State of the economy at the end of 2026? — Stagflation
kalshi Economics KXECONPATH-26-STAG
Market 28%
Agent 25%
-3.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-10
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? — Republican party
kalshi Elections SENATEME-26-R
Market 29%
Agent 35%
+6.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-10
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress? — Above 52
kalshi Elections KXDSENATESEATS-27-ABOVE52
Market 23%
Agent 19%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-10
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US? — During his presidential term
kalshi Economics KXINEQUALITY-28
Market 22%
Agent 12%
-10.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-10
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01
Market 15%
Agent 9%
-6.0pp
60% conf
2026-04-10
Will USAID be eliminated?
kalshi Politics KXAGENCYELIM-29-USAID
Market 41%
Agent 45%
+4.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-10
When will Anduril IPO? — Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOANDURIL-27JUN01
Market 17%
Agent 15%
-2.0pp
68% conf
2026-04-10
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 23%
Agent 12%
-11.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-09
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXDOED-29-JAN20
Market 20%
Agent 10%
-10.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-09
GDP growth in 2026? — 4.1 to 4.5
kalshi Economics KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.3
Market 3%
Agent 3%
+0.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-09
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
kalshi Politics KXBLUETSUNAMICOMBO-27FEB
Market 48%
Agent 30%
-18.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-09
Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress? — Below 193
kalshi Elections KXRHOUSESEATS-27-193
Market 40%
Agent 40%
+0.0pp
42% conf
2026-04-09
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
kalshi Economics KXGDPSHAREMANU-29
Market 15%
Agent 4%
-11.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-09
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — Republican party
kalshi Elections KXPRESPARTY-2028-R
Market 41%
Agent 39%
-2.0pp
35% conf
2026-04-09
When will OpenAI IPO? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Market 53%
Agent 47%
-6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-09
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6
Market 8%
Agent 3%
-5.4pp
88% conf
2026-04-09
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
kalshi Elections KXAMEND22-29-JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 4%
-6.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-09
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — Yes
kalshi Economics KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Market 47%
Agent 50%
+3.0pp
28% conf
2026-04-08
When will Starlink IPO? — Before Jun 30, 2027
kalshi Economics KXIPOSTARLINK-27JUN30
Market 14%
Agent 18%
+4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-08
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXVPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 27%
Agent 15%
-12.0pp
30% conf
2026-04-08
When will SpaceX IPO? — Before May 1, 2026
kalshi Economics KXIPOSPACEX-26MAY01
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.0pp
88% conf
2026-04-08
Will the Republican party win the governorship in California
kalshi Elections GOVPARTYCA-26-R
Market 13%
Agent 9%
-4.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
PPI YoY exceed CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026? — Above CPI YoY
kalshi Economics KXPPIVSCPI-27FEB01-TCPIYOY
Market 93%
Agent 91%
-2.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-07
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPRESIGN
Market 20%
Agent 7%
-13.0pp
70% conf
2026-04-07
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
kalshi Economics KXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3
Market 42%
Agent 43%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
Will Any part of Greenland be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXSTATE51-29-GL
Market 5%
Agent 2%
-3.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-07
Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
kalshi Elections KXNEXTHUNGARYPM-26MAY01-VORB
Market 32%
Agent 33%
+1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-07
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?
kalshi Economics KXDEFGDP-26OCT20-T5
Market 7%
Agent 7%
+0.0pp
90% conf
2026-04-07
Who will win the governorship in California? — Eric Swalwell
kalshi Elections KXGOVCA-26-ESWA
Market 47%
Agent 7%
-40.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-07
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Market 68%
Agent 50%
-18.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-07
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPREMOVE
Market 27%
Agent 5%
-22.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
kalshi Science and Technology KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Market 16%
Agent 7%
-9.1pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Inflation surge in 2026? — At least 3%
kalshi Economics KXLCPIMAXYOY-27-P3
Market 98%
Agent 95%
-3.0pp
78% conf
2026-04-06
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? — James Talarico
kalshi Elections SENATETX-26-D
Market 45%
Agent 14%
-31.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-06
When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?
kalshi Companies KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Market 74%
Agent 73%
-1.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2030
kalshi Science and Technology KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Market 40%
Agent 42%
+2.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? — Democratic Party
kalshi Elections CONTROLS-2026-D
Market 51%
Agent 48%
-2.9pp
42% conf
2026-04-06
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
kalshi Economics CHINAUSGDP-30
Market 20%
Agent 7%
-13.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-06
Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? — Yes
kalshi Politics KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.4pp
72% conf
2026-04-06
EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%
kalshi Climate and Weather EVSHARE-30JAN-30
Market 50%
Agent 20%
-30.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXWARMING-50
Market 81%
Agent 68%
-13.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
kalshi Companies KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01
Market 20%
Agent 14%
-6.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-06
Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio
kalshi Elections KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Market 13%
Agent 9%
-3.6pp
35% conf
2026-04-06
Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? — $0 / No Acquisition
kalshi Politics KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ
Market 83%
Agent 87%
+4.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
kalshi Economics KXTRILLIONAIRE-30-EM
Market 88%
Agent 80%
-8.0pp
55% conf
2026-04-06
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Market 54%
Agent 38%
-16.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-06
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
kalshi Politics KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA
Market 17%
Agent 22%
+5.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-05
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
kalshi Science and Technology KXROBOTMARS-35
Market 49%
Agent 7%
-42.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-05
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
kalshi Companies STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31
Market 17%
Agent 4%
-13.0pp
82% conf
2026-04-05
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Market 55%
Agent 6%
-49.0pp
75% conf
2026-04-05
Will Citigroup take SpaceX public before Jan 1, 2028?
kalshi Companies KXSPACEXBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CITIX
Market 92%
Agent 87%
-5.0pp
72% conf
2026-04-05
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times? — New York Times wins
kalshi Science and Technology NYTOAI-27DEC31
Market 63%
Agent 14%
-49.0pp
62% conf
2026-04-05
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? — During Trump's term
kalshi Politics KXCANAL-29
Market 33%
Agent 14%
-19.0pp
52% conf
2026-04-05
Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Market 24%
Agent 16%
-8.3pp
35% conf
2026-04-05
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30
Market 54%
Agent 43%
-11.0pp
45% conf
2026-04-05
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
kalshi Economics KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
Market 59%
Agent 50%
-9.0pp
40% conf
2026-04-05
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
kalshi Elections CONTROLH-2026-R
Market 14%
Agent 15%
+0.7pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Market 32%
Agent 4%
-27.5pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?
kalshi Politics KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
Market 49%
Agent 33%
-15.8pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
kalshi Economics KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Market 79%
Agent 58%
-21.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
kalshi Science and Technology KXBLUESPACEX-30
Market 72%
Agent 50%
-22.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
kalshi Elections KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Market 27%
Agent 25%
-2.1pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
kalshi Climate and Weather KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Market 57%
Agent 90%
+33.0pp
80% conf
2026-04-04
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
kalshi Economics KXU3MAX-27-5
Market 37%
Agent 37%
-0.4pp
50% conf
2026-04-04
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?
kalshi Companies APPLEUS-29DEC31
Market 38%
Agent 34%
-4.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-04
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXFEDCHAIRCONFIRM-JSHE
Market 2%
Agent 2%
+0.3pp
80% conf
2026-04-04
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?
kalshi Health KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market 3%
Agent 4%
+1.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?
kalshi Politics KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Market 35%
Agent 10%
-25.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
kalshi Elections KXCITRINI-28JUL01
Market 30%
Agent 23%
-6.7pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
kalshi Politics KXSAVEACT-27-JAN04
Market 12%
Agent 10%
-1.6pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Trump make IVF free?
kalshi Health KXFREEIVF-29
Market 16%
Agent 10%
-6.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the US meet its climate goals?
kalshi Climate and Weather USCLIMATE-2025
Market 4%
Agent 6%
+1.8pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will there be a recession in 2026?
kalshi Economics KXRECSSNBER-26
Market 30%
Agent 28%
-2.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
kalshi Science and Technology KXSPACEXMARS-30
Market 33%
Agent 8%
-25.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?
kalshi Companies KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Market 78%
Agent 73%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi Financials KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Market 63%
Agent 59%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
kalshi Economics KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Market 86%
Agent 92%
+6.1pp
80% conf
2026-04-03
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
kalshi Science and Technology KXMOONMAN-31-USA
Market 52%
Agent 68%
+16.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
kalshi World KXELONMARS-99
Market 10%
Agent 11%
+1.0pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will Trump buy Greenland?
kalshi Politics KXGREENLAND-29
Market 25%
Agent 12%
-12.9pp
25% conf
2026-04-03
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?
kalshi Politics KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
Market 7%
Agent 4%
-3.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?
kalshi Economics KXIPOOURA-28JAN01
Market 76%
Agent 71%
-5.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will Olipop IPO?
kalshi Economics KXIPOOLIPOP-26AUG01
Market 4%
Agent 5%
+1.0pp
80% conf
2026-04-03
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?
kalshi Economics KXUSDTTBILL-27FEB28-T60.0
Market 94%
Agent 90%
-4.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?
kalshi Economics KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H0
Market 60%
Agent 60%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03
When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
kalshi Economics KXIPOWHOOP-27JAN01
Market 10%
Agent 10%
+0.0pp
50% conf
2026-04-03